️Macro Alpha Analytics
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欢迎加入 【Macro Alpha Analytics】 ⚖️ 法律声明 : 📌 分享性质： 本群所有观点纯属个人意见分享，不构成买卖建议 (No Buy/Sell Recommendation)。 📌 专业咨询： 在做出任何投资决定前，请务必咨询专业持牌理财顾问或您的股票经纪。 📌 责任豁免： 阁下须对自身的财务决策负全责。本群不对任何投资亏损、交易风险或决策后果承担任何法律责任。 ⚠️ 风险提示： 市场波动无常，投资需根据自身财务承受能力审慎操作。
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US Tariff Salvo – Market Risk Aversion to Persist into 2Q25
(1)We see US stagflation risks elevated at this point. We view US GDP growth to expand at merely 1.5% in 2025, with downside risk towards 1.0%.
(2)The key conviction is for US equities to clock another 5 – 10% downside in the current quarter, with market watchers to favour safe-haven assets such as quality fixed income, gold, and US Treasuries.
(3)We think a recession is overpriced, but yet not impossible. We expect the US Federal Reserve to cut its Fed Funds Rate (FFR) three times in 2025, with the balance of risk for accommodative monetary measures to materialise in key ASEAN economies.
(4)In light of the increased risks and uncertainties on the external front, we have revised Malaysia's GDP growth forecast for 2025 to 4.5% from our previous projection of 5.0%. The balance of risks now leans towards a 4.0% growth should tariff and trade tensions escalate further.
(5)Malaysia's Electronics & Electrical (E&E), crude materials, and machinery sectors are expected to bear the brunt of the direct US tariffs on Malaysia and the spillover effects from escalating tariff and trade tensions.
(6)On credit, we expect limited impact on MYR corporate credit and yield curve given that: (1) MYR-rated papers are predominately investment grade (99%), which will benefit from the flight-to-safety trade, (2) domestic issuers have no major direct export exposure to the US, and (3) local investors remain the key demand driver for corporate bond and Sukuk.
♦️ RHB Group Chief Economist
Barnabas Gan
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US Emerges as Biggest Loser in Markets From Trump’s Tariffs
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-03/us-emerges-as-biggest-loser-in-markets-from-trump-s-tariffs
Repost from Walter Bloomberg
Premkt
$AAPL: -7.60%
$AMZN: -6.45%
$TSLA: -6.30%
$NVDA: -5.70%
$AMD: -5.32%
$META: -4.80%
$GOOGL: -3%
$MSFT: -2.70%
$NFLX:-2.60%
(@WalterBloomberg)
Mayu Global’s ED detained to assist in police investigation | The Star
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2025/04/03/mayu-globals-ed-detained-to-assist-in-police-investigation
在当前极度不确定的商业环境下，只有那些具备强劲现金流、坚实基本面，并已为最坏情况做好充分准备的企业，才能在风暴中屹立不倒，甚至逆势成长。稳健的财务管理、充足的流动性以及灵活的市场应对策略，将成为企业生存与成功的关键✅
才一个星期 999足金飙破RM515！ | 中國報 China Press
https://www.chinapress.com.my/20250403/%e6%89%8d%e4%b8%80%e4%b8%aa%e6%98%9f%e6%9c%9f-999%e8%b6%b3%e9%87%91%e9%a3%99%e7%a0%b4rm515%ef%bc%81/
IWCITY 获得最后期限，Bursa Malaysia 批准 IWCITY 延长提交重组计划的截止日期至 2025年9月23日。
若未能符合以下条件，IWCITY 或被暂停交易并除牌：
1. 未能在 2025年9月23日前提交重组计划。
2. 未能获得相关监管机构批准重组计划。
3. 未能在规定时间内执行重组计划。
如果发生以上情况，IWCITY 股票可能会在第六个交易日被暂停交易，并面临退市风险，但公司有权提出上诉。
"特朗普关税打击美股七巨头，苹果领跌"
https://cn.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/article-2744845
#VS
VS 今日总共花费 RM4.2 M 回购 5,250,000个股。这也是自2018年以来公司最大规模的自家股票回购 ▶️
据 Q2'25 季报，VS 持有 RM 768 M 的现金，债务为 RM 753 M ，净现金为 RM 15 M ✅
