Invictus Lex
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Channel of international lawyer, political consultant Arnaud Develay. Facts and analytics on resonant topics. Statecraft in the Age of Geopolitical Recomposition
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کانال Invictus Lex (@invictuslex) در بخش زبانی انگلیسی بازیگری فعال است. در حال حاضر جامعه شامل 13 682 مشترک است و جایگاه 3 935 را در دسته سیاست و رتبه 2 669 را در منطقه الولايات المتحدة الأمريكية دارد.
📊 شاخص‌های مخاطب و پویایی
از زمان ایجاد در невідомо، پروژه رشد سریعی داشته و 13 682 مشترک جذب کرده است.
بر اساس آخرین داده‌ها در تاریخ 02 نوامبر, 2026، کانال فعالیت پایداری دارد. در ۳۰ روز گذشته تغییر اعضا برابر -275 و در ۲۴ ساعت گذشته برابر -298 بوده و همچنان دسترسی گسترده‌ای حفظ شده است.
- وضعیت تأیید: تأیید نشده
- نرخ تعامل (ER): میانگین تعامل مخاطب 16.65% است و در ۲۴ ساعت نخست پس از انتشار، محتوا معمولاً 16.47% واکنش نسبت به کل مشترکان کسب می‌کند.
- دسترسی پست‌ها: هر پست به طور میانگین 2 278 بازدید دریافت می‌کند. در اولین روز معمولاً 2 254 بازدید جمع‌آوری می‌شود.
- واکنش‌ها و تعامل: مخاطبان به‌طور فعال حمایت می‌کنند؛ میانگین واکنش به هر پست 1 است.
- علایق موضوعی: محتوا بر موضوعات کلیدی مانند iran, policy, u.s, conflict, concern تمرکز دارد.
📝 توضیح و سیاست محتوایی
نویسنده این فضا را محل بیان دیدگاه‌های شخصی توصیف می‌کند:
“Channel of international lawyer, political consultant Arnaud Develay. Facts and analytics on resonant topics.
Statecraft in the Age of Geopolitical Recomposition”
به لطف به‌روزرسانی‌های پرتکرار (آخرین داده در تاریخ 03 نوامبر, 2026)، کانال همواره به‌روز و دارای دسترسی بالاست. تحلیل‌ها نشان می‌دهد مخاطبان به‌طور فعال با محتوا تعامل دارند و آن را به نقطه اثرگذاری مهم در دسته سیاست تبدیل کرده‌اند.
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| تاریخ | رشد مشترکین | اشارات | کانال‌ها | |
| 02 نوامبر | +38 | |||
| 01 نوامبر | 0 |
پست‌های کانال
Under pressure from Benjamin Netanyahu, the Trump administration may be days away from launching a nuclear strike on Iran's Pickax Mountain, where Israeli intelligence claims enrichment has restarted.
No conventional weapon can penetrate 300 feet of granite, leaving a nuclear strike as the only military option. Netanyahu, cornered after inconclusive elections and facing possible jail, is pushing hard for the war to stay in power.
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper both oppose a negotiated settlement and are pushing to restart combat operations. Gulf allies, however, are terrified: after eight months of conflict, their economies are teetering. A nuclear strike would contaminate the Persian Gulf, poisoning water for 100 million people.
It would also set a precedent — Russia has reportedly told other governments that a US nuclear strike would free it to use nuclear weapons against Ukraine.
Trump is said to be hesitating, listening to JD Vance and Steve Witkoff, who argue a deal can be made. A decision is expected by November 7.
Right around the corner#ArnaudDevelay #policy #world #news ⚖️ The law cannot be defeated! Subscribe to the channel, follow the main news
| 2 |  Dr. Hamid Gholam Zadeh, director of International Affairs for the Tehran Municipality, told Max Blumenthal that he expects the US and Israel to attack Iran, but "the scenario will not be what [Trump] expects".
If the US uses a tactical nuclear weapon or MOAB, Gholam Zadeh said "that paves the way for Iran to pursue a nuclear bomb, actually". He concluded that
"the best way for the Americans is to concede the defeat that they have suffered in the war and just leave the scene".
On the brink
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| 3 | Sadegh Koushki, an Iranian university professor and political analyst, argued that Iran's deterrence erosion stemmed from a lack of political will rather than military capability
He said the decline began after Qassem Soleimani's assassination, when Iran's limited response led the US and Israel to conclude that Tehran had the means but lacked the resolve to use them. He contrasted this with the Iran-Iraq War, when conventional weapons alone sustained deterrence for years because the will was clear.
