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پستهای کانال
| 2 |  بدون متن... | 36 |
| 3 |  hold the sells | 39 |
| 4 |  we still holding them | 40 |
| 5 |  بدون متن... | 39 |
| 6 |  بدون متن... | 37 |
| 7 |  بدون متن... | 37 |
| 8 |  بدون متن... | 61 |
| 9 |  بدون متن... | 75 |
| 10 |  بدون متن... | 81 |
| 11 |  بدون متن... | 78 |
| 12 |  oil is ready for the buys | 68 |
| 13 | we did not get confirmation for the buy before the sell on gold so leave bit alone | 70 |
| 14 |  بدون متن... | 70 |
| 15 |  بدون متن... | 64 |
| 16 | gold played out as i discussed on tik tok live. i am going live now you can join me there | 70 |
| 17 |  بدون متن... | 63 |
| 18 | Market
Main drivers right now
Macro lean and strength
USD
The Fed raised its policy range to 3.75–4.00% on 16 September, citing resilient activity and elevated inflation. Higher US yields and demand for a liquid safe haven are supporting the dollar.
Moderately bullish. Stronger while US yields and rate-hike expectations rise; vulnerable if energy prices ease and yields fall. Fed decision, 25 September market report
JPY
The Bank of Japan raised its rate to 1.25%, but markets questioned whether it would keep tightening. Intervention warnings and official comments helped the yen rebound. Japan’s sensitivity to imported energy is another headwind.
Mixed, with sharp reversal risk. Higher Japanese rates help, but the rate gap with the US and uncertain BOJ guidance still weigh. Intervention risk can cause abrupt yen strength. Rate decision, yen and intervention report
Nasdaq
AI and chip optimism remain supportive, and the index was near record levels. But rising Treasury yields make high-growth stocks more sensitive to discount rates; expensive oil adds inflation and cost pressure.
Cautiously bullish, but fragile. Momentum and AI investment support it; higher yields are the main macro threat. Market report, AP market update
Gold
Safe-haven demand and central-bank buying provide support. Higher real yields and a stronger dollar raise the opportunity cost of holding gold. Recent reporting described gold as pressured by the Fed’s hawkish shift and energy-related inflation concerns.
Mixed, slightly bearish near term; supportive longer term. A renewed risk shock could quickly strengthen gold; persistent high yields are a headwind. World Gold Council market monitor, gold market report
EUR
The ECB raised its deposit rate to 2.50%, pointing to energy-driven inflation, while also revising growth projections upward.
Moderately bullish, but energy-sensitive. A tighter ECB and resilient growth help; expensive imported energy and the US yield advantage limit the case. ECB decision
GBP
The Bank of England held at 3.75%, but three members preferred a hike. UK inflation rose to 3.1% in August, with energy prices the key uncertainty; weaker labour conditions and restrictive borrowing costs constrain growth.
Moderately bullish on rates, mixed overall. Sticky inflation and potential hikes support sterling; soft growth and energy exposure are offsets. BoE September summary
AUD
Australia’s central bank has described inflation pressures from both domestic prices and energy, while the labour market remains relatively strong. The next RBA decision is due 29 September, making near-term policy expectations a key driver.
Slightly bullish, event-sensitive. Rate expectations and export demand help; China/global growth and risk appetite are important swing factors. RBA August outlook, RBA calendar
NZD
The RBNZ raised its cash rate to 2.75% and said further increases may be needed. It also noted high unemployment and that higher fuel costs are squeezing household spending.
Slightly bullish on policy, but capped by weak domestic growth. Further tightening expectations help; the fragile recovery is a counterweight. RBNZ September statement
Oil
Middle East conflict and disrupted flows are driving a large supply-risk premium. Brent recently traded around $100, after a brief move below $98, and remains well above its pre-conflict level.
Bullish, strong but highly volatile. The direction depends heavily on supply and conflict developments; easing disruption could unwind some of the premium quickly. AP oil and market report
CAD
The Bank of Canada held at 2.25% and warned that new US tariffs and Canadian countermeasures add uncertainty. Oil is supportive for Canada’s export income, while trade exposure and weaker growth can weigh.
Mixed, with a modest oil-driven support. Higher oil helps; trade risk and the wide rate gap versus the US limit CAD strength. Bank of Canada decision
CHF
The franc’s safe-haven role supports demand when risk rises. The SNB’s latest assessment was on 24 September; the official page confirms the meeting, but the decision details weren’t available in the source text I could verify.
Mildly bullish as a haven, uncertain on policy. Risk aversion is supportive; central-bank tolerance for franc strength and relative yields matter. SNB policy decisions | 77 |
| 19 | بدون متن... | 79 |
| 20 |  بدون متن... | 81 |
