IT Tech Crypto

83.5K on a weekly close - that's the line separating bear market rally from trend reversal for $BTC. - STH cost basis: 83.5K - short-term holders in aggregate loss below this level - LTH cost basis: 43K - long-term holders unthreatened, no forced selling from this cohort Every bounce into 83.5K faces selling pressure from underwater STHs. That's not a breakout - that's a relief rally until proven otherwise. Weekly close above 83.5K flips STHs back to profit and removes that overhead. Without it, this is a bear market rally. Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2045200135811158373 Please like 💙, comment on 📝, and share 🔁 this post 🤝

⚠️ $BTC SuperTrend flipped bullish - S label (bearish flip) printed right at the high. (S label = SuperTrend just turned bearish. Momentum stalled, not a trade order.) - SuperTrend flipped B near 75K after Apr 16 sweep of 73K lows - Price spiked to 76.7K, S label printed at the top - trend flipped bearish - Heavy buy volume on the rally, red prints formed at 76.6K -> 76.7K 💥 Liquidation Zones: 🔴 Resistance: - Thin above 76.7K - no cluster to pull price higher - S label at the high marks exhaustion 🟢 Support: - Dense liq cluster at 74.7K - Apr 16 sweep cleared lower longs - Pullback targets 74.7K 📢 Takeaways: - 3.4K rally with S label at the peak - chasing is high-risk - No overhead liquidity to extend the move - 74.7K is the magnet on rejection Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2045128580020207774 Please like 💙, comment on 📝, and share 🔁 this post 🤝

$BTC liquidation map is lopsided - and it's not favoring bulls. Current price: 74K 🔴 Short liquidations above: 74.5K -> 75.3K -> 76.2K (dense cluster) 🟢 Long liquidations below: 73.9K (-0.1%) and 69.6K (-6.9%) - both easy targets on a flush 📊 The imbalance: $64.4B longs vs $39.6B shorts - 62% long-heavy Net positioning has been positive since Apr 8, but longs piled in fast during the bounce from 59K. Short squeeze fuel sits above, but the real liquidation mass is below. Any rejection here triggers a cascade toward 70K - where the next major long cluster waits. 📢 Takeaway: 62% long imbalance + price stalling under resistance = long flush setup, not squeeze continuation. Bearish bias short-term. Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2044477908941689101 Please like 💙, comment on 📝, and share 🔁 this post 🤝

⚠️ $BTC bounced off SuperTrend - but longs are sitting right below Rally from 70.5K to 76K fully rejected. SuperTrend flipped back bullish at 73.9K, but the liquidation map tells a different story. 📊 BTC/USDT - Binance 15m Footprint + Liquidation Map Current Price: 74K • SuperTrend: B active at 73.78K after two trend flips off the 70.5K low • Price rejected hard at 76K - full retrace back to current level • Footprint shows volume concentration at 73K-74K 💥 Liquidation Zones: 🔴 Short-side risk (resistance): • Dense cluster: 74.5K -> 75K • If price pushes up, shorts get squeezed through this zone • Clear that and the path opens to retest 76K 🟢 Long-side risk (support): • Heavy long cluster: 73.5K -> 73K • SuperTrend sitting at 73.78K - longs piled in near trend support • Break below 73K flips structure bearish, triggers cascade 📢 Takeaways: • SuperTrend bullish but price is sandwiched - resistance above, fragile longs below • Market structure is clean only above 75K • Watch 73K - losing it means the 70.5K bounce unwinds completely Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2044446833645347156 Please like 💙, comment on 📝, and share 🔁 this post 🤝

$BTC options dealers are short gamma, and it's getting worse. - GEX: deeply negative at -68,064 - Max negative cluster: -11,272 at 68.7K - IV: 43.27 - elevated, directional pressure building - Current price: 75K, above the key dealer hedge level Short gamma means dealers sell into drops and buy into rips. They amplify the move - they don't fight it. Break below 74K and dealers accelerate the flush toward 68.7K. Hold it, and any squeeze gets amplified to the upside. Bearish bias. Negative GEX + elevated IV = vol expansion risk. 68.7K is the level to watch on any breakdown. ⚠️ Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2044046555423154188 Please like 💙, comment on 📝, and share 🔁 this post 🤝

$BTC spot and perps are telling two different stories right now. Perps drove this move. Spot didn't confirm it. That's a warning. CVD: - Spot CVD: -177.48M, falling hard - Perp CVD: +951.37M, surging Funding Rate: 0.0038% - neutral, no overcrowding yet Order Book Depth: - Spot: -1.2K delta (ask-heavy) - Perp: -3.8K delta (ask-heavy) Price ran from 70.5K to 74.9K on perp demand - but spot buyers didn't follow. Spot CVD printed deep red through the entire rally. Order book depth is negative on both sides. Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2043983553533489166 Please like 💙, comment on 📝, and share 🔁 this post 🤝

