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📊 Tariff fears weigh on AUD as global recession concerns rise On Monday, the Australian dollar (AUD) lost 0.11% against the U.S. dollar (USD) as safe-haven flows into the greenback increased after U.S. President Donald Trump said tariffs on Mexico and Canada would proceed as planned. 👉 Possible effects for traders Trump said that tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports are proceeding as planned for the 4 March deadline, despite the countries' attempts to strengthen border security and curb fentanyl trafficking. There were hopes that the U.S.'s top two trading partners could convince the Trump administration to postpone tariffs impacting over $918 billion worth of imports, but this isn't happening. Higher tariffs threaten to destabilise global trade and potentially trigger a global recession. As a highly risk-sensitive currency, AUD suffers due to the increased uncertainty surrounding global economic growth and the potential slowdown of Australia's export-driven economy. At the same time, AUDUSD received minor support after the People's Bank of China's (PBoC) annual policy statement revealed a comprehensive strategy to advance rural reforms and support real-estate development. If realised, the strategy may help stimulate Chinese economic growth, which could bolster demand for Australian commodities and lift AUDUSD. AUDUSD was rising slightly during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today's main focus is the U.S. CB Consumer Confidence Index, due at 3:00 p.m. UTC. However, AUD pairs may be more affected by the Australian Consumer Price Index (CPI) report tomorrow at 12:30 a.m. UTC. The market expects weighted CPI to remain at 2.5%. Higher-than-expected results may lower the chances of a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia in May, providing a bullish impact on AUDUSD. Conversely, lower-than-expected figures will almost certainly secure a rate cut in May and may push AUDUSD below 0.63190. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

#economic_calendar This event may affect the market on 25 February. 🔥 Don't forget to get a 100% deposit bonus!

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When you realize it's Monday, and the market is open

📊 Strong safe-haven demand supports gold price The gold (XAU) price remained relatively unchanged on Friday and continued to hover near all-time highs, driven by strong safe-haven demand. 👉 Possible effects for traders XAUUSD rose by over 11% in 2025 as global economic and political uncertainties have intensified investors' appetite for gold, pushing prices to record highs above $2,950. Specifically, concerns over U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff plans have weighed heavily on market sentiment, sparking fears of a potential global trade war and a subsequent economic slowdown. These tariff concerns and persistent geopolitical tensions in key regions have created a climate of heightened risk aversion. 'Demand for gold is currently being driven primarily by western investors and central banks. ETF investors appear to be jumping on the bandwagon', Commerzbank analysts said in a note. Trump's newly announced tariff plans, revealed this week, broaden the scope of existing duties to include lumber and forest products, adding to previously declared tariffs on imported cars, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals. 'Gold's safe-haven role is not fully realised yet as the shift from riskier assets to safer ones is not significant, with money still on the sidelines', said Alex Ebkarian, chief operating officer at Allegiance Gold. XAUUSD was rising during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today's macroeconomic calendar is relatively uneventful, so the likelihood of big moves is relatively low. This week's main focus is on the U.S. publications: CB Consumer Confidence on Tuesday and Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index on Friday. Additionally, investors should monitor the Russia-Ukraine peace talks. Any progress there may be treated as a sign of reduced geopolitical risk, potentially dampening safe-haven demand for gold and leading to a temporary pullback. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 EURUSD starts to recover after a long downtrend The euro (EUR) lost 0.4% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Friday as investors consolidated positions ahead of the weekend and monitored more tariff announcements. 👉 Possible effects for traders EURUSD has been recovering for the past month. After setting a multi-month low on 13 January, the pair has risen above the critical 1.04150 level and remains above the 25-day moving average. This recovery can be attributed to several factors, including a shift in market sentiment regarding the potential divergence in monetary policy between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB). Indeed, the divergence in monetary policy expectations between the two central banks has been priced in well in advance. Furthermore, while still showing some signs of weakness, eurozone economic data wasn't as bleak as some analysts had feared. This contributed to a renewed confidence in the euro. EURUSD was rising strongly during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the formal macroeconomic calendar is uneventful. However, several relatively minor eurozone macroeconomic reports may stoke some volatility in EUR pairs. Investors should follow the final Consumer Price Index data at 10:00 a.m. UTC and the German Bundesbank monthly report at 12:00 p.m. UTC. A break above 1.05264 would open the way towards 1.05474, while a drop below 1.05050 would enable bears to target 1.04910. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Canadian dollar weakens due to U.S. dollar's rebound The Canadian dollar (CAD) lost 0.32% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Friday, primarily due to a technical rebound in the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). 👉 Possible effects for traders The greenback is undergoing a technical rebound after suffering a sustained sell-off in recent weeks, and other currencies are also seeing risk discounts come back as trade worries return', said Karl Schamotta, chief market strategist at Corpay in Toronto. An additional factor contributing to CAD's recent weakness is the Bank of Canada's (BOC) stance on interest rates. On Friday, BOC gave a clear signal that it would cut interest rates to support the economy in case of a trade war with the U.S. Provided the inflationary impact of tariffs is not too big, monetary policy can help smooth the (economy's) adjustment by supporting demand so it doesn't weaken too much more than supply', said Tiff Macklem, BOC Governor. 'Governor Macklem is finally saying the quiet part out loud. After having been non-committal about the likely monetary policy response to U.S. tariffs, he's now being clearer that the central bank would likely cut rates more than it would have otherwise if a trade war erupts,' said Royce Mendes, managing director and head of macro strategy at Desjardins. According to Reuters, investors see a 43% chance of a March rate cut by the BoC, up from 33% before Macklem's speech. USDCAD fell during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today's macroeconomic calendar is uneventful, so the likelihood of big moves in CAD pairs is relatively low. However, Statistics Canada will release its latest report on corporate profits at 1:30 p.m. UTC, which may lead to above-normal volatility. Key levels to watch are support at 1.41749 and resistance at 1.42052. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

GBPUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart GBPUSD retested the resistance level of 1.26900 👉General outlook GBPUSD has been under buying pressure within the last day. The pair rose to the resistance level of 1.26900. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 1.26689. Set your stop loss at 1.26991 above the previous high ($3.02 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.26388 ($3.02 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

#weekly_outlook 🔎 Keeping up-to-date with the market helps you make better trading decisions Here’s a Weekly Market Outlook for 24 – 28 February from Vito Henjoto. Stay informed and trade wisely.

XAUUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart XAUUSD retested the resistance level of 2,942.00 👉General outlook XAUUSD has been under buying pressure within the last day. The pair rose to the resistance level of 2,942.00. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 2,939.50. Set your stop loss at 2,951.80 above the previous high ($12.30 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 2,927.20 ($12.30 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

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🔗 Trade crypto in the Octa app 💡 What's happening? Bitcoin rebounded from the $94,100 support level last week, shifting into a bullish trend. The key catalyst? The Utah State Senate's approval of a bill allowing the state Treasury to invest in digital assets with a market cap over $500B—a category that currently includes only Bitcoin. Investors are already reacting, pushing BTC higher. 🔹 Utah's move could set a precedent for institutional Bitcoin reserves, driving long-term demand. 🔹 Munib Ali, co-founder of Stacks, predicts that two-thirds of Bitcoin Layer-2 projects may not survive the next three years, with market focus shifting back to BTC over networks like Ethereum and Solana. 🔹 Since early February, BTC/USD has been trading between $94,100 and $100,200, with analysts expecting further movement based on investor sentiment. 📉 If BTC fails to break $100,200, it could reverse toward $94,100 support. 📈 A breakout above $100,200 could trigger a rally to $106,000. @octa_analytics

