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Merry Christmas🎄❤️

The “Santa Rally” is a real stock market phenomenon. Historically, the stock market tends to rise during the last week of December and the first two trading days of January. While there’s no definitive reason, experts think it might be due to festive optimism, year-end tax strategies, and low trading volumes. Start Trading: https://bit.ly/attexpertoption

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📊 Gold is pressured by the strong U.S. dollar Gold prices (XAU) declined by 0.39% on Monday, pressured by the strong U.S. dollar and rising yields on Treasury securities as investors awaited clearer signals regarding the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy for 2025. 👉 Possible effects for traders The market is digesting the recent meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and the implications of less aggressive rate cuts in the coming year. Additionally, the release of data on U.S. consumer confidence, a key indicator of spending, surprised the market on Monday. Traders will watch for more information on initial jobless claims and other economic indicators at the beginning of the year to better understand the possible path of the Fed's monetary policy. Meanwhile, the incoming administration of President-elect Donald Trump is expected to bring about changes in economic policies, which could impact gold prices in the future. On Monday, November's U.S. Durable Goods Orders report showed weaker-than-anticipated figures, although orders for capital goods were slightly stronger than expected. The order for durable goods fell by 1.1% month-over-month, lower than the expected 0.3%. Meanwhile, October data was revised upwards and was at 0.8%, compared to the previous estimate of 0.3%. The orders for capital goods, excluding defence and aircraft—a proxy for capital spending, increased by 0.7% month-over-month, exceeding the expectation of 0.1%. Also, the New Home Sales revealed only a figure of 664,000 instead of the expected increase of 669,000. Moreover, the December U.S. Consumer Confidence index decreased towards 104.7, significantly lower than the anticipated increase towards 113.2. If the data continues to be weaker than expected, the Fed may consider cutting rates more willingly in 2025. XAUUSD was moving bullish during Asian and early European trading hours, trying to regain some Monday losses. Due to the lack of important news and the upcoming Christmas holidays, analysts expect low volatility in the pair this week. Sign Up Now ➡️https://tlt.ink/octa

📊 The euro declines due to the strong U.S. dollar The euro (EUR) declined slightly on Monday, as recent central bank meetings influenced the market and set expectations for different paths of interest rate reductions next year. 👉 Possible effects for traders The Federal Reserve (Fed) announced last week that it expected a more gradual decrease in interest rates compared to market expectations, causing the dollar and U.S. Treasury securities to increase significantly. Traders anticipate a decrease of 35 basis points in U.S. interest rates next year, lower than the two 25-basis-point cuts the Fed predicted last week. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market price in a more than 50% probability of a rate cut only at the Fed meeting in May. Additionally, the passing of spending legislation by the U.S. Congress on Saturday, preventing a government shutdown, has boosted investors' confidence. In an interview with the Financial Times published on Monday, Christine Lagarde, the President of the European Central Bank (ECB), stated that the eurozone was close to achieving the ECB's medium-term inflation target. In a statement released earlier in December, she emphasised that if inflation continues to decrease towards the 2% target, the central bank will further lower interest rates, as there is no longer a need to control price growth. EURUSD was declining during Asian and early European trading hours, continuing the established downward trend from previous trading sessions. Trading volumes will likely be lower this week due to the upcoming holiday period. Sign Up Now ➡️https://tlt.ink/octa

📊 AUDUSD moves sideways due to uncertainty of RBA's policy The Australian dollar (AUD) continued to move within a relatively narrow range of 0.62200–0.62600 on Monday after the announcement by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) about considering a rate reduction. Nonetheless, more economic data will be required to confirm whether inflation has begun to slow. 👉 Possible effects for traders Although positive U.S. inflation data on Friday helped to alleviate some concerns about the pace of Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts next year, markets continue to anticipate cuts of 35 basis points (bps) in 2025, according to Jonas Goltermann of Capital Economics. He suggests that the U.S. (USD) dollar will continue to strengthen next year due to the U.S. economy's strength, the widening difference between U.S. interest rates and other G10 countries, and the possibility of tariff impositions by the Donald Trump administration. With Trump entering the White House in January, global central banks are being cautious in their monetary policies due to uncertainty surrounding Trump's plans regarding tariffs, taxation, and immigration policies. The minutes of the RBA December meeting revealed that the board considers it necessary to maintain a tight monetary policy. However, the minutes also indicated that the bank is open to easing the policy as early as February if the data shows an inflation slowdown. The RBA's unexpected shift toward a more accommodative stance during the meeting surprised many, and markets have subsequently increased the likelihood of a rate cut in February towards approximately 50%. Market participants fully price in a 25-bps decrease in April, with an implied rate for July at 3.85%. This more dovish RBA stance contrasts with the cautious approach of the Fed, weighing on the Australian dollar. Also, risk aversion and concerns regarding China's economic prospects put bearish pressure on AUDUSD. AUDUSD continues to move sideways during Asian and early European trading hours. Low market volatility was expected as it's Christmas Eve today. Sign Up Now ➡️https://tlt.ink/octa

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