The Russia Guy
Russia analysis and Russian media monitoring by Kevin Rothrock. All opinions and good/bad takes are his alone. Contact Kevin directly here: @KevinRothrock
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01 French police have arrested three Moldovan nationals for graffitiing walls in Paris with pictures of coffins and the inscription "French soldiers in Ukraine." Unclear if there's any connection to the fake coffins with the same inscription recently placed at the Eiffel Tower. https://www.bfmtv.com/paris/paris-trois-ressortissants-moldaves-interpelles-soupconnes-d-etre-les-auteurs-des-tags-de-cercueils_AN-202406080179.html
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02 “Dude, George.”
“What is it, Ike”
“George, [hiccup] what if we, like, stormed the beaches in Normandy, LOL”
“Ike, dude. [hiccup] We should totally.”
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03 Tom Hanks, who describes himself as a "lay historian," was born in 1956.
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04 Acting on a request from the federal censor, Russia's Investigative Committee has opened felony cases against 45 designated "foreign agents" for giving a big 🖕 to requirements that they mark all their online content with a special disclosure. https://tass.ru/proisshestviya/21046399
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05 Ukrainian drone(s) reportedly shot down deep in Russian territory in an (attempted?) attack on a military airfield in North Ossetia, 560 miles from front. https://t.me/mod_russia/39505
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06 NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg is scrapping plans to set up a 5-year fund of military aid for Ukraine after facing pushback from alliance members, and is instead asking countries to keep up their current contributions. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-06-07/nato-scales-back-road-map-for-ukraine-aid-plan-after-pushback
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07 journalism has peaked. put down your pens, reporters. it's over.
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08 Reminds me a bit of the charges against Maria Butina (which many confused with a FARA violation but was actually a separate charge of "conspiracy to act as an unregistered foreign agent of the Russian state" under 18 U.S.C. §951).
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09 Precedent for the felony charges against French national Laurent Vinatier in Russia: human rights activist Valentina Cherevatenko was briefly charged in 2017 with "malicious evasion of duties" imposed on "foreign agents."https://ovd.info/express-news/2017/07/24/sk-prekratil-delo-rukovoditelnicy-nko-o-zlostnom-neispolnenii-obyazannostey
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10 I'd like to announce my special new $0 Max subscription plan
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11 The French embassy in Moscow is being teased with this nearby bus stop ad that shows a photo of Nazi collaborator Edgar Puaud with the caption: “These Frenchmen already fought against Russia on the side of the Nazis.” The banner calls on French soldiers in Ukraine to surrender.
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12 whenever I read about European governments’ approach to free speech and eagerness to police it, I clutch my Grand Union flag a little harder and think, “maybe we need another revolutionary war, just to be sure”
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13 A fine reminder that the vibes you get on social media from many journalists, activists, and Shiba Inus are not representative of what goes on in the hearts and heads of Mr. and Mrs. Joe Schmo.
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14 how relieved do you think Trudeau was today to meet WWII veterans and know for certain that none of them fought with the Nazis?
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15 Today, Joe Biden said he's known and worried about Vladimir Putin since the early 1980s, when Putin was still a lowly KGB counterintelligence official in Leningrad, before Putin was even stationed in Dresden.
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16 Job opportunity at The Moscow Times for Assistant News Editor position 👇 https://www.themoscowtimes.com/page/jobs-at-tmt
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17 “As Pimakhov handed out summons to the couriers, an elderly lady passed by and hissed abuse: ‘Found another victim have you? Scum, why aren’t you at the front yourselves?’ […] The people insulting him do not know […] that Pimakhov was wounded twice at the front.” https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jun/06/mobilisation-squads-face-hostility-ukraine-army
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18 As American news outlets commemorate the 80th anniversary of the Normandy landings (in the charged contemporary context of Russia’s brutal invasion of Ukraine, of course), I reflect on how little WWII factors into modern American culture, at least compared to many other countries, especially in Europe.
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19 what a headline
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20 Behold, Russia’s robot and YandexGPT 3 tech, on display at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum. This face-rippling lumberjack has a poem for you.
