Octa Analytics

GBPUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart 👉General outlook GBPUSD has been under buying pressure within the last couple of hours. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 1.34450. Set your stop loss at 1.34110 below the previous low ($3.40 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.34790 ($3.40 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. @octa_analytics

#economic_calendar These events may affect the market on 15 July. 🔥 Don't forget to get a 100% deposit bonus!

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📊 Last week’s market performance recap A breakdown of key gains and losses across major instruments: 🚀 Top performers 🔹 USDZAR +1.97%—the rand weakened sharply as risk sentiment soared 🔹 USDJPY +1.93%—yen weakened as the dollar maintained its dominance 🔹 USDCAD +0.62%—tariffs on Canadian goods pressured the loonie ❌ Top losers 🔹 GBPUSD –1.12%—the pound fell on weak GDP and dovish BoE tone 🔹 NZDUSD –0.86%— the Kiwi underperformed amid global risk aversion 🔹 EURUSD –0.76%—euro slipped after new U.S.–EU trade tensions 📉 Trump’s surprise tariff plan sparked a dollar rally and risk-off mood, sending emerging market and European currencies lower. Despite the stronger greenback, gold still posted modest gains. Follow @octa_analytics for more expert information

BTCUSD, 1-hour timeframe chart 👉General outlook BTCUSD has been trading in a bullish trend within the last day. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 122,558.82. Set your stop loss at 125,377.95 above the previous high ($28.19 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 119,739.69 ($28.19 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. @octa_analytics

USDCAD, 30-minute timeframe chart 👉General outlook USDCAD has been trading in a sideways market for the last couple of hours. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 1.36920. Set your stop loss at 1.37180 above the previous high ($1.90 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.36660 ($1.90 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. @octa_analytics

📊 USDJPY hits two-week high The Japanese yen (JPY) rose towards 147.500 on Friday amid escalating global trade tensions. 👉 Possible effects for traders The move followed U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement of a 30% tariff on imports from the EU and Mexico, effective 1 August. This fuelled concerns about potential disruptions in global trade flows, prompting investors to reposition into safe-haven assets such as the yen. In response to the U.S. tariff measures, EU and Mexican leaders said they would continue negotiations with Washington to secure a lower tariff rate. The EU is reportedly advancing discussions with other nations affected by the tariffs, including Canada and Japan. These developments highlight the risk of a prolonged period of trade uncertainty, keeping markets on edge and supporting sustained demand for the yen as a hedge against global volatility. Domestically, Japan's economic data showed signs of stabilisation, with core machinery orders falling by 0.6% month-on-month to ¥913.5 billion in May. This marked a notable improvement from April's steep 9.1% decline and beat expectations of a 1.5% drop. Although the figure remains negative, it indicates underlying resilience in Japan's capital spending outlook. The data offers some support for the broader economic narrative as the country navigates external trade risks and a fragile global growth backdrop. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Trump's 30% tariffs pressure euro The euro (EUR) declined towards 1.16700 on Monday. EURUSD reached its lowest level in over two weeks after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 30% tariff on imports from the EU and Mexico, effective 1 August. The announced tariffs triggered a wave of U.S. dollar (USD) buying as investors sought safety amid concerns about the potential impact on European export growth and broader market sentiment. 👉 Possible effects for traders In response to the tariffs, EU and Mexican officials signalled they are prepared to continue negotiations with Washington to secure a lower tariff rate and ease tensions. At the same time, the EU is intensifying its discussions with other U.S. tariff-affected nations to coordinate strategies for addressing the trade duties. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said on Sunday that the EU would postpone its planned retaliatory tariffs to underline the bloc's commitment to keeping diplomatic channels open. Despite the pullback, the euro remains up nearly 13% against the U.S. dollar year-to-date. The rally has been supported by broad dollar weakness and renewed optimism about the eurozone's recovery prospects, particularly following Germany's shift towards greater fiscal spending. On the monetary policy front, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to leave interest rates unchanged at its upcoming meeting. Still, markets continue to price in the likelihood of at least one additional rate cut later this year as the ECB navigates persistent inflation pressure and growth uncertainties within the bloc. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Gold rises amid heightening trade tensions Gold (XAU) prices climbed towards $3,360 on Friday, marking a third consecutive session of gains as investors increased demand for bullion amid escalating geopolitical and trade tensions. 👉 Possible effects for traders The rise was driven by U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement of new tariffs, which intensified safe-haven flows into gold as markets reassessed risk exposure and investors sought safer assets. In detailed letters to the EU and Mexico, Trump confirmed 30% tariffs on both countries, citing their trade deficits with the U.S. as a 'major threat' to national security. This announcement follows a broader escalation in protectionist measures declared last week: increased tariffs on over 20 countries—such as Japan, South Korea, Canada, and Brazil—and a significant 50% duty on copper imports. These measures are set to take effect on 1 August, heightening concerns over global trade and potential supply chain disruptions. This week, market participants are focused on upcoming U.S. economic reports—Consumer Price Index, Producer Price Index, Industrial Production, and Retail Sales—for clearer direction on the Federal Reserve's (Fed) policy outlook. The data will be pivotal in shaping expectations for the next Fed rate decision. Investors will closely monitor whether inflationary pressures and economic indicators prompt the Fed to maintain its current stance or adjust rates in the coming months. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

