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LIVE ON FOMC MEETING https://us06web.zoom.us/j/85695743111?pwd=DdKOwfLRjP3QCr2Mn3SqQ4kRpXzMA0.1

Warsh’s plan for a more opaque Fed will get put to the test by markets on edge Key Points ➡️Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh will preside over his second Federal Open Market Committee meeting and hold his second press conference on Wednesday. ➡️Markets will carefully watch every word Warsh says as the chairman vows to say less as chairman and has teased the idea of abandoning press conferences following every FOMC meeting. ➡️Fed funds futures markets expect the Fed to hold rates steady.

Fed maintains rate: 76% Hike 25bps: 24% Hike >25bps: 1% 🇺🇸US DOLLAR🔼📈📊

Fed decision in July? Begins in 2h 15m 25s · Jul 29, 1:00pm EDT

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🏛️ FED WATCH Kalshi traders see a 77% chance the Fed holds rates today and a 23% chance of a surprise 25bp hike. Citadel Securities disagrees, expecting Chair Kevin Warsh to raise rates to reinforce the Fed's inflation-fighting credibility and signal the end of the forward-guidance era. With markets split, today's decision and Warsh's remarks could set the tone for the rest of 2026. kalshi.com/markets/kxfedd…

TREASURY YIELDS EDGE LOWER AHEAD OF THE FED RATE DECISION AS OIL PRICES TUMBLE Treasury yields continued to retreat on Tuesday as traders await this week’s Federal Reserve interest rate decision, while the ongoing pause in U.S.-Iran hostilities sent oil prices lower, raising hopes of a more sustainable ceasefire arrangement. ● The 10-year Treasury note yield — the main benchmark for mortgages, auto loans and credit card debt — was down by 2 basis points at 4.622%. ● The yield on the 2-year Treasury note, which tends to react in line with short-term Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, was also 2 basis points lower at 4.301%. ● The longer-dated 30-year Treasury yield, which is often sensitive to geopolitical events, was seen more than 1 basis point lower at 5.111%. One basis point equals 0.01%, or 1/100th of 1%, and yields and prices move inversely to one another. ⏺Join Our Premium Community Today → @SroshMayi_Bot

Strong Bearish for gold