Crypto Kids

$XRP is breaking out from a daily falling wedge, after retesting multi-cycle, support! I'm buying here.

GOING LIVE: https://www.youtube.com/live/TDQnLmscFdk?si=QRvVpKgBBXRN_P2E

Reversed my scalp long into a scalp short with a tight stop loss - placed at the daily candle's high. Explaining in detail why I'm doing that on the update I'm recording now... Stay tuned!

Bitcoin is testing MAJOR resistance. 1. 200D moving average. 2. Falling wedge trendline. 3. Bull Market S/R Band. I'm closing my scalp longs here. Why? Because BTC always rallies during midterm summer months. Tests either the 200D moving average or BM S/R, and proceeds to capitulate into a Q4 low. I'm willing to be pragmatic, and I'm ok with abandoning 4-year cyclicality if we confirm green candles consistently above the purple line. But until that happens, we are on track to continue our bear market...

That being said - correlations are always subject to being broken. And fractals cannot guarantee repetition. One fact, and one fact only remains true, that Bitcoin is on a 50% discount from ATHs. If you’ve been waiting on the sidelines to accumulate, waiting further for a bigger discount has historically lead to regret, and FOMO buying at higher prices later on. I DCA all the way, I’ll be buying more BTC today, tomorrow and in Q4. No matter what the price will be.

WARNING FOR ALL BITCOIN HOLDERS! Four years ago tomorrow, Bitcoin started declining until it reached its Q4 low, a 36% crash in total. Given the scarily close correlation between 2026 and other bear market years, we should pay close attention to this price fractal.

I expect tomorrow’s CPI to come in-line with the last print or higher. Consensus is looking for cooler inflation, I find that highly unlikely with WTI up ~25% over the past 30 days. Fed governors have been clear: if disinflation doesn’t materialize soon, rate hikes become the more likely path to hit the inflation target. Expect major volatility in $BTC tomorrow.

The Bitcoin Bull Market will begin at the confirmed breach of ~$70,000 (with volume). 3 different crucial resistances conjoin at the same price mark. 1. 200D moving average. Bear markets have historically ended when BTC broke above it. 2. Multi-cycle support, turned into resistance. 3. A downwards sloping trendline making Bitcoin produce lower highs since October '25.

Bitcoin is facing a rejection from the daily trendline resistance whilst forming a double-top on the 1H timeframe. The POC at $63,900 is where I'm looking at for ST support.

BREAKING: Japan Finance Minister Katayama to Announce Joint U.S.-Japan Move to Curb Yen Weakness Concerning headline, will discuss the carry trade risk on tomorrow’s update in detail.

A daily close below ~$62,700 will increase the odds of seeing a ~$59,100 in the short-term quite substantially.

According to the 4 year cycles, the Bitcoin bear market low should come in after exactly 67 days.

The S&P has topped as expected. This is a major warning sign for all crypto holder as we go into Q4… Watch now to prepare: https://youtu.be/wnfSf9NF4Ow

If the Fed were to raise rates Bitcoin, along with other cryptocurrencies, will experience a swift and painful drop. Rates MUST HOLD STEADY. Reducing risk-on holdings until after the interest rate announcement.

Happy FOMC day! The Fed will, with high probability, keep rates unchanged. Any forward guidance on a potential rate hike for September can create volatility. Watch our full coverage on The Moon Show tonight.

UPDATE: Bitcoin has confirmed a break above, (4H) ✅ Inverse head and shoulder resistance. ✅ Falling wedge resistance. (1D) ✅ Playing out the bullish RSI divergence discussed. Next major resistance: $66,700 - $67,200 area. Total gains on current bullish positions: 22% on BTCC, 5% on LeveX.

Our $ETH long is doing very well! Buying some spot $XLM (Stellar), will talk about why tonight.

Tune in for the PPI data announcement LIVE: youtube.com/live/ARCslDLM5KY