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پستهای کانال
:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2026 Jun 21 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity reached moderate levels. Region 4473 (S08E63, Eao/beta)
produced most of the flare activity this period, including an M2.6 flare
(R1-Minor) at 21/0246 UTC; the strongest of the period. Regions 4472
(S14E49, Dao/beta) and 4473 underwent minor development, while the
remaining regions were in decay. No Earth-directed CMEs were detected in
available coronagraph imagery.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to continue at predominately low levels on
21-23 Jun, with a chance for M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flares.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue at normal
to moderate levels over 21-23 Jun. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux
is expected to persist at background levels through 23 Jun.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters returned to background levels this period. Total
magnetic field strength reached 7 nT, and the Bz component ranged
between +/-5 nT. Solar wind speeds were steady between 350-400 km/s, and
the phi angle was predominately positive throughout the period.
.Forecast...
Background solar wind conditions are expected to prevail over 21-22 Jun.
Enhanced conditions are expected on 23 Jun due to the anticipated onset
of negative polarity CH HSS influences.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to continue at mostly quiet levels
over 21-22 Jun. Periods of active conditions are likely on 23 Jun due to
the anticipated onset of negative polarity CH HSS influences.
| 2 | بدون متن... | 78 |
| 3 | :Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2026 Jun 21 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity reached moderate levels. Region 4472 (S14E54, Dao/beta)
produced an M1.3 flare (R1-Minor) at 20/0451 UTC, the strongest of the
period. Newly numbered Region 4473 (S08E69, Eko/beta) added an M1.0/Sf
(R1) at 20/1500 UTC, as well as a C4.8/Sf flare at 20/2205 UTC. Growth
was observed in Region 4473 as it rotated further on to the visible
disk. Multiple areas of pores were observed in the western hemisphere
but most decayed before becoming sunspots. The remaining numbered active
regions were either stable or in gradual decay.
A CME associated with the M1.3 flare at 20/0151 UTC, and first visible
in LASCO C2 imagery off the E at 20/0212 UTC, is expected to miss Earth.
Another CME, first visible in C2 imagery at 20/0312 UTC, was associated
with activity on the far side and is not Earth-directed.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to continue at low levels on 21-23 Jun, with
a chance for M-class (R1-Minor) flares due to the increased magnetic
complexity of Regions 4472 and 4473.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels. The
greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background values.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to remain at moderate
levels over 21-23 Jun. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected
to remain at background levels through 23 Jun.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters remained mildly enhanced. Total magnetic field
strength was between 5-7 nT. The Bz component was briefly observed as
far south as -7 nT. Solar wind speeds were between 360-419 km/s. Phi
angle was oriented in a positive solar sector.
.Forecast...
Solar wind parameters are expected to transition to background levels
over 21 Jun. Background levels are expected to persist through 23 Jun.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels under waning CH
HSS influences.
.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to continue at quiet to unsettled
levels on 21 Jun as CH HSS influences diminish. Mostly quiet conditions
are expected to prevail over 22-23 Jun. | 103 |
| 4 | بدون متن... | 98 |
| 5 | :Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2026 Jun 20 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity reached moderate levels when Region 4472 (S14E61,
Cao/beta) produced an M1.3 flare (R1-Minor) at 20/0151 UTC; the
strongest of the period. Region 4470 (N08E21, Dao/beta) exhibited minor
growth this period and produced a C1.4 flare at 20/0307 UTC that was
accompanied by a Type-II radio sweep (~300 km/s). The remaining regions
were either stable or in decay. New spots were observed rotating into
view on the E limb near S08, but these remain unnumbered pending
additional observational data.
A CME associated with the M1.3 flare at 20/0151 UTC, and first visible
in LASCO C2 imagery off the E at 20/0212 UTC, is expected to miss Earth.
Another CME, first visible in C2 imagery at 20/0312 UTC, was associated
with activity on the far side and is not Earth-directed.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to continue at low levels on 20-22 Jun, with
a slight chance for M-class (R1-Minor) flares.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels. The
greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background values.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to reach moderate
levels over 20-22 Jun. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected
to remain at background levels through 22 Jun.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters remained mildly enhanced under positive polarity
CH HSS influences. Total magnetic field strength reached 10 nT, and the
Bz component was observed as far south as -7 nT. Solar wind speeds
ranged between ~360-460 km/s. Phi angle was primarily oriented in a
positive solar sector.
.Forecast...
Solar wind parameters are expected to remain slightly enhanced through
21 Jun due to CH HSS influences.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels under waning CH
HSS influences.
