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Learn what is Consumer Confidence Index
Consumer confidence is the outlook that consumers have towards the economy and their own personal financial situation. This outlook can be optimistic (high consumer confidence) or pessimistic (low consumer confidence)
The level of consumer confidence will be an important factor that determines the willingness of consumers to spend, borrow and save.
A high level of consumer confidence will encourage a higher marginal propensity to consume. A fall in levels of consumer confidence is often an indicator of an economic downturn..
This measure uses 100 as the long-term average for confidence. Therefore, a stat above 100 indicates consumer confidence is higher than average.
A value below 100 indicates below average confidence.
Factors that affect consumer confidence
1) House prices – Housing is the largest form of household wealth Falling prices reduce wealth and confidence. Rising house prices enable households to ‘re-mortgage’ and gain equity withdrawal.
2) Economic news – Depressing statistics about the global and national economy will reduce confidence and encourage saving rather than spending.
3) Uncertainty – a major political/economic change can lead to uncertainty which reduces confidence. For example, major terrorist attack, uncertainty over Brexit deal.
4) Unemployment – The fear of rising unemployment will discourage consumers.
5) Inflation and real wages. High inflation will reduce confidence.
6) Personal debt levels. Rising debt levels will be a source of concern – especially if interest rates rise or the economy slows down.
7) Economic growth – A recession will be associated with a fall in consumer confidence; positive economic growth tends to improve consumer confidence.
Today Economic Calendar GMT
High volatility expected on USD pairs
Medium volatility expected on CHF pairs
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