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21 Officials continue to persecute anyone who says peep about Russia’s atrocities in Bucha. Today, a judge in Moscow sentenced online streamer Anna “YokoBovich” Bazhutova to 5.5 years in prison because she read aloud the stories of Bucha survivors in a broadcast last June. https://zona.media/news/2024/06/05/fake
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22 Senator Mike Rounds of South Dakota has confirmed to The Associated Press that American missiles are now flying into Russia, following Biden’s approval of counterfire in defense of Kharkiv. https://apnews.com/article/ukraine-russia-weapons-biden-kharkiv-c46c3ca0f0f4893c8c3b0ef53e974438
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23 Putin’s comments today in St. Petersburg on the Trump Trials: “[The Americans] are burning themselves down from the inside — their own state, their own political system — and I must say, whether it’s pleasant or not, they also burning down, right before our eyes, their supposed leadership among democracies.”
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24 In a new essay for iStories, ex-Federal Tax Service analyst Dmitry Nekrasov argues that Russia can afford its current military costs “indefinitely,” despite everything, assuming oil prices don’t bottom out and labor shortages don’t become critical. https://istories.media/opinions/2024/06/05/skolko-rossiiskaya-ekonomika-smozhet-viderzhivat-voinu/Nekrasov says Russia’s pre-war macroeconomic discipline and trade surplus provided the “safety margins” needed to transition to its current war footing without the chaos that would have ensued otherwise. Yes, the economy is more vulnerable now, and the Kremlin is borrowing domestically, spending reserves, and maintaining high interest rates, which are all bad for the economy in the long term, but that’s not an urgent problem. (He also acknowledges high production utilization rates in many sectors and the potential consequences of a second mass mobilization.)
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25 lol whut — “The U.S. Embassy is limited in our ability to influence Ukrainian law, including the application of martial law and the mobilization law to Ukrainian citizens. If you are in Ukraine and cannot leave the country, shelter in place and obey all local orders.”https://ua.usembassy.gov/message-for-u-s-citizens-elimination-of-residence-abroad-exception-to-dual-citizen-departure/
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26 some hard-hitting shit here
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27 Quite a detail in this report about inmate recruitment in St. Petersburg: apparently, Wagner Group used to subject prisoners trying to enlist as mercenaries to a polygraph test, asking men with Ukrainian roots if they’d be willing to shoot at friends and relatives. https://paperpaper.ru/ubil-podpisal-uehal-kak-sejchas-ustroe/
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28 For the first time, Putin’s spokesman has said directly that the U.S. and Russia view each other as “enemies.” In the past, the Kremlin has reserved such talk for merely the actions of Western states, not the countries themselves. https://www.agents.media/kreml-vpervye-publichno-nazval-ssha-vrazheskoj-stranoj/
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29 My thanks to Simon Saradzhyan for drawing attention to these competing comments to Interfax from Russian analysts Alexey Arbatov and Dmitry Trenin on nuclear deterrence. https://www.interfax.ru/russia/964173 https://www.interfax.ru/russia/964175Arbatov lays out an interesting vision for arms control diplomacy wherein progress is made inside containment “polygons” ( eg 🇺🇸-🇷🇺-🇨🇳, 🇮🇳-🇨🇳-🇵🇰) rather than globally all at once. He says the U.S. should withdraw its 100ish tactical nukes from Europe for progress with Russia (since these are effectively strategic nukes vs. Russia’s western territory, which Moscow doesn’t have along the U.S. periphery).Arbatov also takes a shot at “independent strategists” who advocate “offensive” nuclear deterrence, ie Trenin, who repeats here what he’s been saying for 2.5 years: Americans are still drunk on delusions of “omnipotence” and Europeans have lost their self-preservation instinct via “strategic parasitism” under the U.S. security umbrella. Russia must convince the West that views defeat in Ukraine as an unacceptable strategic loss and would resort to nuclear weapons if those vital interests are seriously jeopardized. He advocates lowering the use threshold in Russia’s official nuke doctrine.
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30 Looks like Andrey Turchak is headed back to gubernatorial duty. Putin has tapped the Pskov senator and United Russia party big wig to take over as Alta Republic head. When he was Pskov governor from 2009 until 2017, Turchak allegedly ordered a near-fatal hit on journalist Oleg Kashin. https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/6745189?tg
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31 Russia’s Foreign Ministry is now too lazy even to name the British citizens it’s adding to its “stop list.” Today, Moscow said it’s expanding the list to “representatives of the [U.K.] political establishment, journalism, and expert community.” Uh, okay. https://mid.ru/ru/foreign_policy/news/1954301/
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32 Some of Russia’s upcoming films include Russia’s first-ever movie about the Vietnam War and a movie about a Soviet submarine crew battling a kraken off the U.S. coast during the Cold War.
