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:Product: Forecast Discussion :Issued: 2026 Jun 21 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # Solar Activity .24 hr Summary... Solar activity reached moderate levels. Region 4473 (S08E63, Eao/beta) produced most of the flare activity this period, including an M2.6 flare (R1-Minor) at 21/0246 UTC; the strongest of the period. Regions 4472 (S14E49, Dao/beta) and 4473 underwent minor development, while the remaining regions were in decay. No Earth-directed CMEs were detected in available coronagraph imagery. .Forecast... Solar activity is expected to continue at predominately low levels on 21-23 Jun, with a chance for M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flares. Energetic Particle .24 hr Summary... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels. .Forecast... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue at normal to moderate levels over 21-23 Jun. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to persist at background levels through 23 Jun. Solar Wind .24 hr Summary... Solar wind parameters returned to background levels this period. Total magnetic field strength reached 7 nT, and the Bz component ranged between +/-5 nT. Solar wind speeds were steady between 350-400 km/s, and the phi angle was predominately positive throughout the period. .Forecast... Background solar wind conditions are expected to prevail over 21-22 Jun. Enhanced conditions are expected on 23 Jun due to the anticipated onset of negative polarity CH HSS influences. Geospace .24 hr Summary... The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. .Forecast... The geomagnetic field is expected to continue at mostly quiet levels over 21-22 Jun. Periods of active conditions are likely on 23 Jun due to the anticipated onset of negative polarity CH HSS influences.

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:Product: Forecast Discussion :Issued: 2026 Jun 21 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # Solar Activity .24 hr Summary... Solar activity reached moderate levels. Region 4472 (S14E54, Dao/beta) produced an M1.3 flare (R1-Minor) at 20/0451 UTC, the strongest of the period. Newly numbered Region 4473 (S08E69, Eko/beta) added an M1.0/Sf (R1) at 20/1500 UTC, as well as a C4.8/Sf flare at 20/2205 UTC. Growth was observed in Region 4473 as it rotated further on to the visible disk. Multiple areas of pores were observed in the western hemisphere but most decayed before becoming sunspots. The remaining numbered active regions were either stable or in gradual decay. A CME associated with the M1.3 flare at 20/0151 UTC, and first visible in LASCO C2 imagery off the E at 20/0212 UTC, is expected to miss Earth. Another CME, first visible in C2 imagery at 20/0312 UTC, was associated with activity on the far side and is not Earth-directed. .Forecast... Solar activity is expected to continue at low levels on 21-23 Jun, with a chance for M-class (R1-Minor) flares due to the increased magnetic complexity of Regions 4472 and 4473. Energetic Particle .24 hr Summary... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background values. .Forecast... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to remain at moderate levels over 21-23 Jun. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels through 23 Jun. Solar Wind .24 hr Summary... Solar wind parameters remained mildly enhanced. Total magnetic field strength was between 5-7 nT. The Bz component was briefly observed as far south as -7 nT. Solar wind speeds were between 360-419 km/s. Phi angle was oriented in a positive solar sector. .Forecast... Solar wind parameters are expected to transition to background levels over 21 Jun. Background levels are expected to persist through 23 Jun. Geospace .24 hr Summary... The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels under waning CH HSS influences. .Forecast... The geomagnetic field is expected to continue at quiet to unsettled levels on 21 Jun as CH HSS influences diminish. Mostly quiet conditions are expected to prevail over 22-23 Jun.
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:Product: Forecast Discussion :Issued: 2026 Jun 20 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # Solar Activity .24 hr Summary... Solar activity reached moderate levels when Region 4472 (S14E61, Cao/beta) produced an M1.3 flare (R1-Minor) at 20/0151 UTC; the strongest of the period. Region 4470 (N08E21, Dao/beta) exhibited minor growth this period and produced a C1.4 flare at 20/0307 UTC that was accompanied by a Type-II radio sweep (~300 km/s). The remaining regions were either stable or in decay. New spots were observed rotating into view on the E limb near S08, but these remain unnumbered pending additional observational data. A CME associated with the M1.3 flare at 20/0151 UTC, and first visible in LASCO C2 imagery off the E at 20/0212 UTC, is expected to miss Earth. Another CME, first visible in C2 imagery at 20/0312 UTC, was associated with activity on the far side and is not Earth-directed. .Forecast... Solar activity is expected to continue at low levels on 20-22 Jun, with a slight chance for M-class (R1-Minor) flares. Energetic Particle .24 hr Summary... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background values. .Forecast... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to reach moderate levels over 20-22 Jun. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels through 22 Jun. Solar Wind .24 hr Summary... Solar wind parameters remained mildly enhanced under positive polarity CH HSS influences. Total magnetic field strength reached 10 nT, and the Bz component was observed as far south as -7 nT. Solar wind speeds ranged between ~360-460 km/s. Phi angle was primarily oriented in a positive solar sector. .Forecast... Solar wind parameters are expected to remain slightly enhanced through 21 Jun due to CH HSS influences. Geospace .24 hr Summary... The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels under waning CH HSS influences. .Forecast... The geomagnetic field is expected to continue at quiet to unsettled levels on 20-21 Jun as CH HSS influences diminish. Mostly quiet conditions are expected to prevail on 22 Jun.
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Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2 Serial Number: 1506 Issue Time: 2026 Jun 20 0407 UTC ALERT: Type II Radio Emission Begin Time: 2026 Jun 20 0407 UTC Estimate Velocity: 300 km/s Comment:
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Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2 Serial Number: 1505 Issue Time: 2026 Jun 20 0406 UTC CANCEL ALERT: Type II Radio Emission Cancel Serial Number: 1504 Original Issue Time: 2026 Jun 20 0403 UTC Cancelling duplicate Type-II Alert Cancelling duplicate Type-II Alert
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Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2 Serial Number: 1504 Issue Time: 2026 Jun 20 0403 UTC ALERT: Type II Radio Emission Begin Time: 2026 Jun 20 0300 UTC Estimate Velocity: 300 km/s Comment:
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:Product: Forecast Discussion :Issued: 2026 Jun 20 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # Solar Activity .24 hr Summary... Solar activity was at low levels. Region 4470 (N06E28, Dao/beta) produced a C4.2/1f flare at 19/1938 UTC, the strongest of the period. All spotted active regions were either stable or in gradual decay. Other activity included a small filament eruption near S20E20 that began after 19/0300 UTC. A faint, slow-moving CME signature appeared in STEREO-A COR2 imagery but was not apparent in other available coronagraph imagery. Analysis and modeling of the event indicated most of the ejecta will likely miss behind Earths orbit, with a slight possibility of a portion grazing Earth by mid to late on 23 Jun. .Forecast... Solar activity is expected to continue at low levels on 20-22 Jun, with a slight chance for M-class (R1-Minor) flares. Energetic Particle .24 hr Summary... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background values. .Forecast... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to reach moderate levels over 20-22 Jun. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels through 22 Jun. Solar Wind .24 hr Summary... Solar wind parameters were slightly enhanced this period. Total magnetic field strength reached 10 nT, the Bz component was observed as far south as -7 nT, and solar wind speeds ranged from ~330-460 km/s. Phi angle was primarily oriented in a positive solar sector. .Forecast... Solar wind parameters are expected to remain enhanced through 21 Jun due to CH HSS influences. Geospace .24 hr Summary... The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels this period. .Forecast... The geomagnetic field is likely to reach active levels on 20 Jun in response to weak, yet persistent CH HSS influences. Quiet to unsettled levels are likely on 21-22 Jun as CH HSS influences diminish.
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:Product: Forecast Discussion :Issued: 2026 Jun 19 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # Solar Activity .24 hr Summary... Solar activity was at low levels. New Region 4472 (S13E75, Hax/alpha) produced a C1.2 flare at 18/2204 UTC, the strongest of the period, as the region rotated into view from the E limb. Region 4471 (N18E05, Dao/beta) exhibited growth early this period, but was stable through the latter half of the day. The remaining regions were either stable or in decay. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery. .Forecast... Solar activity is expected to continue at low levels on 19-21 Jun, with a slight chance for M-class (R1-Minor) flares. Energetic Particle .24 hr Summary... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels with a peak flux of 1,920 pfu observed. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background values. .Forecast... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to reach high levels on 19 Jun, before decreasing to normal to moderate levels on 20-21 Jun. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels through 21 Jun. Solar Wind .24 hr Summary... The interplanetary magnetic field became slightly enhanced after 19/0715 UTC. Total field strength reached 9 nT, while the Bz component reached as far south as -8 nT. Solar wind speeds increased from ~350 km/s to ~400 km/s by the end of the period. .Forecast... Solar wind parameters are expected to remain enhanced through 21 Jun due to CH HSS influences. Geospace .24 hr Summary... The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels this period. .Forecast... The geomagnetic field is likely to reach active levels on 19-20 Jun in response to CH HSS influences. Quiet to unsettled levels are likely on 21 Jun as CH HSS influences diminish.
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:Product: Forecast Discussion :Issued: 2026 Jun 19 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # Solar Activity .24 hr Summary... Solar activity was at low levels. Region 4470 (N07E40, Dao/beta) produced a C1.8/Sf flare at 18/1150 UTC, the strongest of the period. Minor growth was observed in Region 4471 (N18E11, Dao/beta). Region 4465 (N07W62, Cso/beta) was mostly stable. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery. .Forecast... Solar activity is likely to continue at low levels 19-21 Jun, with a slight chance for M-class (R1-Minor) solar flares. Energetic Particle .24 hr Summary... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background values. .Forecast... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is likely to continue reaching high levels on 19 Jun. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels. Solar Wind .24 hr Summary... Solar wind parameters were at nominal levels. Total field strength was between 2-8 nT. The Bz component reached as far south as -8 nT. Solar wind speeds steadily declined from ~440 km/s to ~350 km/s by the periods end. Phi angle transitioned from negative to positive after ~18/1750 UTC. .Forecast... Solar wind parameters are likely to contain minor enhancements through 21 Jun due to weak positive polarity CH HSS effects. Geospace .24 hr Summary... The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet with an isolated unsettled period. .Forecast... The geomagnetic field is likely to reach active levels on 19-20 Jun in response to weak CH HSS influences. Unsettled conditions are likely on 21 Jun due to waning CH HSS effects.