📊 Gold continues grinding higher despite a more hawkish Fed outlook The price of gold (XAU) remained stable on Thursday. Still, XAUUSD continues rising for the eighth week straight, driven by worries about President Donald Trump's tariff plans, which could lead to trade conflicts and fuel inflation. 👉 Possible effects for traders Earlier this week, Trump announced that he'd impose more tariffs in the next month or so. He added lumber and other forest products to his plans to tax imported cars, chips, and medicine. Since he took office, Trump has already imposed a 10% tax on Chinese imports and an even bigger 25% tax on steel and aluminium. The Federal Reserve (Fed) worries about the impact of Trump's policies, like trade and immigration, on inflation. Fed official Adriana Kugler said it's best to keep interest rates where they are for now, considering all the uncertainty. Gold is a protection against geopolitical risk and inflation, but higher interest rates make it less attractive. Despite this, gold has been holding up well with short dips. The U.S. economy is still struggling, so the trade uncertainties are really boosting the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset, according to IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong. He said buyers are seriously eyeing the $3,000 price level, and it's hard to see them going against the overall upward trend. Meanwhile, Swiss gold exports increased year-on-year in January. The supply of gold to the U.S. soared to its highest level in at least the last 13 years, offsetting the lower deliveries to China and India, the two biggest consumers of Swiss gold. These were the findings from the Swiss customs data released on Thursday. XAUUSD slightly declines during Asian and early European trading hours. Today, the U.S. SP Global Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) report will be released at 2:45 p.m. UTC. A reading that exceeds expectations will be seen as a negative sign for XAUUSD, while a number falling short of expectations may contniue a bullish trend in the precious metal. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Euro rises ahead of economic report and German elections On Thursday, the euro (EUR) increased by 0.76% due to the anticipation of European Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data on Friday and the upcoming German elections over the weekend. 👉 Possible effects for traders The yields on U.S. government bonds declined after a series of soft U.S. economic data and comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials. The President of the Fed Bank of Chicago, Austan Goolsbee, stated that he doesn't anticipate the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE)—the preferred inflation gauge of the central bank—to be as alarming as the recently reported Consumer Price Index. The President of the St. Louis Fed, Alberto Musalem, highlighted the risks of stagflation and the potential challenges this scenario could pose for policymakers. This week, the foreign ministers of the G20 leading economies were convening in South Africa. Senior U.S. officials declined to attend the meeting, and media reports on Thursday indicated that the U.S. opposed addressing Russian aggression at a virtual G7 meeting on Monday. Daniel Moreno, head of emerging market debt at Mirabaud, stated that the expectation that Donald Trump would broker a peace agreement providing Ukraine with long-term security has been largely dashed. 'The way things are progressing with the U.S.-Russia talks and Trump's criticisms, the market is now realising that this is no longer the baseline scenario', he said. 'Trump is not indicating in any way that the resolution will be beneficial for Ukraine in any way', Moreno added. EURUSD moved sideways during Asian and early European trading hours. The German SP Global PMI report comes out at 11:30 a.m. UTC. A higher-than-expected reading should be considered bullish for the EURUSD, while a lower-than-expected number may put bearish pressure on the pair. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Growing institutional interest pushes BTC higher On Thursday, Bitcoin (BTC) increased by 1.77% because the Utah Senate was set to vote on a bill regarding Bitcoin reserves. Additionally, Muneeb Ali, the co-founder of Stacks, expressed his concern that most Bitcoin layer-2 projects will become obsolete within three years. 👉 Possible effects for traders On 20 February, Utah's Senate voted to pass a bill that would create a Bitcoin reserve. This bill is now going through further stages of the legislative process, including two more readings before it gets a final vote. It has already passed through the House of Representatives and is now on its way to the governor for signing. The bill allows the state treasury to invest in digital assets with a market cap of over $500 billion in the last year. So far, only Bitcoin fits that criteria, so this bill is mostly about creating a Bitcoin reserve for the state. Dennis Porter, the CEO of Satoshi Action Fund, thinks Utah will be the first state to have a BTC reserve. He says it's because of Utah's shorter legislative calendar and the current interest in crypto. According to Muneeb Ali, co-founder of Stacks, more than two-thirds of existing Bitcoin layer-2 (L2) projects will cease to exist over the next three years due to the fading of initial enthusiasm. During an interview with Cointelegraph at Consensus 2025, Ali discussed the recent updates to Stacks—a Bitcoin L2 project originally launched as Blockstack in 2013—and noted that the initial excitement for these projects begins to wane. Stacks recently completed a significant network upgrade called Nakamoto, which improved the user experience. Ali added that another major development is that 100% of Bitcoin hash is now backing Stacks. As a result, users can experience faster confirmation times on the L2. Regarding the Bitcoin L2 ecosystem more broadly, Ali stated that many projects are realising that the market is challenging. He also predicted that the market would shift towards Bitcoin (BTC) as other prominent layer-1 networks, such as Ethereum and Solana, experienced a decline. During the Asian and early European trading hours, the price of BTCUSD fluctuated within a narrow range. The U.S. SP Global Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) report will be released today at 2:45 p.m. UTC. A reading that exceeds expectations may put downward pressure on BTCUSD, while a lower-than-expected number may trigger a bullish trend in the cryptocurrency market. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

#economic_calendar These events may affect the market on 21 February. 🔥 Don't forget to get a 100% deposit bonus!

BTCUSD, 30-minute timeframe chart **BTCUSD retested the support level of 96,800.00 👉General outlook** BTCUSD has been trading in a sideways market for the last couple of hours. The pair dropped to the support level of 96,800.00. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 97,000.00. Set your stop loss at 96,100.00 below the previous low ($9.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 97,900.00 ($9.00 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Geopolitical uncertainty and Trump's policies push gold towards new highs On Wednesday, gold (XAU) held near a historic high at $2,947. Investors sought refuge in the precious metal amid concerns about the potential impact of President Trump's tariff plans on inflation and the global trade conflict. 👉 Possible effects for traders The outlook for global trade and inflation remains uncertain, which is favourable for gold. The price of gold is within reach of the $3,000 mark, according to Tim Waterer, a chief market analyst at KCM Trade. Since taking office, President Trump has imposed a 10% tariff on Chinese imports and 25% duties on steel and aluminium. He announced on Wednesday that he would introduce taxes on lumber, cars, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals 'in the next month or sooner'. The Federal Reserve's (Fed) minutes from its last policy meeting revealed that Trump's initial policy proposals raised concerns about higher inflation and confirmed that they would continue to pause rate cuts. Despite the possibility of fewer rate reductions this year, market participants remain optimistic about the overall outlook for gold. Gold has been and will continue to benefit from a strong physical market demand, supported by robust purchases by central banks and the transition of physical gold exchange-traded funds from sellers to marginal buyers', said Trevor Yates, an analyst at Global X. 'If we consider potential risks that could slow down gold prices, the demand for a safe haven could decrease if a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine gets closer', Waterer said. On Wednesday, Trump criticised Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, called him a 'dictator', and warned that he must act swiftly to secure peace or risk losing his country. Bullion benefits from geopolitical tensions and rising inflation, but higher interest rates diminish the appeal of this non-yielding asset. XAUUSD resumed its growth during Asian and early European trading hours after a minor correction at the end of yesterday's trading hours. Today, market participants will be waiting for the U.S. Jobless Claims report data at 1:30 p.m. UTC. A higher-than-expected reading may support the growth, while lower data may trigger bearish momentum in the precious metal. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH