Great Investments & Pips (Public)
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Public Channel for Great Investments Programme (alpeshpatel.com/shares) and Pips users from Alpesh Patel
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Optional: The Intel Trade showing upside and downside (stop loss) - shown as a trade hence stop loss. Not as a buy and hold 'forever'.
https://withdrawal.campaignforamillion.com/ An incredible app with articles to explain everything you need to know.
Dear Investor,
The Federal Reserve has just raised interest rates for the first time in more than three years.
Normally, that sentence is enough to send investors reaching for the sell button. Yet the Nasdaq rose 1.69% the following day, led by technology shares.
So is the road ahead one of higher rates and lower valuations, or are markets already looking beyond the bad news?
Before my forthcoming live webinar, Stocks After Interest Rate Rise: Road to Growth, here are the three developments I believe every investor should understand:
1. The rate rise may not be the last.
The Fed raised its benchmark range by 0.25 percentage points to 3.75%–4.00%, and 16 of 18 policymakers expect at least one further increase this year. This changes the mathematics for highly valued shares, bonds and cash.
2. Investors have pulled $23.21 billion from global equity funds.
That was the largest weekly outflow in nine months. US equity funds alone lost $31.44 billion. The important question is whether this is the beginning of a deeper retreat, or fearful investors selling precisely when selective opportunities are appearing.
3. Britain may be next.
The Bank of England held Bank Rate at 3.75%, but Barclays, UBS and J.P. Morgan now expect a rise as early as November. Markets are pricing roughly a 63% probability of that move. For UK investors, the consequences reach from the pound and gilts to mortgages, pensions and equity valuations.
And hovering over all three is oil. Brent remains above $100 a barrel. If it stays there, inflation and interest rates remain the market’s unwelcome house guests. If it falls, the outlook for growth shares can change surprisingly quickly.
In the webinar, I will examine:
which sectors tend to cope best when rates rise;
whether the rebound in AI and technology shares has substance;
what the banks and leading fund managers are telling their clients;
where I see genuine growth opportunities, and where investors may be taking risks without being paid for them; and
the practical signals I am watching before committing more capital.
This will not be a cheerful recitation of headlines. Headlines tell you what has happened. Investors need to decide what to do next.
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