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📊Gold corrects slightly, but bullish trend remains intact
The gold (XAU) price retreated slightly by 0.09% on Thursday after reaching a record peak in the previous trading session. Gold's bullish trend remains intact, fuelled by anticipated U.S. rate cuts and global macroeconomic and political uncertainty.
👉Possible effects for traders
Yesterday's decline in XAUUSD was most likely a technical correction, as a strong short-term rally lost steam near a major $3,050 resistance level. 'Speculators are trying to take advantage of the market and take some profit off the table... I think anytime gold sets a high, we see a little bit of resistance. Gold is not even acting as a safe-haven asset yet to retail investors because, technically, we're not in a recession. We are seeing the slowdown in the economy, and that could very well create further uncertainty and more desire for safe-haven assets', said Alex Ebkarian, chief operating officer at Allegiance Gold.
Jerome Powell, Fed Chair, said on Wednesday that U.S. President Donald Trump's policies, including extensive import tariffs, may have slowed U.S. economic growth and increased inflation. Even though the U.S. inflation remains above the Federal Reserve's (Fed) official target, FOMC members continue to predict two 25-basis-point (bps) rate cuts by the end of the year. Donald Trump criticised the Fed for leaving the current rate on hold at the last meeting. Meanwhile, the latest interest rate swaps market data implies a 26% chance that the Fed benchmark rate will be lowered into the 3.5–3.75% range, 75 bps below the current level.
XAUUSD fell during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today's macroeconomic calendar doesn't feature any major data releases, so volatility may remain relatively low. 'In our bull case, we see gold prices reaching $3,500 per ounce by year-end, underpinned by much higher hedging or investment demand on fears of US hard landing or stagflation', analysts at Citi said in a note.
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