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Christmas is being celebrated in the US and around the world today. American stock markets are closed, and this directly impacts the crypto market.
What does this mean for BTC:
• Volatility will be minimal—major players are taking a break.
• There will be no inflow into Bitcoin ETFs today—exchanges are closed.
• The main moves will likely begin at the end of the week, when markets open and ETF data is released.
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📌 Market Analysis: BTC Teetering on the Brink
📌The situation remains extremely tense. Bitcoin has come close to the $86,000 level and has yet to bounce back. It hasn't fully settled below it, but it hasn't recovered its losses either—this is an area of maximum uncertainty.
📌Why is $86,000 so important?
This is a key technical and psychological boundary. A break below it will open the way to the strong support level of $82,000, where the price could head in the next few days.
▪️ As long as the price trades below $88,000 and can't return above $87,500, selling pressure remains.
📌Main Trigger: A 4-hour or daily candlestick closing below $86,000 will be a strong bearish signal. Until this point, the outcome of the battle between the bulls and the bears has not yet been decided.
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Largest Buys (BID)
80,000.0 — 325 BTC
80,888.0 — 248 BTC
82,000.0 — 175 BTC
78,888.0 — 172 BTC
84,000.0 — 121 BTC
Largest Sells (ASK)
92,000.0 — 221 BTC
95,000.0 — 160 BTC
The largest buying volume is concentrated in the $78,888 - $84,000 zone, forming a strong support cluster.
The main resistance for growth is at $92,000 and above. The current price of $87,844 is closer to the buy zone, but for confident growth, it needs to overcome several sell levels, starting at $90,000.
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📌 The bottom line
Analysts are painting cautious scenarios, while money is rushing into the market as if it's their last. This is how a powder keg of weak hands is being created—the perfect breeding ground for sharp declines if the key level fails to hold.
Be wary of the $80,000 zone.
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🚨 FIDELITY: "Get ready for a bear!" (But clients aren't listening)**
📌American broker Fidelity released a research note for its clients hinting that Bitcoin's classic four-year cycle has ended—and that a bear market is approaching.
📌What the charts say:
History clearly shows that every bullish rally is followed by a deep correction. According to their calculations, we're not even halfway through the bearish phase since the last bottom (November 2022). The logical conclusion: prepare for a possible downturn.
📌What Fidelity clients are doing:
Just yesterday, they bought more than 4,000 Bitcoin ETFs! So, amid analysts' warnings, people are entering the market en masse at high prices—classic FOMO.
📌What's the danger:
If the price drops below $80,000, a flood of stop-losses could be triggered. Many entered from the $91-93,000 levels, and Fidelity clients alone have a potential sale of ~10,000 BTC (around $800 million) at these levels.
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SELL ORDERS (ASK)
$87,950 -103 BTC
$89,000 -636 BTC
$89,100 -593 BTC
$90,000 -144 BTC
$98,000 -227 BTC
$116,000 -172 BTC
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Main purchases (BID) are concentrated at the levels:
USD 84,000 - 264 BTC
USD 85,000 - 306 BTC
USD 84,000 - 264 BTC
USD 80,000 - 329 BTC
USD 80,000 - 329 BTC (the largest visible cluster is a key support level)
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🚨 THE FED IS CUTTING RATES, AND THE WORLD IS ON THE THRESHOLD OF A 2007 REPEAT
Markets are quiet. Record highs. Serenity.
But let's look at the Fed rate chart—it says more than all the analysts combined.
📌THE CHART THAT SCREAMS:
Every time the Fed rate peaked and began to decline, a recession was already inevitable.
Now the rate is 3.5–3.75%, and the Fed is cutting it for the third time in 2025. This isn't a soft landing. It's preparing for impact.
📌MARKET PARADOXES:
- ✅ Stocks at record highs
- ✅ Gold and silver at record highs
- ✅ Money supply at record highs
- ❌ Bitcoin has already fallen 30% from its all-time peak
💸 THE FED IS ALREADY INJECTING LIQUIDITY WITHOUT WARNING ANYONE:
- Third rate cut in a year
- $40 billion in Treasury bill purchases in 30 days
- Total liquidity to be injected: $370 billion
- $70 billion already injected last week
Silence. But "someone is already being bailed out."
📌 THIS IS REMINDING OF 2007:
Back then, everyone was celebrating new highs, until Lehman Brothers collapsed.
It's the same story now: rates are at a peak, the Fed has started cutting, markets are jubilant, and a crisis is already knocking at the door.
📌WHAT'S NEXT?
- Risky assets are the first to fall (Bitcoin has already shown this)
- Gold is rising - investors are seeking refuge
- The Fed is printing money to soften the blow
- But the blow will come. The question is when.
📌Don't be fooled by record-breaking indices. The signals are already there.
Prepare for volatility, accumulate cash, and be prepared for a possible correction.
📌This is not a forecast. It's a reminder of history.
And history, as we know, likes to repeat itself.
📌This post is not investment advice.
Follow the signals, think for yourself, and prepare for any scenario.
اکنون در دسترس! پژوهش تلگرام ۲۰۲۵ — مهمترین بینشهای سال 