.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to continue at quiet to unsettled
levels on 20-21 Jun as CH HSS influences diminish. Mostly quiet
conditions are expected to prevail on 22 Jun. | 115 |
| 6 | بدون متن... | 101 |
| 7 | Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2
Serial Number: 1506
Issue Time: 2026 Jun 20 0407 UTC
ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2026 Jun 20 0407 UTC
Estimate Velocity: 300 km/s
Comment: | 116 |
| 8 | Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2
Serial Number: 1505
Issue Time: 2026 Jun 20 0406 UTC
CANCEL ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Cancel Serial Number: 1504
Original Issue Time: 2026 Jun 20 0403 UTC
Cancelling duplicate Type-II Alert
Cancelling duplicate Type-II Alert | 114 |
| 9 | Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2
Serial Number: 1504
Issue Time: 2026 Jun 20 0403 UTC
ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2026 Jun 20 0300 UTC
Estimate Velocity: 300 km/s
Comment: | 106 |
| 10 | :Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2026 Jun 20 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at low levels. Region 4470 (N06E28, Dao/beta)
produced a C4.2/1f flare at 19/1938 UTC, the strongest of the period.
All spotted active regions were either stable or in gradual decay.
Other activity included a small filament eruption near S20E20 that began
after 19/0300 UTC. A faint, slow-moving CME signature appeared in
STEREO-A COR2 imagery but was not apparent in other available
coronagraph imagery. Analysis and modeling of the event indicated most
of the ejecta will likely miss behind Earths orbit, with a slight
possibility of a portion grazing Earth by mid to late on 23 Jun.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to continue at low levels on 20-22 Jun, with
a slight chance for M-class (R1-Minor) flares.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels. The
greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background values.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to reach moderate
levels over 20-22 Jun. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected
to remain at background levels through 22 Jun.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters were slightly enhanced this period. Total magnetic
field strength reached 10 nT, the Bz component was observed as far
south as -7 nT, and solar wind speeds ranged from ~330-460 km/s. Phi
angle was primarily oriented in a positive solar sector.
.Forecast...
Solar wind parameters are expected to remain enhanced through 21 Jun due
to CH HSS influences.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels this period.
.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is likely to reach active levels on 20 Jun in
response to weak, yet persistent CH HSS influences. Quiet to unsettled
levels are likely on 21-22 Jun as CH HSS influences diminish. | 120 |
| 11 | بدون متن... | 119 |
| 12 | :Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2026 Jun 19 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at low levels. New Region 4472 (S13E75, Hax/alpha)
produced a C1.2 flare at 18/2204 UTC, the strongest of the period, as
the region rotated into view from the E limb. Region 4471 (N18E05,
Dao/beta) exhibited growth early this period, but was stable through
the latter half of the day. The remaining regions were either stable
or in decay. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available
coronagraph imagery.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to continue at low levels on 19-21 Jun, with
a slight chance for M-class (R1-Minor) flares.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels with a peak
flux of 1,920 pfu observed. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained
at background values.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to reach high levels on
19 Jun, before decreasing to normal to moderate levels on 20-21 Jun. The
greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background
levels through 21 Jun.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
The interplanetary magnetic field became slightly enhanced after 19/0715
UTC. Total field strength reached 9 nT, while the Bz component reached
as far south as -8 nT. Solar wind speeds increased from ~350 km/s to
~400 km/s by the end of the period.
.Forecast...
Solar wind parameters are expected to remain enhanced through 21 Jun due
to CH HSS influences.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels this period.
.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is likely to reach active levels on 19-20 Jun in
response to CH HSS influences. Quiet to unsettled levels are likely on
21 Jun as CH HSS influences diminish. | 132 |
| 13 | بدون متن... | 129 |
| 14 | :Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2026 Jun 19 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at low levels. Region 4470 (N07E40, Dao/beta)
produced a C1.8/Sf flare at 18/1150 UTC, the strongest of the period.
Minor growth was observed in Region 4471 (N18E11, Dao/beta). Region 4465
(N07W62, Cso/beta) was mostly stable.
No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is likely to continue at low levels 19-21 Jun, with a
slight chance for M-class (R1-Minor) solar flares.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels and the
greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background values.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is likely to continue reaching
high levels on 19 Jun. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected
to remain at background levels.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters were at nominal levels. Total field strength was
between 2-8 nT. The Bz component reached as far south as -8 nT. Solar
wind speeds steadily declined from ~440 km/s to ~350 km/s by the
periods end. Phi angle transitioned from negative to positive after
~18/1750 UTC.
.Forecast...
