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Zornkrieger

World events leading to WW3

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01
🇷🇺🇺🇦 The enemy confirms the loss of positions in the eastern part of Netailovo. The fighting is moving towards the center of the village. Behind Netailovo is Karlovka.
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🇸🇪🇷🇺🇺🇦 “Donbass will fall in October,” writes the Swiss newspaper Blick, citing the Ukrainian military. Several commanders who are fighting on the eastern front told the publication that “Ukraine will lose the war.” “The Russians will capture Donbass by October, then the conflict will freeze, and we will have to negotiate with Putin,” predicts Sergei, an officer of the brigade located in Chasov Yar. Frontline workers name three reasons that could lead to such a situation. The first is the lack of people. The number of brigades in many places has been reduced to 30-40 percent. “Continuing mobilization will not save us,” says officer Alexander from the 93rd brigade. “Those who are now being drafted and trained will not be with us until October. By then we will have lost the entire Donetsk region.” The current measures to tighten mobilization, according to Alexander, will not be enough to counter the 300,000 recruits from Russia that the Kremlin plans to recruit, according to Zelensky. The second reason is that new US aid “comes too late.” And “the latest injection of military aid alone will not help Ukraine win.” "We can slow the Russians down as much as possible, but we can't defeat them," says an officer named Miroslav. The third reason is the leadership style of Commander-in-Chief Syrsky, which the publication calls “the paralyzing effect of the Butcher” (recalling that the future commander-in-chief received this nickname during the bloody defense of Bakhmut, which he led). The newspaper writes that Syrsky's appointment "caused a bad mood in many places at the front." “Several front-line officers talk about brigades that, from the moment of Syrsky’s appointment, were sent on combat missions with virtually no ammunition, with too few people. According to the commanders, three brigades were disbanded, sometimes for far-fetched reasons, and distributed to other combat units,” - the article says. Andrei, an officer from Chasov Yar, speaks of “the genocide of our best soldiers.”
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03
Ineffective Ukrainian ATACMS strike on Russian air defense positions vic. Cape Tarkankhut in Crimea last night. What's interesting is observers apparently saw no less than 15 missiles launched, the Russians only reported five shot down, but there were no reports of "arrivals" or damage. I suspect this can be attributed to the age of the missiles, probably older short-range models that could only reach the target near their maximum range. Any degradation in their engine performance over decades in storage would lead to them falling short into the ocean. The Russians aren't stupid, they would only intercept missiles that were actually going to hit something. Doubly noteworthy that the Russians killed an MLRS launcher with a Lancet in the aftermath of the attack.
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Translation - they're out and Germany has the last large stockpile of Euro-missiles in existence.
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Western cruise missiles, including Storm Shadow and Scalp, have demonstrated their “exceptional effectiveness”, Germany needs to follow the example of the allies and transfer the Taurus to Ukraine. This opinion was expressed by British Defense Minister Grant Shapps to The Times newspaper during a visit to the Storm Shadow assembly plant in Stevenage. “We are in a state of war,” said the head of the British Ministry of Defense. According to him, the number of cruise missiles in the UK, Italy and France is limited, but “Germany has a lot of them, and they must be provided [to Ukraine].” He noted that this could significantly change the situation in the conflict zone. @Slavyangrad
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🗺 The capture of Kyslivka will lead to large consequences and the collapse of the frontline in that direction as Russian will be able to completely cut the supply lines capturing other 3 villages. Also, Russian forces will have a path access to the hights.
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🧐 The increased rate of damage/destroyed HIMARS/M270 is concerning for the Ukrainian as they could lose their only effective artillery system. 🧮 At least 3 destroyed and one damaged so far.
