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📊 Weak U.S. economic statistics support gold Gold (XAU) gained 1.97% on Thursday as the U.S. dollar (USD) weakened after the release of April inflation data, which signalled a potential shift in monetary expectations. 👉Possible effects for traders According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 2.4% year-on-year, down from 3.4% in March, aligning with analyst expectations. Core PPI, which excludes food and energy, increased by 3.1%, easing from 4% but slightly exceeding the forecast of 3%. This slowdown in wholesale prices suggests easing inflationary pressures at the production level, which could influence the Federal Reserve's (Fed) policy stance. Adding to the softening economic signals, U.S. retail sales for April grew by just 0.1% month-on-month—a sharp slowdown from the robust 1.7% increase in March—below the expected 0.15%. This decline in consumer spending, alongside cooling producer prices, reinforces speculation that the Fed may adopt a more cautious approach to future rate hikes or consider easing policy if the trend persists. These developments contributed to the downward pressure on the U.S. dollar. XAUUSD fell during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the University of Michigan (UoM) will release a preliminary report on U.S. Consumer Sentiment at 2:00 p.m. UTC. Lower-than-expected figures might increase the likelihood of more rate cuts by the Fed later this year, pushing XAUUSD higher. Conversely, higher-than-expected results may temporarily pause the rally in gold. Sign Up Now ➡️https://bit.ly/attocta Partner Code ➡️ 37888

📊 Euro benefits from weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data On Thursday, the euro (EUR) gained 0.10% against the U.S. dollar (USD), after downside surprises in U.S. economic data have reinforced market expectations for additional Federal Reserve rate cuts later this year. 👉Possible effects for traders In a speech on Thursday, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell stated that policymakers are re-evaluating their approach to balancing the dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment. Powell emphasised the need to reconsider the underlying assumptions guiding monetary policy, particularly in light of recent inflation dynamics and labour market trends. His remarks suggest a potential pivot in strategy, aligning with expectations that further easing may be necessary to support the economy. 'Chair Powell said that the FOMC will be placing more weight on the inflation outlook than on employment when setting monetary policy following a monetary policy framework review. This suggests a potentially higher hurdle to Fed cuts if inflation risks remain to the upside', said Kristina Clifton, Senior Currency Strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia. 'We forecast three FOMC interest rate cuts this year. But the risks lie towards fewer cuts if inflation picks up'. EURUSD rose slightly during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, euro traders should focus on developments in global trade tariffs and the peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. Additionally, the U.S. Retail Sales report, due at 12:30 p.m. UTC, may add volatility to all USD pairs. Higher-than-expected figures may push EURUSD down towards 1.11660. Conversely, lower-than-expected results may lift the pair back towards 1.12680. Sign Up Now ➡️https://bit.ly/attocta Partner Code ➡️ 37888

📊 BTC consolidates ahead of the next big move Bitcoin (BTC) rose by 0.23% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Thursday and moved near $104,000 on the expectation of decisions regarding the U.S. interest rate and tariffs policy.Bitcoin (BTC) rose by 0.23% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Thursday and moved near $104,000 on the expectation of decisions regarding the U.S. interest rate and tariffs policy. 👉Possible effects for traders Softer readings across key U.S. economic indicators—including inflation and consumer spending—have led investors to price in a more dovish policy trajectory. This shift reflects growing concerns that economic momentum is losing steam, prompting a reassessment of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) ability to maintain higher rates without risking a deeper slowdown. 'I have a suspicion that this is not just about tariffs, I have a suspicion that there's an underlying tone of weakness in the U.S. consumer', said Thierry Wizman, Global FX and Rates Strategist at Macquarie. 'It is the tariffs, but it's also the underlying weakness among U.S. consumers at this point, and Q2 will be a weak quarter for growth, given that we came into it with poor sentiment and a lot of uncertainty around policy. And it has not been completely resolved yet, despite what we did with China last weekend'. BTCUSD rose slightly during Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, traders should focus on the University of Michigan (UoM) Consumer Sentiment data at 2:00 p.m. UTC. The report may spur volatility, as it could shed light on potential shifts in U.S. monetary policy. Key levels to watch are support at $101,400 and resistance at $105,000. Sign Up Now ➡️https://bit.ly/attocta Partner Code ➡️ 37888

#economic_calendar This events may affect the market on 16 May.

Chart: US500📈 US500 continued to make higher highs. The higher swings and an EMA golden-cross suggest strengthening bullish momentum. If US500 breaks above the resistance at 5920, the index may surge toward the all-time high at 6150. Conversely, staying below 5920 may prompt US500 to retest the support at 5690.