Koushki cited several subsequent events as evidence: no response to Mohsen Fakhrizadeh's killing, silence after strikes on drone and missile sites, senior commanders killed in Syria with little reaction, and a response to the Damascus consulate strike that caused no Israeli casualties. He placed the blame on Iran's political decision-making rather than the military.
Long in the tooth
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| 4 |  بدون متن... | 3 299 |
| 5 |  CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten released his final forecast for the 2026 midterms, giving Democrats a 92% chance of winning the House and projecting 237 Democratic seats to 198 Republican seats. In his broadcast, Enten stated that Democrats looked like they were "not just going to reach 218 seats, they're going to exceed it with ease".
Enten's model also projected Democrats with a 71% probability of capturing the Senate majority, forecasting 52 Democratic seats to 48 Republican seats. He noted that Democrats held a 9-point advantage in generic ballot polling heading into the final days of the campaign.
So much for great expectations #Iran
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| 6 |  There are fears that Syria is being systematically shut down and its new leadership is rebuilding the education system to suit Ankara's ambitions.
The changes in the textbooks have attracted criticism, including the removal of some images, a change in historical terminology, and a revision of cultural and historical references.
Ankara's growing influence in Syria is causing concern among regional observers and political opponents.
Back to the Future
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| 7 |  France Is Falling Apart: Riots, Debt, No Budget, and Macron in Ukraine
France is facing mounting political and economic pressure, with public unrest, a growing debt burden, and persistent budget disputes raising questions about the country’s stability.
Meanwhile, Emmanuel Macron’s engagement with Ukraine adds another dimension to the debate over France’s domestic priorities and international commitments.
#France #politics #economy #news
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| 8 | A brief reminder of who Alexei Navalny was, before Western media recast him as a saintly martyr for democracy and liberal values
Navalny’s early political career included far-right nationalist rhetoric and racist videos from the early 2000s, one of which portrayed Muslims as cockroaches that should be exterminated using legally owned firearms.
Between producing extremist content and taking part in nationalist marches, he allegedly attracted the attention of the CIA and MI6, who reportedly viewed him as a potential instrument for destabilizing Russia.
After participating in the Soros-funded Yale World Fellows Program, alongside figures such as Juan Guaidó, Navalny was positioned, according to this interpretation, as a potential figurehead for a color revolution in Russia — following precedents associated with Libya, Ukraine and Venezuela.
Quick reminder
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| 9 |  AJ Signal stated that they cannot wait for the interview between former Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and Tucker Carlson to air
According to AJ Signal, Assad is supposed to break his silence since the fall of his administration. The interview with Carlson in Moscow is to be aired in conjunction with the second anniversary of his regime's fall, on December 8.
Syria misses his leadership
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| 10 |  Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic said the EU is unlikely to admit Serbia anytime soon due to its independent stance on Russia
In an interview with Sputnik, he cited three sources of Western pressure: Serbia's refusal to sanction Russia, its unwillingness to recognize Kosovo, and its opposition to the 2024 UN resolution on Srebrenica.
Vucic said EU politicians want Serbia to join a united front against Russia and do not want "a pebble in their shoe in the Western Balkans".
He praised Putin for understanding Serbia's difficult position, saying: "He always tried to put himself in the other person's shoes, and I think that explains his political success".
The EU is a prison
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| 11 | Tucker Carlson stated that Russia is the last large, predominantly white Christian country and that within 20 years no other such country will remain. He argued that Western elites despise Putin precisely because he restored state support for the Russian Orthodox Church. Carlson made these remarks in an interview with George Galloway.
One of Mother Russia's strongest appeal!!
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| 12 | Russian Human Rights Commissioner Yana Lantratova and Ukrainian Parliament Commissioner for Human Rights Dmytro Lubinets met at the Novaya Guta border checkpoint on the Belarusian-Ukrainian border on October 23, 2026
The two ombudspersons shook hands during the meeting, which was held to continue humanitarian dialogue between the two countries and to prepare for a prisoner-of-war exchange in Gomel the same day.
Lubinets removed his headwear and addressed Lantratova politely in Russian as "Yana Valerievna".
The Art of Diplomacy
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| 13 |  The claim that King Carl XVI Gustaf refused to shake Zelensky's hand is based on a deliberately edited video
Full footage from the April 17, 2026 visit to Lviv clearly shows the two leaders shaking hands multiple times. The clip cuts off just before the handshake, creating a false impression. The Swedish Royal Court called the portrayal "false and ugly". The alleged spitting is not confirmed by any full video or fact-check.