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#UkraineRussiaWar Russian Forces Captured Entire Eastern Part of Netailovo, Battles are taking place in Center and Western Part. Soon Netailove will fall soon it seems. Military Summary Map
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🌍 Starting this year, Egypt, South Africa, Nigeria, Ghana, Cameroon, Senegal, Algeria and Saudi Arabia began withdrawing national gold reserves from the US. Question: are they still there, those gold reserves? t.me/ukraine_watch
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Kislovka under Russian control
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Quadcopter operators from the 9th Separate Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade burned a German Marder 1A3 infantry fighting vehicle in the Avdeevsky direction @Slavyangrad
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ℹ️🇺🇦 The AFU 47th Mechanized Brigade decided to film themselves to heroic music .... running away and showing their KIA near Keramik? 🐻 After Azov (3 and 12 AFU Brigades) the 47th Mechanized Brigade is the most overhyped UKR brigade in this entire war. They have the best equipment and they have accomplished what exactly? 🔴@DDGeopolitics
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#UkraineRussiaWar 🌐 Place: #Staromaiorske 🕰 Date: ~28.04.2024 📌 Coordinates: 47.757280,36.799469 47.759083,36.788715 👩‍🚀 Squad: #11Army 📝 Description: Russian FAB bombs a temporary deployment point of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Staromaiorske. 🖥 id: 28042024.1451 ✉️source: https://t.me/voin_dv/8183 Map: Military Summary Map
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New record for Lancet applications! The number of openly published episodes of the use of Lancet loitering ammunition, according to statistics from the LOSTARMOR Internet portal, has reached 1,500! There has been a significant increase in the use of Izdeliye-51 and -52 loitering ammunition. Over the past 3 months, 500 applications have been registered, while the first 1000 took a full year and a half! This indicates the demand and high efficiency of loitering ammunition. The main targets remain guns and mortars, self-propelled guns, tanks, and light armored vehicles. A significant part consists of radars and communication stations, MLRS, air defense systems, and vehicles. In addition, among the targets hit are sea vessels and watercraft, aircraft, strongholds and enemy personnel. @Slavyangrad
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🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 The ground is strewn with corpses: Fighters of the Center group show all that is left of the 47th AFU ombr near Berdychi ➖ The AFU command does not change itself and continues to send Ukrainian fighters on suicidal tasks. ➖ As a result of fierce fighting, the commanders of the 47th brigade managed to put down a whole platoon from artillery and tank strikes only on this small section of the forest belt. ➖Our fighters report that they did not even try to evacuate them after the fire and subsequent assault began. They were simply left in those positions - permanently. Source Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters. https://t.me/+U_EDAcaO-HFjNzEx @Slavyangrad | Andrei 👋
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Consequences of night strikes on Ukrainian energy infrastructure facilities two nights ago. Systematic work has begun to turn off the “switch” and create “islands” around the remaining generation systems instead of a single energy system; the consequences of these blows will be felt by the residents of Ukraine very soon @Slavyangrad
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From the 38th brigade thrown into fight near Krynki “We were sent to death. Sent by company commander Dymchenko. If you’re reading, it means I’m no longer there. *Mother’s name and phone number* I have a daughter. Dyakuyu!” 🥲 #Source @Slavyangrad
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An interesting analysis of the situation in the Ocheretino direction: Following yesterday's offensive, the Russian Armed Forces captured Keramik. Four days of bypassing Ukrainian positions from the east have yielded results. The most significant outcome is that this has compelled units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, located in two large strongholds west of Keramik, to retreat to avoid being surrounded. Additionally, units of the Ukrainian army in the Berdychi area have opted to surrender, finding themselves encircled. The Ukrainian Armed Forces withdrew from Novokalinovo, which was nearly surrounded by lunchtime, and focused their efforts on holding strongholds between Keramik and Ocheretino. It is critically important for the Ukrainian command to maintain control of these strongholds, as there are no particularly advantageous defensive lines in the north. However, it will be challenging for the Ukrainian Armed Forces to do so, as the Russian Armed Forces have already reached their flanks, both left and right. The front in this area is deteriorating at an accelerating pace. @Slavyangrad | Inna👋
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🛡 🇵🇸 🇮🇱 Israel amasses dozens of tanks, armored vehicles along border with southern Gaza Strip, in what appears to be preparations for an invasion of the border city of Rafah. 📍Near Kerem Shalom, Southern Israel (AP video by Shlomo Mor) 📎 AP News
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20
🇷🇺🇺🇦 It is reported that the roundabout in Krasnogorovka on Geologicheskaya Street, as well as part of the private sector up to the territory of the kindergarten, are under our control. Thus, the entire Geologicheskaya Street is freed from the presence of Ukrainian troops.
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🇷🇺🇺🇦 Weeding of Ukrainian positions using three RBK-500 cluster bombs with UMPC.
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🇷🇺🇺🇦 "Lancet" destroyed the American HIMARS MLRS near Krasny Liman
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🇷🇺🇺🇦 The Brave Fighters of the Center Group evacuated a damaged American Abrams Tank from a Special Operations zone for the first time. Next stop: Moscow, Poklonnaya Gora. Good looking boys!
