I don’t buy into a single 7 October ‘false flag’ theory. All those narratives were introduced by Israeli Jews who refuse to accept that the IDF is not what it used to be and the Hamas may even be superior. They are also popular amongst those supremacists who can’t conceive that the Arabs can easily get their act together and smash to pieces the entire Israeli southern front.
The most reasonable Israeli explanation for Israel’s greatest security disaster in their entire history is what they call a ‘conceptual failure’. The term refers to the pre 7 October misconception - the conviction within the Israeli elite that the Hamas was ‘under control’ and the acceptance within the Israeli intelligence establishment that the continuous slow genocide of Gazans by a siege can be maintained and regulated by electronics, optic and digital means from afar.
The ‘conceptual failure’ theory is reasonable but it fails to explain the complete inability of IDF intelligence to react to red alerts in the wee hours of 7 October. Additionally, it fails to explain the Israeli airforce dysfunctionality on that morning. It doesn’t explain why the Golani Brigade failed to perform a Dawn Alert elementary drill.
Today I listened to an interview with Israeli ultra right wing agitator, Moishe Faiglin. The Israeli politician/thinker/author contributed his own reading of the 7 October fiasco which I find revealing, to say the least. Faiglin correctly argues that the Israeli society had been sharply divided in the months leading to 7 October over several topics that were all Netanyahu related. In the eyes of the old Israeli elite, Netanyahu has been perceived as Israel’s prime enemy. Faiglin argues that Israel’s top intelligence unit (8200), as well as the air force, are dominated by the opponents of the Israeli judicial overhaul, people who identify with old Israeli elite, people who saw Nentayahu rather than Hamas, Hezbollah and Iran as Israel’s prime existential threat. According to Faiglin , it was this division in Israel that led 8200, Israeli intelligence leaders, IDF top commanders as well as the air-force headquarter to completely ignore acute intelligence reports about Hamas’ immanent attack, and by doing so, brought a disaster on Israel, from which the Jewish state may never recover. Faiglin refers to these Israeli elite intelligence and air force commanders as a ‘bunch of traitors.’
Faiglin’s reading of the situation sounds reasonable to me. I would add that by the evening of 7 October it became clear that the Jewish state was united once again, at least for a while. The reserve pilots who vowed ‘not to kill Arabs for Netanyahu’ were seated in the cockpits ready to drop American 2 ton bombs on Gaza and commit the most documented genocide to date. The 8200 ‘heroes’ also realized they failed dramatically and agreed to participate in the manufacturing of endless fabrications about the Hamas. The lie about Gaza hospitals being ‘terror hubs’ and the insane attempt to reduce the Hamas fighters into a battalion of ‘sex criminals’ are just two examples. This is basically how the people whom Faiglin refers to as ‘traitors’ bought back their place in the post 7 October Israeli society. They basically lied and murdered en mass for ‘the cause.’