Absolute Analytics Channel

Bought HAL 4300PE June @137

HAL another pattern with bearish view. Validation on breach and retest of 4250-48 range

Target in spot 385, 381.20

Bought TMPV 395PE @15 Lil risky, close above 392 is exit point

TMPV 395PE in watchlist

Nifty will be bearish to choppy today.

Nifty weekly range defined between 23734 and 23537

Adding HAL 4300PE June in the watchlist

No trade in Nifty for the first hour It's the first day of the week; the opening candle is crucial for the week’s bias

Good morning *AA MARKET PULSE | 01 JUNE 2026* • GIFT Nifty at 23,741, up 0.08%, indicates a flat to mildly positive start for Indian markets • US markets closed higher with gains across Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq, providing supportive global cues • FII sold ₹21,105.86 crore while DII bought ₹16,764.14 crore, reflecting intense institutional activity • Crude remained stable at ₹8,281, while Gold and Silver continued to soften • IndiGo, Suzlon, Patanjali Foods, Vedanta, and Sun Pharma are expected to remain in focus • Sun Pharma’s Organon acquisition highlights continued expansion and growth ambitions in the pharma sector • Geopolitical tensions and sustained FII selling may keep volatility elevated through June despite resilient broader markets *Overall Sentiment* Market sentiment remains cautious. Positive global cues and strong domestic buying provide support, but heavy FII selling and geopolitical uncertainty may limit upside. Traders are likely to stay selective while focusing on stock-specific opportunities.

Good evening! While the markets are sleeping, money doesn't, and that's what makes trading interesting. A glimpse of important points before the market opens;- *AA Desk Read* • Global pressure has reduced. • Crude is the key variable. • RBI week can keep traders cautious. • Nifty needs to reclaim 23,800 for stronger momentum. • Below that, rallies can still face selling. *One-Line Summary* For Monday, falling crude is helping India more than global equities. If oil remains weak, markets get breathing room; if crude reverses higher, sentiment can change very fast.

*MSCI Explained: Why Traders Should Care* Most traders focus on earnings, news, FII flows, and economic data. However, there is another factor that can significantly impact stock prices and volumes: *MSCI Rebalancing.* Many sharp moves in stocks around review dates are driven not by company news, but by index-related fund flows. *What is MSCI?* MSCI (Morgan Stanley Capital International) is one of the world’s largest index providers. It creates and maintains stock market indices followed by: • ETFs • Pension Funds • Sovereign Wealth Funds • Insurance Companies • Mutual Funds • Institutional Investors These funds collectively manage trillions of dollars globally. *Popular MSCI Indices are:-* • MSCI Emerging Markets Index • MSCI India Index • MSCI World Index • MSCI ACWI (All Country World Index) Many global funds are benchmarked against these indices. *How Does MSCI Affect Stocks?* _When MSCI adds a stock to an index:_ • Funds tracking that index may need to buy the stock. _When MSCI removes a stock:_ • Funds tracking that index may need to reduce or exit their position. _When MSCI increases a stock’s weight:_ • Additional buying may occur. _When MSCI reduces a stock’s weight:_ • Additional selling may occur. This is why traders closely monitor MSCI reviews. *What Does MSCI Look At?* MSCI does not simply pick the biggest companies. It considers: • Market Capitalisation • Free Float Market Capitalisation • Liquidity • Foreign Ownership Availability • Trading Accessibility *What is Free Float?* Free Float refers to shares available for public trading. Example: Company Market Cap = ₹1,00,000 Cr Promoters own 75%. Only 25% of shares are available for investors. MSCI primarily focuses on the investable portion rather than total shares outstanding. This is why free float is often more important than total market cap. *Why Do Volumes Spike During MSCI Events?* Because passive funds must align their portfolios with the revised index. This often results in: • Large institutional orders • Higher closing auction volumes • Temporary supply-demand imbalances • Increased volatility Many times, the biggest activity happens during the final minutes of trading on implementation day. *How Does MSCI Impact India?* India is a major component of global emerging market portfolios. Changes in India’s weight within MSCI Emerging Markets can influence the amount of passive foreign capital allocated to Indian equities. Higher weight generally attracts more passive flows. Lower weight can reduce future allocations. *What Should Traders Watch?* Before an MSCI review: • Expected additions • Expected deletions • Weight increases • Weight decreases On implementation day: • Volume expansion • Auction activity • Institutional participation • Price reaction versus expected flow *Most Important Takeaway* MSCI is primarily a capital flow event. It helps explain: • Why volume increased • Why liquidity changed • Why institutions became active It does not automatically tell us: • Whether a company is fundamentally stronger • Whether a stock will keep rising after inclusion • Whether a stock will remain weak after exclusion Fundamentals and capital flows are two different things. *Absolute Analysis Insight* Price moves because of demand and supply. MSCI reviews help identify where passive institutional demand or supply may emerge. Understanding these flows can help traders better interpret unusual volume, volatility, and market behaviour around rebalance dates.

No rush entries on Infy. IT is lifting Nifty but the broader market is still weak. Despite IT strength while Auto, FMCG, Chemicals, and Power-energy sectors are weak.

No rush entries on Infy. IT is lifting Nifty but broader market is still weak. Despite IT strength while Auto, FMCG, Chemicals, and Power-energy sectors are weak.

INFY Pattern:- Inverted H&S Bias: Bullish Chart explained here 👇 https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VanXIFTAzNbzxU4hF62L/4991

Stock in watchlist INFY 1210CE June Inverted H&S Pattern detected Validation above 1215

TMPV Tata Motors Passenger Vehicle finished a harmonic pattern (bearish) Invalidation of pattern if price goes above 408 Entry will be taken below 391 Between this it's no-trade zone

Nifty not tradable as of now Liquidity sweep is there but not confirmed yet with clear bias Sellers are still sitting at 23900-920 range

Profit booking is going on in Ensol. Again, at 1500 there is the support