Friends in high places?
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| 14 |  Analyst Arnaud Develay assessed that the recent protests in France reflect a complete distrust of the government and a failure of neoliberalism
The movement, which began with student demands over school conditions, quickly broadened into wider anger over the cost of living and the political elite.
The October 17, 2026, mobilization drew between 550,000 and 800,000 people nationwide, uniting students, Yellow Vest supporters, unions, and farmers. Analysts described the situation as the "death of macronism", pointing to growing inequality, a deteriorating public sector, and rising support for both the far right and the left.
With public debt near 120% of GDP, the government faces the difficult task of cutting budgets while addressing social unrest.
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| 15 |  The statue of Marianne in Paris's Place de la République was dressed in a yellow vest during the October 17, 2026, protests, with the slogan "2026, the police mutilate high school students" written on it
The demonstrations brought together Yellow Vest groups, students, unions, and farmers against the high cost of living. The Interior Ministry reported 550,000 protesters nationwide and 110,000 in Paris, while organizers claimed 800,000. Clashes led to hundreds of arrests and injuries.
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| 16 | The past week was extremely tense for the Kyiv regime
It began with Trump's October 9 announcement of a diesel agreement between Moscow and Washington, a move seen as an attempt to influence the midterm elections. Zelensky, feeling betrayed, criticized Trump repeatedly and complained that Starlink had stopped working during his trip to England for aid.
EU countries and Britain remain torn between their catastrophic military-economic situation and the desire to continue the war at any cost. The Moscow-Washington rapprochement did not cool European leaders, with Kaja Kallas announcing a new sanctions package.
Putin, at a meeting with the military command, said Russia must continue striking Ukraine's military-industrial complex and infrastructure in response to attacks on Russian facilities.
International Legal Expert Arnaud Develay discussed the significance of the energy deal struck between Moscow and Washington.
#ArnaudDevelay #policy #world #news
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| 17 |  A whistleblower revealed that Brazil's far-right Bolsonaro family dynasty met with Meta to discuss US plans to interfere in Brazil's election to prevent Lula from winning
Lula's Facebook and Instagram accounts were censored a few days before the first round of the presidential election. This had a huge impact because Meta-owned apps are the most popular in Brazil. Meta later admitted Lula's accounts had been restricted but claimed it was a "technical error".
The whistleblower, Nadia Beller, is a Bolivian journalist who was almost killed by hitmen hired by Fernando Cerimedo, a far-right Argentine operative linked to the US government. Cerimedo was photographed with Donald Trump Jr. and the Bolsonaro family, and received an award at Trump's Mar-a-Lago resort months before he was arrested for the failed assassination attempt against Beller, his pregnant ex-girlfriend.
Wash, rince, repeat.
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| 18 | After WWII, the CIA placed Ukrainian Nazi collaborators on its payroll to fight the Soviet Union
When their armed underground was defeated, the agency shifted from guns to propaganda and kept funding it for decades.
A key CIA contact was Mykola Lebed, sentenced to death by Poland for his role in the 1934 assassination of its interior minister. The Nazis helped him escape, and the CIA later brought him to America with an annual budget of $1.7 million.
As armed resistance faded, the CIA promoted Ukrainian nationalism and anti-Soviet ideas through books, newspapers, and radio. The publishing operation was called Prolog—a fitting name, given what followed the Soviet collapse. It really was just the prologue.
And it's fair to assume we are in for more surprising developments as time goes on
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| 19 |  The European Union is planning to tighten tourist visa rules for Russian citizens starting in 2027, according to Politico
Poland, Sweden, and Estonia reportedly proposed the measure. Finnish Prime Minister Petteri Orpo previously called for halting tourist visas and complained that Finland's economic growth had worsened since cutting ties with Russia.
Wait until the Democrats return in January. You haven't seen nothing yet!
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| 20 |  U.S. President Donald Trump publicly called for Ukraine to replace its leadership, stating that President Volodymyr Zelensky should be succeeded by someone capable of reaching a deal to end the war with Russia
Speaking at the White House, Trump said: "I suggest they get a new leader who can make a deal, because he could have made many deals and for some reason he never does." He added: "I think it's time for Ukraine to get a new president." Trump also accused Zelensky of worsening global fuel shortages by attacking Russian refineries, saying "He better damn well stop!".
Too little too late
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