#webinars_schedule #education 📱 You can now watch our educational webinars in the Octa Trading App on your Android smartphone. Install the latest version, tap Webinars in the menu, and enjoy fast and easy access to all upcoming and past videos. 🔎 Apply filters to find videos for your learning needs. Set notifications for upcoming webinars to catch the moment when a live stream starts. 👋 Join and learn more about trading: 🇬🇧 15/07, 1 p.m. UTC – ENGLISH – Webinar 'News trading. Inflation' with Vito Henjoto 🇮🇩 16/07, 7 p.m. WIB – [INDONESIAN] – Live trading session with Setyo Wibowo 🇲🇾 17/07, 9 p.m. MYT – MALAY – Live trading session with Cikgu Danie 🇬🇧 17/07, 6 p.m. WAT – [ENGLISH] – Live trading session on OctaTrader with Tunmise Olaoluwa

‼️ Join Octa Analytics VIP Unlock premium signals, exclusive offers, and important events to boost your trading success. To become a member of Octa Analytics VIP, follow these easy steps: 1️⃣ Make sure you have $50 or more in your account. 2️⃣ Take a screenshot of your balance and send it along with your Octa real account ID to our @octa_vip_bot chatbot. 3️⃣ Await verification—usually, it’s completed within one business day. Ready to take your trading to the next level? Let us steer you toward success. The sooner you join, the more you’ll benefit from our elite trading community! 💯 Limited-time offer 💯 Don’t miss the opportunity to use the BONUSVIP100 promo code for a 100% deposit bonus!

📊 Bitcoin sets a new high of $116,000 Bitcoin surged to a record high of $116,000 on 10 July, just six days after President Donald Trump signed the $3.3 trillion 'big, beautiful bill'. 👉 Possible effects for traders The cryptocurrency has risen by 6% since the bill's signing, reflecting strong investor demand for digital assets amid a rapidly evolving macroeconomic backdrop. This latest rally reinforces Bitcoin's position as a key beneficiary of shifting fiscal and monetary policies while attracting renewed interest from institutional investors seeking portfolio diversification. The 'big, beautiful bill' added $410 billion to U.S. debt, raised the debt ceiling by $5 trillion, and permanently extended key tax cuts. The scale and pace of this fiscal expansion have amplified market concerns over the U.S. debt sustainability and fiscal discipline. As a result, investors are bracing for a structurally higher inflation environment, with rotation out of bonds and into assets such as Bitcoin and gold accelerating in recent sessions. BTCUSD's rally paused as the pair began to decline during the Asian and early European sessions. No major news is expected today that could significantly influence price dynamics. Analysts project the price to continue moving within its established trend. Institutional participation continues to drive Bitcoin's rise, highlighted by BlackRock's spot Bitcoin ETF, which has tripled in size over just 200 trading days and reached $76 billion in assets under management. By comparison, the largest gold ETF took over 15 years to reach the same milestone, underscoring the speed and scale of institutional flows into Bitcoin. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Euro closes week with decline The euro (EUR) fell towards 1.16700 on Friday, recording nearly a 1% weekly loss as investors adjusted positions in response to escalating trade tensions and shifting monetary policy expectations. 👉 Possible effects for traders Trade tensions escalated over the week after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 35% tariff on Canadian imports effective 1 August and signalled 15% to 20% tariffs on most other major trading partners. Earlier in the week, the Trump administration imposed 50% tariffs on copper and Brazilian goods, heightening market concerns over potential disruptions to global supply chains and industrial demand. These measures reinforced investor caution as markets navigated an increasingly complex global trade environment. On the monetary policy front, Chicago Federal Reserve (Fed) President Austan Goolsbee pushed back against calls for aggressive rate cuts to ease the government debt burden. His comments highlighted the Fed's cautious approach against a backdrop of political pressure for monetary easing. The remarks added to the uncertainty around the regulator's policy path in 2025, as markets consider the risk of inflation against a potential slowdown in growth. U.S. economic data continued to show that the labour market remains resilient. The U.S. dollar (USD) strengthened sharply against the euro, supported by risk aversion, relative yield advantages, and investor positioning ahead of upcoming inflation data and the Fed policy signals. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Gold rises for third consecutive session Gold (XAU) rose by over 0.32% on Thursday, driven by increased safe-haven flows amid deepening global trade tensions. 👉 Possible effects for traders Investors' concerns about the stability of global supply chains and rising geopolitical uncertainty are growing, reinforcing gold's role as a safe-haven asset. XAUUSD usually performs well in times of market uncertainty. U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 35% tariff on Canadian imports effective 1 August and indicated intentions to impose 15–20% tariffs on most other major trading partners. These measures follow earlier threats targeting Brazil and proposed duties on copper, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals, adding further pressure to an already fragile global trade environment. Investors are closely monitoring potential retaliatory measures and the potential spillover effects on industrial demand and global growth prospects. Adding to the rising tensions, Trump's call for a 300-basis-point rate cut has fuelled speculation about a dovish shift in Federal Reserve (Fed) leadership next year. This rhetoric has raised market concerns about the risk of longer-term inflation expectations becoming unanchored, further enhancing gold's appeal amid potential currency depreciation and an accommodative monetary policy stance. On the data front, the U.S. Initial Jobless Claims report was lower than expected, underscoring the resilience of the labour market following last week's robust nonfarm payroll report. Despite strong labour data, markets continue to price in two rate cuts by the end of the year. Current rate futures indicate expectations that the Fed will hold interest rates at its upcoming meeting, keeping investors attentive to any hints of future easing amid an evolving macroeconomic backdrop. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