📊 Gold hits four-week low Gold (XAU) dropped by over 2.23% on Wednesday as easing global trade tensions reduced demand for safe-haven assets. 👉 Possible effects for traders The decline—the fourth in six trading sessions—reflects a shift in investors' interest toward riskier assets after the U.S. reached trade agreements with the U.K. and China. Demand for safe-haven assets is also weakening due to easing geopolitical tensions. Ukraine and Russia are preparing for ceasefire talks on Thursday, and the conflict between India and Pakistan concluded with a ceasefire agreement over the weekend. 'A ceasefire between Pakistan and India, as well as intense focus on a Russia-Ukraine solution, also helped lower the geopolitical temperature, reducing the need for safe havens', wrote Ole Hansen, the Head of Commodity Strategy at Saxo Bank. XAUUSD continued to decline during the Asian and early European trading sessions, hitting a four-week low below $3,149. Today, the U.S. will release two macroeconomic reports: Jobless Claims and Producer Price Index data at 12:30 p.m. UTC. The data may add extra volatility to the market and influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance, impacting both the U.S. dollar and gold. Key levels to watch are resistance at $3,195 and support at $3,140. Sign Up Now ➡️https://bit.ly/attocta Partner Code ➡️ 37888

📊 Euro rises amid trade policy uncertainty On Wednesday, the euro (EUR) briefly touched an intraday high of 1.12661 but later retreated and closed 0.11% lower. The decline was due to investors looking for new indications that global trade tensions would continue to subside. 👉 Possible effects for traders The U.S. dollar index surged over 1% on Monday, reaching a one-month high, after the United States and China agreed to temporarily lower mutual tariffs — easing concerns that a prolonged trade war between the world’s two largest economies could trigger a global recession. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) surged by over 1% on Monday and reached a one-month high. The index strengthened after the U.S. and China agreed to temporarily lower mutual tariffs, easing concerns that a trade war between the world's two largest economies could trigger a global recession. 'Obviously, everything's still pretty focused on trade these days, that's still kind of a big catalyst moving things around', said Brad Bechtel, global head of FX at Jefferies in Global Head of FX at Jefferies in New York. 'There's a lot of volatility in the Asian currency space still, but the dollar should still be in a counter-trend bounce and then will ultimately start to turn lower again, potentially on some sort of backdoor or behind-closed-doors arrangement'. EURUSD rose slightly during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, euro traders should focus on news about global trade tariffs and the peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. Additionally, the U.S. Retail Sales report, due at 12:30 p.m. UTC, may add volatility to all USD pairs. Higher-than-expected figures may push EURUSD down towards 1.11660. Conversely, lower-than-expected results could lift the pair back towards 1.12680. Sign Up Now ➡️https://bit.ly/attocta Partner Code ➡️ 37888

📊 AUD rebounds after strong jobs report During Wednesday's volatile trading session, the Australian dollar (AUD) lost 0.66% against the U.S. dollar (USD). 👉 Possible effects for traders 'After the optimism of the past couple of days, the market is back to being very sceptical and fearful, perhaps of the uncertainties that are ahead', said Rabobank's Head of FX Strategy Jane Foley. 'We have certainly seen the U.S. dollar behaving as a risky currency' since the tariff announcement on 2 April, she said. The Australian unemployment rate remains steady at 4.1%, aligning with expectations. The robust employment figures have prompted markets to reassess the likelihood of aggressive monetary easing. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is anticipated to deliver a 25-basis-point rate cut at its upcoming meeting. Still, traders have moderated expectations for further rate reductions, reflecting confidence in the labour market's resilience and the potential for inflationary pressures to persist. The Australian dollar rebounded towards 0.64400 during Asian and early European trading hours, recovering some of the losses from the previous session. The uptick followed the release of stronger-than-expected labour market data, which reinforced a more hawkish sentiment around the RBA policy outlook. The data showed the economy added 89,000 net new jobs in April—significantly surpassing the consensus forecast of 20,000—and pushing total employment to a record high of 14.64 million. Today, traders should watch for the U.S. macroeconomic data: the U.S. Retail Sales report will come out at 1:30 p.m. UTC and may affect AUDUSD. Higher-than-expected data may push the pair downward towards 0.63500, while softer data may support AUDUSD. Sign Up Now ➡️https://bit.ly/attocta Partner Code ➡️ 37888

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#economic_calendar These events will affect the market on 15 May.

📊Gold gains on U.S. inflation data Gold (XAU) rose by over 0.45% on Tuesday, after data showed U.S. consumer inflation picked up less than expected in April 👉Possible effects for traders Easing trade tensions between the U.S. and China have reduced demand for safe-haven assets, resulting in a 0.4% decline in gold towards $3,234. However, ongoing concerns about global economic instability, currency devaluation, and geopolitical risks continue to support gold's role as a protective asset. Central banks—especially those in emerging markets—have increased gold purchases to diversify their reserves and safeguard against potential sanctions, further strengthening underlying demand. 'The numbers were a little higher than I was looking for, but... year-to-year, 2.3%, that's not bad', Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital in New York, said about the U.S. inflation data. 'The report basically indicates that the Federal Reserve (Fed) needs to be very cautious and that the stand that they have taken is probably the right course, for now'. XAUUSD fell slightly during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the calendar is relatively uneventful, but traders should continue to monitor developments around global trade tariffs. If the rhetoric continues to ease, XAUUSD will likely experience a sharp downward correction. Additionally, three Fed policymakers will give speeches later today, and their comments may spur volatility in XAUUSD. Key levels to watch are resistance at $3,262 and support at $3,192. Sign Up Now ➡️https://bit.ly/attocta Partner Code ➡️ 37888