اکنون در دسترس! پژوهش تلگرام ۲۰۲۵ — مهمترین بینشهای سال 
539
مشترکین
-124 ساعت
-27 روز
-1630 روز
آرشیو پست ها
539
What could be the trigger?
For a decline: News of a major fund going bankrupt or tightening regulations.
For a rise: Clear signals from the Fed about policy easing or unexpectedly positive industry news.
The market is ripe for a reversal, but is trapped in global uncertainty. A silent war is currently underway between the patience of the "whales" and macro panic. The next 1-2 months will determine whether we see a final capitulation or the beginning of a new cycle.
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Crypto Market at Critical Point: Final Capitulation or Reversal?
The CoinMarketCap 100 Index (CMCI100) has stalled at $151, retesting the bottom of an eighteen-month-long descending channel. Technically, everything points to oversold conditions and a potential rally, but the market is paralyzed by macro panic.
The essence of the conflict:
- For growth: Long liquidations have been completed, major players can accumulate assets at strong support.
For decline: Fed pressure, geopolitics, and liquidity outflow are keeping the market in fear. If the $150 level fails, a drop to the $105-120 zone (-30%) is possible.
Key difference from 2022:
The next sell-off will no longer be due to margin liquidations, but rather to:
1. Capitulation of long-term holders (HODL).
2. Forced withdrawal of funds by institutions.
3. New waves of margin calls during a sharp collapse.
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A breakout and consolidation of a strong support level will signal the start of a bear market. Be careful.