USDJPY, 15-minute timeframe chart 👉 General outlook USDJPY has been trading in a sideways market for the last couple of hours. 👉 Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 146.900. Set your stop loss at 146.540 below the previous low ($2.45 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 147.260 ($2.45 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. Some traders may close their positions on Friday, which can add more pressure to the market. @octa_analytics

‼️ Join Octa Analytics VIP Unlock premium signals, exclusive offers, and important events to boost your trading success. To become a member of Octa Analytics VIP, follow these easy steps: 1️⃣ Make sure you have $50 or more in your account. 2️⃣ Take a screenshot of your balance and send it along with your Octa real account ID to our @octa_vip_bot chatbot. 3️⃣ Await verification—usually, it’s completed within one business day. Ready to take your trading to the next level? Let us steer you toward success. The sooner you join, the more you’ll benefit from our elite trading community! 💯 Limited-time offer 💯 Don’t miss the opportunity to use the BONUSVIP100 promo code for a 100% deposit bonus!

Mindset. Mastery. Tech. MJ Givens just raised the bar for what trading in 2025 should look like. 🎤 Watch the full talk through the link

Mindset. Mastery. Tech. MJ Givens just raised the bar for what trading in 2025 should look like. 🎤 Watch the full talk through the link

📊 U.S.–Japan trade talks stall USDJPY fell by 0.17% on Wednesday after the U.S.–Japan trade talks stalled, with key disagreements centring on Japan's protection of its domestic rice market. 👉 Possible effects for traders U.S. President Donald Trump recently imposed a 25% tariff on Japanese goods, effective 1 August. He explicitly ruled out any extension to the deadline, signalling a hard-line stance in negotiations. Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba described the stance as 'truly regrettable' but emphasised Japan's commitment to dialogue in pursuit of a mutually beneficial agreement. A local think tank projected that new tariffs could reduce Japan's gross domestic product growth rate by 0.8% in 2025 and by 1.9% cumulatively through 2029. This underlines the potential long-term economic impact of the trade dispute. The Japanese yen strengthened to around 146.000 on Thursday, extending gains from the previous session as the U.S. dollar retreated amid a sharp decline in Treasury yields. The move reflects a broader shift in investor sentiment, with markets reducing positions in the greenback and seeking the relative safety of the yen amid global uncertainty. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Weakening U.S. dollar supports euro The euro (EUR) rose to around 1.17500 on Thursday as investors moved into riskier assets amid a broad rally in equities and commodities. 👉 Possible effects for traders Easing trade tensions and resilient corporate earnings have reduced demand for the U.S. dollar (USD) as a safe-haven asset, supporting other currencies. U.S. Treasury yields also moved lower following robust demand in Wednesday's 10-year note auction, further pressuring the greenback. The decline in yields reflects market expectations of potential policy easing and increased appetite for U.S. debt, highlighting investor positioning ahead of upcoming economic data releases. On the monetary policy front, minutes from the Federal Reserve's June meeting signalled that most officials are open to considering interest rate cuts later this year if economic conditions warrant support. The Fed maintained its data-dependent approach, carefully weighing slowing consumer activity and inflation risks linked to ongoing trade uncertainties. EURUSD continued to rise during Asian and early European trading sessions. Markets now focus on potential trade negotiations with India and the EU, which could shape near-term currency moves and risk sentiment. Today, the U.S. Jobless Claims report at 12:30 p.m. UTC may cause volatility across all USD pairs. Stronger-than-expected figures could delay rate cuts and push EURUSD below 1.17000. Conversely, weaker-than-expected results could weigh on the U.S. dollar and lift EURUSD above 1.18000. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH