Crypto Steshenko

⚡️Is Trump pumping up? 😊US-China talks are continuing to be significantly more positive than expected. Trump declared the meeting with Xi "fantastic," and the market has begun to gradually de-escalate tensions between the options. 🕵️‍♂️What was agreed upon: ⏺China will purchase Boeing aircraft (the first such deal in almost 10 years) ⏺Agreements have emerged on American agricultural products and beef ⏺The US and China are separately discussing a list of goods exempt from export restrictions. ⏺Plus, the two countries have taken a central position on the Strait of Hormuz: shipping should reopen. ⏺The US also authorized the sale of Nvidia H200 to Chinese companies. This is a signal not only for the stock market but also for the AI ​​sector. 🚬Essentially, the market is no longer seeing an escalation, but a partial "détente." An additional positive aspect is the scripted side: ⏺The Clarity Act successfully passed the Senate Committee. This is one of the key factors in regulating cryptocurrencies in the US. ⏺However, with the full Senate already voting, only 55 out of 60 votes were in favor of ending debate, so the actual implementation could last until August. 💀The market is gradually evolving: ⏺Clearer "rules of the game" ⏺Regulatory uncertainty ⏺US movement toward legalizing and supporting cryptocurrencies But the main question remains open: What will happen after the trade truce ends at the end of the year? This is currently the main uncertainty for the markets. P.S. For now, this overall backdrop looks significantly better than it did just a few months ago. 💪

⚡️Market De-escalation 😊Reports have emerged that the US and Iran have reached preliminary agreements. It is reported: 🟢The US is ready to partially ease restrictions 🟢Iran is ready to gradually open the Strait of Hormuz 🟢There is no official confirmation yet, but the market is already reacting positively to the fact that negotiations are continuing. 🕵️‍♂️About 20% of global oil trade passes through the Strait of Hormuz, so any de-escalation: 🎙reduces tensions 🗣reduces inflation fears 🎙eases pressure on markets 🟡which is why risk assets have started to revive. 💀Bitcoin has again consolidated above $80,000, and sentiment on social media is becoming increasingly bullish. The ratio of bullish to bearish comments is already at its highest in months. There are currently several key resistance zones for BTC: 🟡 $88.8k — the first significant area 🟡 $93.4k — the next pressure zone 🟡 $111.8k (very bullish) — the largest resistance above the market If geopolitics continues to calm and liquidity remains positive, the market could well begin to move toward the next ranges But don't forget: 🟡This is a period of mild euphoria 🟡The market is still reacting strongly to news 🟡Any statements can dramatically change sentiment P.S. Whatever one may say, the situation now looks significantly better than it did just a few weeks ago. 🚬

⚡️Fed Meeting 🥰The Fed will make its rate decision today: ⏺FOMC meeting - 9:00 PM ⏺FOMC press conference - 9:30 PM Baseline scenario: unchanged. Reason: inflation remains high, and oil prices are pushing up. But right now, the rate is less important than: ⏺This could be Powell's last speech ⏺The market will pay maximum attention to rhetoric ⏺Economic and energy data What to expect ⏺Cautious tone ⏺Acknowledgment of risks to the economy ⏺No hint of an imminent rate cut 🚬Historically, the situation hasn't been the most positive either—at the last nine meetings, the market has fallen eight times. That is, even without a rate change, the event itself often becomes a trigger for a correction: ⏺The market may be more sensitive to news now. ⏺Any harsh wording is a reason for a decline. ⏺Even a neutral outcome doesn't guarantee growth. But if the rhetoric suddenly turns out to be softer than expected, this could become an unexpected driver of growth. 💀

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