Solar wind parameters are likely to contain minor enhancements through
21 Jun due to weak positive polarity CH HSS effects.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet with an isolated unsettled
period.
.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is likely to reach active levels on 19-20 Jun in
response to weak CH HSS influences. Unsettled conditions are likely on
21 Jun due to waning CH HSS effects. | 138 |
| 15 | بدون متن... | 134 |
| 16 | Space Weather Message Code: ALTEF3
Serial Number: 3703
Issue Time: 2026 Jun 18 1507 UTC
ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jun 18 1507 UTC
Station: GOES-19
Comment: | 139 |
| 17 | :Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2026 Jun 18 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was low with only C-class solar flare activity. Region
4465 (N07W56, Cso/beta) underwent some decay and only produced a
low-level C-class flare. Region 4469 (S16, L=248) decayed to plage and
was inactive. Region 4470 (N07E47, Dao/beta) underwent some growth,
but did not increase in magnetic complexity. The largest solar flare of
the period, a C2.5 at 17/1506 UTC, came from just beyond the west limb
with the likely source being recently rotated out of view Region 4464
(S14, L=342). New Region 4471 (N17E22, Cso/beta) was numbered and was
inactive.
No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in coronagraph imagery.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is likely to continue at low levels 18-20 Jun, with a
slight chance for M-class (R1-Minor) solar flares due primarily to the
combined flare probabilities of Regions 4465 and 4470.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at moderate levels and the
greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background values.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is likely to continue reaching
moderate levels 18-20 Jun; while the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is
expected to remain at background.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters were at nominal levels. Total field strength was
mostly below 5 nT while the Bz component was at benign levels. Solar win
speeds were between 400-450 km/s. Phi switched to a negative orientation
after 17/2200 UTC.
.Forecast...
Mild solar wind disturbance and enhancements are anticipated through 20
Jun due to weak positive polarity CH HSS effects.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is likely to be quiet to unsettled on 18 Jun in
response to weak CH HSS influences. Slightly more response is forecast
19-20 Jun with unsettled to active conditions likely due to additional
and continuing CH HSS effects. | 150 |
| 18 | بدون متن... | 130 |
| 19 | بدون متن... | 128 |
| 20 | :Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2026 Jun 18 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was low with only C-class solar flare activity. Region
4465 (N07W49, Cso/beta) underwent some decay and only produced a
low-level C-class flare. Region 4469 (S16W06, Bxo/beta) decayed further
and was inactive. Region 4470 (N07E54, Dao/beta) underwent some growth,
but did not increase in magnetic complexity. The region was primarily
inactive. The largest solar flare of the period, a C2.5 at 17/1506 UTC,
came from just beyond the west limb with the likely source being
recently rotated out of view Region 4464 (S14, L=342).
A CME became visible in STEREO coronagraph imagery at 17/0038 UTC and
CCOR imagery approximately 30 min later. This eruption was first
determined to be farsided due to SUVI 304 and 193 imagery; however, the
backfilling of a SOHO LASCO data gap prompted a re-analysis and it
has since concluded that there may be an Earth-directed component.
Modeling is currently ongoing.
There was an additional, faster, eruption off the east limb close to the
equator, with the resulting CME first appearing in LASCO C2 imagery at
approximately 17/0135 UTC. Due to its faintness, this CME is not visible
in other coronagraphs. Modeling of this event is also ongoing, but a
significant Earth-directed component is not anticipated.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is likely to continue at low levels 18-20 Jun, with a
slight chance for M-class (R1-Minor) solar flares due primarily to the
combined flare probabilities of Regions 4465 and 4470.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at moderate levels and the
greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background values.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is likely to continue reaching
moderate levels 18-20 Jun; while the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is
expected to remain at background.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters were indicative of a weak disturbance in the IMF,
which was probably related to anticipated early stage CH HSS influences.
The total IMF strength peaked at 12 nT due to probable CIR effects,
before it weakened to values at 5 nT or less. The Bz component was
variable without a pronounced southward deflection. The phi angle was
quite variable between sectors. Solar wind speed increased from 400 km/s
to near 500 km/s before declining to about 450 km/s.
.Forecast...
Mild solar wind disturbance and enhancements are anticipated through 20
Jun due to weak positive polarity CH HSS effects.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is likely to be quiet to unsettled on 18 Jun in
response to weak CH HSS influences. Slightly more response is forecast
19-20 Jun with unsettled to active conditions likely due to additional
and continuing CH HSS effects. | 137 |
اکنون در دسترس! پژوهش تلگرام ۲۰۲۵ — مهمترین بینشهای سال 
