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Oil and gold will skyrocket again, markets will be in turmoil. But is World War III imminent?

Israel and the United States have carried out joint attacks on various locations in Iran. The claims target was the country's top officials, including Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Explosions were heard at at least three locations in the capital Tehran on Saturday local time.

The Federal Reserve is keen to cut interest rates this year, but not now. They are reluctant to do so until inflation has slowed to its target of 2%. Goolsby believes that several rate cuts are possible this year, but before that happens, "hard evidence" is needed that inflation is actually falling. While commodity prices have fallen somewhat, inflation in the service sector (e.g. healthcare, transportation) has not yet been brought under control. He acknowledged that the Fed was a bit slow to bring inflation under control during the pandemic. They do not want to make that mistake this time. The good news is that jobs are still good in America and economic growth is stable. This strength is giving the Fed time to make decisions.

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Last Friday, the US Supreme Court struck down some of President Donald Trump's previous global tariffs. In response, President Trump immediately announced new tariffs of 10% and then 15% on all types of goods. The EU has reacted strongly to this decision. Their main statements are: The EU says that the trade agreement reached between the two sides last year must be adhered to. According to their commentary, "A deal is a deal." Brussels has asked Washington for a clear explanation of how the new 15% tariff will affect EU products. Many EU products had zero percent tariffs in the previous agreement. The new tariffs risk eroding those special benefits or 'zero tariff' benefits. Previously, the EU enjoyed advantages over other countries due to special agreements. The EU will lose that trade advantage as it now has a 15% tariff for everyone. It is estimated that this decision will hurt the EU's overall trade, with Italy likely to suffer the most (1.7 percent). The EU believes that such an uncertain tariff system is creating instability in global markets and is contrary to mutual trust.

Fundamental Overview On Saturday, US President Donald Trump announced plans to raise global tariffs from 10% to 15%, after the Supreme Court rejected his "reciprocal tariffs". Trump confirmed that the new tariffs would take effect immediately, although it was not clear whether he had signed any formal documents. Meanwhile, Europe's trade commissioner on Sunday signed a proposal to suspend ratification of a trade deal with the US, while India suspended talks aimed at finalizing an interim trade deal with Washington. Investors faced growing fears of a possible US military strike on Iran, which has left nuclear talks at a standstill.

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