$765M napływów do ETF-ów. Organiczny popyt: -141K BTC. Instytucje kupują. Rynek sprzedaje. Sprawdzam co z tego wynika. Nowy odcinek na kanale Maćka Tomczyka.👇 https://youtu.be/oBeyRbEwgKY?t=91&is=0gvTkm2RfjSNrg9b

$BTC is trapped below 75.5K. Options market structure is keeping it there. - Gamma zone: positive - options dealers hedge against price moves, compressing volatility - MAX wall: 75.5K - heaviest options concentration, acting as ceiling - Current price: 71.5K - 4K below MAX - IV: 45.39 - moderate, some risk priced in but no panic Price is stuck in a zone where options dealers actively dampen any move. That changes if 75.5K breaks - dealers flip to hedging with the move instead of against it, and volatility expands fast. Watch 75.5K. Below it, expect chop. Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2043686695829414298 Please like 💙, comment on 📝, and share 🔁 this post 🤝

⚠️ $BTC Longs Stacked Below - Bears Still In Control SuperTrend flipped bearish at 73.79K on Apr 12. It hasn't looked back. 📊 BTC/USDT - Binance 15m Footprint + Liquidation Map Current Price: 70.74K ⤵️ - Price dropped from 73.79K to 70.5K in under 24h - sell signals held throughout - Volume profile heaviest at 70.8K-71K - active defense zone - Each bounce rejected at lower highs - no structural recovery yet 🔴 Short-side risk (above price): - 71.4K - light short cluster, easy to sweep - 72K-72.6K - heavier short density, should cap bounces 🟢 Long-side risk (below price): - 70.5K - already tested once (70505.88 low), holding for now - 70K-69.6K - dense long liquidation wall, the real magnet Price is sitting on the first long cluster at 70.5K. If that fails, 70K-69.6K becomes the target for a flush. No SuperTrend reclaim = no long thesis. Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2043640419721105699 Please like 💙, comment on 📝, and share 🔁 this post 🤝

🪙 Bitcoin and Crypto Market Report - Week 15 #174 is live. This week's key reads: - BTC above $71K with weekly candle still open - Coinbase Premium: +11.68 avg, 5 consecutive positive days - longest streak since October 2025 - BTC ETF inflows: $633.8M - second strongest week of the bear phase - ETH ETF: +$125.2M - strongest since January - Combined inflows: $765.0M - largest weekly total since the bear phase began - Organic demand: -91K BTC deficit. ETFs + Strategy cover only ~55% of the selling - Large investors accumulated 2.2M ETH since January. Retail at a bear phase low - Miner losses compressing - but the reason matters more than the number - ETF cost basis at $76,715 - now just 6.4% above spot The institutional and organic data are pulling in opposite directions. Which one leads from here is in the full report. 🔗 https://ittechpl.substack.com/p/bitcoin-and-crypto-market-report-174 🎁 You claim 7-day free acesss - enjoy readings!

🪙 New Crypto Market Analysis Incoming! I’m working on the latest cryptocurrency market insights, dropping in just a few hours. ✔️ Subscribe for free now to stay ahead of the trends! 🔗 https://ittechpl.substack.com Stay informed. Stay prepared. 📊🚀

$72.6K to $73.8K - Burj Khalifa of trapped shorts. One push and the squeeze runs itself. - Short wall: $73.0K -> $73.8K - biggest cluster on the chart - Current price: ~$72.8K - sitting right below the trigger - Long cushion: $72.1K -> $72.5K - dense, just below price Shorts stacked 200 points above. Longs defending right below. ⚠️ Flush to $72.1K first to shake weak longs. Then the path to $73.8K opens. Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2042943012322578923 Please like 💙, comment on 📝, and share 🔁 this post 🤝

$BTC at 73K sits 3.7K below ETF cost basis. Every bounce is an exit for underwater holders. - STH cost basis: 84.2K - recent buyers deep in the red - US ETF cost basis (WAC by NAV): 76.7K - institutional break-even - LTH cost basis: 42.5K - no sell pressure from this cohort Two resistance layers, not one. First wall: 76.7K ETF cost basis. Where institutions go from loss to flat. Break above it and ETF overhead supply clears. Fail there and distribution continues. Second wall: 84.2K STH cost basis. Only relevant if 76.7K flips first. 🔴 Price has to clear the ETF cost basis before STH resistance even matters. Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2042695764917571685 Please like 💙, comment on 📝, and share 🔁 this post 🤝