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Space Weather Message Code: ALTEF3 Serial Number: 3703 Issue Time: 2026 Jun 18 1507 UTC ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu Threshold Reached: 2026 Jun 18 1507 UTC Station: GOES-19 Comment:
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:Product: Forecast Discussion :Issued: 2026 Jun 18 1230 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # Solar Activity .24 hr Summary... Solar activity was low with only C-class solar flare activity. Region 4465 (N07W56, Cso/beta) underwent some decay and only produced a low-level C-class flare. Region 4469 (S16, L=248) decayed to plage and was inactive. Region 4470 (N07E47, Dao/beta) underwent some growth, but did not increase in magnetic complexity. The largest solar flare of the period, a C2.5 at 17/1506 UTC, came from just beyond the west limb with the likely source being recently rotated out of view Region 4464 (S14, L=342). New Region 4471 (N17E22, Cso/beta) was numbered and was inactive. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in coronagraph imagery. .Forecast... Solar activity is likely to continue at low levels 18-20 Jun, with a slight chance for M-class (R1-Minor) solar flares due primarily to the combined flare probabilities of Regions 4465 and 4470. Energetic Particle .24 hr Summary... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at moderate levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background values. .Forecast... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is likely to continue reaching moderate levels 18-20 Jun; while the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background. Solar Wind .24 hr Summary... Solar wind parameters were at nominal levels. Total field strength was mostly below 5 nT while the Bz component was at benign levels. Solar win speeds were between 400-450 km/s. Phi switched to a negative orientation after 17/2200 UTC. .Forecast... Mild solar wind disturbance and enhancements are anticipated through 20 Jun due to weak positive polarity CH HSS effects. Geospace .24 hr Summary... The geomagnetic field was quiet. .Forecast... The geomagnetic field is likely to be quiet to unsettled on 18 Jun in response to weak CH HSS influences. Slightly more response is forecast 19-20 Jun with unsettled to active conditions likely due to additional and continuing CH HSS effects.
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:Product: Forecast Discussion :Issued: 2026 Jun 18 0030 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # Solar Activity .24 hr Summary... Solar activity was low with only C-class solar flare activity. Region 4465 (N07W49, Cso/beta) underwent some decay and only produced a low-level C-class flare. Region 4469 (S16W06, Bxo/beta) decayed further and was inactive. Region 4470 (N07E54, Dao/beta) underwent some growth, but did not increase in magnetic complexity. The region was primarily inactive. The largest solar flare of the period, a C2.5 at 17/1506 UTC, came from just beyond the west limb with the likely source being recently rotated out of view Region 4464 (S14, L=342). A CME became visible in STEREO coronagraph imagery at 17/0038 UTC and CCOR imagery approximately 30 min later. This eruption was first determined to be farsided due to SUVI 304 and 193 imagery; however, the backfilling of a SOHO LASCO data gap prompted a re-analysis and it has since concluded that there may be an Earth-directed component. Modeling is currently ongoing. There was an additional, faster, eruption off the east limb close to the equator, with the resulting CME first appearing in LASCO C2 imagery at approximately 17/0135 UTC. Due to its faintness, this CME is not visible in other coronagraphs. Modeling of this event is also ongoing, but a significant Earth-directed component is not anticipated. .Forecast... Solar activity is likely to continue at low levels 18-20 Jun, with a slight chance for M-class (R1-Minor) solar flares due primarily to the combined flare probabilities of Regions 4465 and 4470. Energetic Particle .24 hr Summary... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at moderate levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background values. .Forecast... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is likely to continue reaching moderate levels 18-20 Jun; while the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background. Solar Wind .24 hr Summary... Solar wind parameters were indicative of a weak disturbance in the IMF, which was probably related to anticipated early stage CH HSS influences. The total IMF strength peaked at 12 nT due to probable CIR effects, before it weakened to values at 5 nT or less. The Bz component was variable without a pronounced southward deflection. The phi angle was quite variable between sectors. Solar wind speed increased from 400 km/s to near 500 km/s before declining to about 450 km/s. .Forecast... Mild solar wind disturbance and enhancements are anticipated through 20 Jun due to weak positive polarity CH HSS effects. Geospace .24 hr Summary... The geomagnetic field was quiet. .Forecast... The geomagnetic field is likely to be quiet to unsettled on 18 Jun in response to weak CH HSS influences. Slightly more response is forecast 19-20 Jun with unsettled to active conditions likely due to additional and continuing CH HSS effects.
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