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33 American right-wing extremist extradited from Ukraine to face trial: Ex-Army soldier Craig Lang has been extradited from Ukraine to the U.S. to face numerous charges. Lang fought in Ukraine as a foreign volunteer in 2015–16 and later returned to Ukraine after allegedly “robbing and killing a Florida couple in 2018 to fund more foreign fighting adventures,” reports journalist Christopher Miller. https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/former-us-soldier-turned-foreign-fighter-extradited-ukraine-united-states-2018-double
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34 Leaked internal docs reveal that the Fund for Support and Protection of the Rights of Compatriots Living Abroad (Pravfond) is part of a “Kremlin influence operation” that helped pay legal fees for arms trafficker Viktor Bout and assassin Vadim Krasikov. https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jun/02/revealed-russian-legal-defence-foundation-pravfond-europe
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35 NYT report details how Russian officials forcibly transferred 46 institutionalized children from a Kherson facility to Crimea where at least 22 have been put up for local adoption. 7 have been returned to Ukraine (1 of these children later died from an epileptic seizure). https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/02/world/europe/ukraine-children-russia-war.html
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36 A new report from Olesya Gerasimenko describes how Russia’s military abducts conscientious objectors called up for mobilization (or ordered back into combat) and is now sending them into the trenches with hands literally bound to join assault brigades. At gunpoint. https://verstka.media/mobilizovannih-siloy-otpravlyayut-na-front
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37 New govt data show that nearly 30% of the religious organizations registered in Ukraine are under the Ukrainian Orthodox Church of the Moscow Patriarchate’s jurisdiction, though recent polling shows that just 5.6% of respondents self-identify as UOC-MP members. https://novayagazeta.eu/articles/2024/05/29/prikhodov-upts-v-ukraine-menshe-ne-stalo
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38 Anybody out there used Qobuz or Tidal? I’ve been on Spotify for years and years, but I’m wondering if I’m missing out.
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39 As long as I can use AI to pretend I've read or seen people's art and writing, I feel like it's a win.
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40 z-channels on Telegram are circulating this video addressing Zelensky from Anna Polonskaya where the Kherson-based collaborationist activist presents herself as an ordinary mother (she does have a small child), speaking on behalf of all Ukrainians (in Ukrainian).https://t.me/agentstvonews/6226She asks Ze to end the war and "the genocide of Ukrainian children" and adds that she would already have been drafted and her kid's organs sold to Europe if she lived in (Kyiv-controlled) Ukraine.
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Les tags avaient été découverts dans les rues du 7e arrondissement de Paris le vendredi 7 juin. Selon une source policière contactée par BFMTV, "les soupçons portent sur une nouvelle possible ingérence étrangère".
Attached: 4 images Tom Hanks, who describes himself as a "lay historian," was born in 1956.
События в России и мире. Аналитические публикации. Материалы пресс-конференций. Видео- и фоторепортажи
⚡️ Около 08.40 мск пресечена попытка киевского режима совершить террористическую атаку c применением БпЛА самолетного типа по объектам на территории Российской Федерации. Дежурными средствами ПВО украинский беспилотный летательный аппарат уничтожен над территорией Республики Северная Осетия–Алания. 🔹 Минобороны России
NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg is scrapping plans to set up a five-year fund of military aid for Ukraine after facing pushback from alliance members, and is instead asking countries to keep up their current contributions, people familiar with the matter said.
Attached: 1 image journalism has peaked. put down your pens, reporters. it's over.
Reminds me a bit of the charges against Maria Butina (which many confused with a FARA violation but was actually a separate charge of "conspiracy to act as an unregistered foreign agent of the Russian state" under 18 U.S.C. §951).
Следственный комитет прекратил дело в отношении руководительницы новочеркасской правозащитной организации «Союз „Женщины Дона“» Валентины Череватенко за отсутствием состава преступления. Об этом в твиттере пишет адвокат Павел Чиков. Череватенко обвиняли в «злостном» неисполнении требований закона об «иностранных агентах» (ст. 330.1 УК). Важно! СКР прекратил единственное уголовное дело о злостном неисполнении обязанности иностранного агента за отсутствием состава преступления pic.twitter.com/VOiACC0878 — Pavel Chikov (@pchikov) July 24, 2017 По версии следствия, Череватенко зарегистрировала фонд «Женщины Дона», получала финансирование от немецкого фонда имени Генриха Бёлля и умышленно не подавала заявку о включении своей организации в реестр иностранных агентов.
Attached: 1 image I'd like to announce my special new $0 Max subscription plan