Steptrader

Fitch: Risiko Perusahaan Indonesia Meningkat di Tengah Tekanan Ekonomi Lembaga pemeringkat global, Fitch Ratings, dalam laporan terbarunya menyebutkan perusahaan- perusahaan di Indonesia menghadapi peningkatan risiko akibat kondisi ekonomi makro yang kian menantang dan ketidakpastian regulasi. Fitch menerangkan, kenaikan harga bahan bakar non-subsidi, kenaikan suku bunga, dan pelemahan nilai tukar rupiah meningkatkan risiko permintaan bagi sektor-sektor konsumer. Padahal, sektor ini bergantung pada tingkat pengeluaran masyarakat, seperti otomotif dan properti. https://share.google/3mfOVIXtKTUuUqock

Sepanjang 6 bulan tahun 2026 IHSG tidak pernah ditutup positif !!

Bobot Indonesia di MSCI Emerging Market Index

Weighting Indonesia di MSCI Emerging Market tinggal 0,4%

*TARGET AMBISIUS JAJARAN PENGURUS BEI*

Week Ahead: Katalis Utama Minggu Ini - Rating S&P — Review peringkat/outlook sovereign (jendela akhir Jun/awal Jul) masih dinanti. Sinyal konsolidasi fiskal tetap jadi sorotan. - Data RI — CPI Juni & neraca dagang Mei akan jadi indikasi awal permintaan domestik dan kondisi eksternal jelang 2H26. - Timur Tengah — Perkembangan dan daya tahan de-eskalasi terkini tetap jadi penggerak penting harga minyak. - MSCI — Investor terus memantau progres implementasi OJK, IDX & KSEI jelang MSCI November Review.

The trust in Indo keep getting lower

*"Citi, HSBC, Stanchart send more Indonesia Profits Home as Prabowo Demand Rise"* *_The three biggest foreign banks in Indonesia have shipped around $640 million of their earnings out of Southeast Asia’s largest economy since 2024 as they pare exposure amid President Prabowo Subianto’s increasingly state-focused economic policies._* *_The Indonesian units of Citigroup Inc., Standard Chartered Plc and HSBC Holdings Plc remitted a total of 11.5 trillion rupiah ($640 million) over the last two years, slightly exceeding their combined profits for the period, according to an analysis of their financial statements._* That surpassed the average 84% of profits that Citigroup shipped out to its parent firm in the decade before 2024 when Prabowo took office, keeping the rest in Indonesia to support growth and strengthen its capital buffer. That also topped the average 48% for Standard Chartered during the same period and HSBC’s 87% for 2020-2023. HSBC didn’t disclose the amount of funds it remitted to its parent before 2020 in its financial statements. *_Some banks decided to curb exposure to Indonesia as they became increasingly concerned over the country’s policy direction that has dented foreign investors’ confidence, according to bankers familiar with the matter who asked not to be named discussing a private matter._* A bout of market turmoil that rattled Indonesian stocks and the rupiah early last year, months into Prabowo’s administration, contributed to the decision, the people said. Prabowo, the 74-year-old former special forces commander who became president in October 2024, has pushed for an increased role of the government including expanding the economic power of its sovereign wealth fund Danantara. Just over a year old, Danantara now oversees hundreds of state-owned enterprises and controls assets that officials value at roughly $900 billion. One of the earliest flashpoints for foreign banks came when Danantara sought commitments for a $10 billion loan facility. During a meeting in early 2025 with 10 banks, Danantara Chief Investment Officer Pandu Sjahrir encouraged each lender to contribute as much as $1 billion to the package as a show of support for Indonesia and the sovereign wealth fund, according to people familiar with the discussions. Pandu and Danantara didn’t respond to a request for comment. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-06-28/citi-hsbc-stanchart-send-more-indonesia-profits-home-as-prabowo-demands-rise

Panda Bond Bakal Dinilai Lembaga Rating China, Purbaya Tak Peduli Hasil S&P dan Moody's Untuk selengkapnya kunjungi: https://ekbis.sindonews.com/read/1722317/33/panda-bond-bakal-dinilai-lembaga-rating-china-purbaya-tak-peduli-hasil-sp-dan-moodys-1782565615

Real-time Strait of Hormuz vessel-crossing tracker just reached its highest level since the war began (ECAN HORMUZ). The index now indicates 21 commercial crossings over the past 24 hours — 13 eastbound and 8 westbound — with updates every 30 minutes based on AIS transponder data. This is significant as it tracks actual vessel movement through the chokepoint, rather than relying on headlines or claims. When ships transit through Hormuz with their transponders activated, this is the data we will monitor. Disclaimer ON

🔹KLBF tes resistance level 780 🔸Breakout dan maintain diatas level tersebut, KLBF berpeluang membentuk pola cup with handle, sehingga berpotensi rally menuju arah 935, dengan arah minor 850. 🔹Namun jika gagal breakout 780 dan kembali bergerak turun, maka KLBF akan kembali melanjutkan konsolidasinya. Disclaimer ON‼️ #BukanRekomendasi #NFA #AnalisaKembali #DYOR #NoPomPom‼️   Like ❤️ and Share 📣 this content jika kalian rasa bermanfaat Follow Me ✔️ for more content

*🇮🇩 CGS Flash: MBG Budget Cut* The reduction for free meal program to Rp228tr is not new, but *49mn beneficiaries vs current 62.5mn is.* We have been expecting stalling number of beneficiary with potential reduction going fwd. https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/indonesia-weighs-2-billion-cut-prabowos-signature-free-meals-programme-2026-06-25/

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*EVALUASI INDEKS INFOBANK15, PEFINDO I-GRADE, PRIMBANK10, IHSG, DAN SEKTOR* (Periode Efektif 1 Juli 2026 - 30 Desember 2026) *INDEKS INFOBANK15* *Baru :* BBYB *Keluar :* AGRO *INDEKS PEFINDO I-GRADE* *Baru :* BBTN, ENRG, RATU *Keluar :* DSSA, SGRO, TOBA *INDEKS PRIMBANK10* *Baru :* BJBR *Keluar :* BTPN *INDEKS ENERGI (IDXENERGY)* (Periode Efektif 1 Juli 2026 - 30 Juni 2027) *Baru :* - *Keluar :* HRUM *INDEKS BASIC (IDXBASIC)* (Periode Efektif 1 Juli 2026 - 30 Juni 2027) *Baru :* HRUM *Keluar :* - *INDEKS CYCLIC (IDXCYCLIC)* (Periode Efektif 1 Juli 2026 - 30 Juni 2027) *Baru :* - *Keluar :* ARGO *INDEKS PROPERTI (IDXPROPERT)* (Periode Efektif 1 Juli 2026 - 30 Juni 2027) *Baru :* ARGO *Keluar :* - *(Listri, Source : IDX)*

*Saham Asia Melesat, Optimisme AI dan Pelemahan Harga Minyak Jadi Katalis* Pasar saham Asia menguat tajam Kamis (25/6) usai proyeksi pendapatan Micron Technology melampaui ekspektasi, membangkitkan optimisme tema investasi AI. Kontrak berjangka Nasdaq 100 melonjak hampir 2%, Kospi Korea Selatan melesat ~5%. Saham Micron naik ~15% berkat kinerja dan proyeksi penjualan jauh di atas perkiraan pasar, memperkuat keyakinan investor atas tren belanja pusat data dan permintaan chip AI. SK Hynix ikut melonjak hingga 11% menyusul rencana pencatatan saham di AS dengan valuasi hingga ~US$29 miliar. Harga minyak Brent turun di bawah US$74/barel di tengah tanda pemulihan pasokan global pasca-kemajuan perdamaian AS-Iran, meredakan kekhawatiran inflasi. Imbal hasil Treasury 10 tahun turun tajam, tenor 30 tahun menyentuh level terendah sejak April—investor kini menanti data inflasi PCE. Persaingan talenta AI juga menghangat: dua peneliti senior Google dilaporkan bergabung dengan Anthropic, sementara OpenAI memperkenalkan chip AI perdananya hasil kolaborasi dengan Broadcom. Sumber: Bloomberg

*Saham Asia Melesat, Optimisme AI dan Pelemahan Harga Minyak Jadi Katalis*

*Brent Oil Kembali ke Level Pra-Perang Hormuz* Harga minyak Brent menghapus seluruh kenaikan yang terjadi selama perang Iran setelah arus pasokan melalui Selat Hormuz kembali normal menyusul kemajuan dalam perundingan damai AS–Iran. Patokan global itu turun di bawah US$72,48 per barel, level penutupan sebelum konflik, sementara West Texas Intermediate mendekati US$69. Pasar kini dibanjiri penawaran dari produsen Timur Tengah dan Afrika, mendorong harga fisik turun dan mengubah struktur *prompt spread* Brent menjadi contango untuk pertama kalinya sejak perang dimulai. Dated Brent, yang sempat menembus rekor US$140 per barel, kini juga terkoreksi tajam. Optimisme atas kesepakatan damai mendorong kapal tanker kembali melintas dengan sinyal satelit aktif, menandai berakhirnya blokade. Presiden Donald Trump menyebut Iran “membuat konsesi besar” dalam perundingan. Namun, isu nuklir dan konflik Lebanon masih menjadi hambatan. Ketersediaan pasokan tambahan juga diperkuat oleh pemberian izin sementara AS untuk pembelian minyak Iran yang sudah dimuat, meski kendala pembiayaan dan asuransi tetap membatasi penjualan. Di sisi lain, penurunan harga terjadi dengan mengorbankan persediaan global: stok di Cushing, Oklahoma, jatuh ke sekitar 19 juta barel, di bawah ambang operasional. **Sumber: Bloomberg, 25 Juni 2026*