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Ukraine's power plants are continuing to get flattened. This leads to an interesting situation where they are now importing power from the EU, which means paying for it without money. The further the EU goes into throwing money into Ukraine, the deeper their loss will be when Ukraine is erased and never pays. You may have noticed recent panic shipments of weapons to Ukraine from across the nato sphere. But so far, none of them impress, as nato didn't have much left to begin with. So now they are getting really random remains, instead of staples that they need in large quantities, such as artillery shells. https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/ukraine-russia-war-1.7187150
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During the negotiations, Russia made it clear that it was ready to withdraw from Ukraine, but not from Crimea and that part of Donbass, which should be excluded from security guarantees. That is, Russia had to withdraw troops, essentially, to the line on February 24, 2022. Heads of state should discuss the details of the troop withdrawal directly. Two Ukrainian negotiators independently confirmed this to Die Welt. True, there were also problems: Russia demanded that in the event of an attack, all guarantor states agree to activate the assistance mechanism. This would give Moscow veto power over the use of the defense mechanism. In addition, Moscow rejected Ukraine's demand that guarantor states could establish a no-fly zone over Ukraine in the event of an attack. The question of the future size of the Ukrainian army also remained unresolved. Kyiv has partially responded to Russian demands for demilitarization. According to Appendix 1, Moscow demanded that Kyiv reduce its army to 85 thousand soldiers. Ukraine offered a contingent of 250,000 soldiers. Opinions also differed regarding the amount of military equipment. Russia demanded that the number of tanks be reduced to 342, while Kyiv wanted to keep it to 800. Ukraine only wanted to reduce the number of armored vehicles to 2,400, while Russia demanded that only 1,029 remain. The difference was also great when it came to artillery pieces. Moscow planned 519, Kyiv - 1900. Kyiv wanted to keep 600 multiple launch rocket systems with a range of up to 280 kilometers; according to Russia's plan, there should have been 96 of them with a maximum range of 40 kilometers; At the request of Russia, the number of mortars should be reduced to 147, and anti-tank missiles - to 333, at the request of Kyiv - to 1080 and 2000, respectively. In addition, the Ukrainian Air Force was to be reduced. Moscow demanded to leave 102 fighters and 35 helicopters, Kyiv insisted on 160 planes and 144 helicopters. According to the Russian proposal, the Ukrainian Navy should have had two warships left, according to the Ukrainian one – eight. Also, Ukraine did not agree to part of the demands of the Russian Federation - to make Russian the second official language in Ukraine, to lift mutual sanctions and withdraw claims in international courts, and to legally prohibit “fascism, Nazism and aggressive nationalism.” But even taking into account the fact that some points remained controversial, the draft agreement shows how close the parties are to a possible peace agreement in April 2022, the publication notes. Putin and Zelensky were supposed to resolve the remaining differences in a personal conversation. “Even after more than two years of war, the deal still seems like a good deal in retrospect. “It was the best deal we could have made,” said a member of the then Ukrainian negotiating delegation to Die Welt. Ukraine has been on the defensive for several months and is suffering heavy losses. Looking back, Ukraine was in a stronger negotiating position at that time than it is now. If the war on loss could be ended in about two months, it would save countless lives and a lot of suffering,” the publication writes. Article 18 of the draft treaty shows that negotiators assumed at the time that Zelensky and Putin would sign the document in April 2022. “An indication of why Putin and Zelensky never met at the expected final peace summit was given by Ukrainian negotiator David Arakhamia in a television interview in November 2023. He said then-British Prime Minister Boris Johnson came to Kyiv on April 9 and said London would not sign “nothing” with Putin - and that Ukraine should continue fighting. Johnson later denied this claim. However, there is reason to suspect that the proposal to provide security guarantees to Ukraine in agreement with Russia has already failed at this stage,” Die Welt summarizes. — TG: Stranaua @MyLordBebo | Boost us! | X
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#UkraineRussiaWar 🌐 Place: #Novokalynove 🕰 Date: ~26.04.2024 📌 Coordinates: 01:54 48.250600, 37.703682 👩‍🚀 Squad: #132Brigade 📝 Description: Russian military shells the retreating Ukrainian Armed Forces in Novokalynove. 🖥 id: 28042024.0939 ✉️source: https://t.me/RVvoenkor/67013 Map: Military Summary Map
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#UkraineRussiaWar 🌐 Place: #Berdychi 🕰 Date: ~27.04.2024 📌 Coordinates: 48.193091,37.633505 👩‍🚀 Squad: #74Brigade 📝 Description: The Russian military raised the brigade flag in Berdychi. 🖥 id: 27042024.1821 ✉️source: https://t.me/urga_74/431 Map: Military Summary Map
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Repost from Intel Slava Z
🇷🇺🇺🇦 The enemy confirms the loss of positions in the eastern part of Netailovo. The fighting is moving towards the center of the village. Behind Netailovo is Karlovka.
Mostrar todo...
👏 3👍 2
Repost from Intel Slava Z
🇸🇪🇷🇺🇺🇦 “Donbass will fall in October,” writes the Swiss newspaper Blick, citing the Ukrainian military. Several commanders who are fighting on the eastern front told the publication that “Ukraine will lose the war.” “The Russians will capture Donbass by October, then the conflict will freeze, and we will have to negotiate with Putin,” predicts Sergei, an officer of the brigade located in Chasov Yar. Frontline workers name three reasons that could lead to such a situation. The first is the lack of people. The number of brigades in many places has been reduced to 30-40 percent. “Continuing mobilization will not save us,” says officer Alexander from the 93rd brigade. “Those who are now being drafted and trained will not be with us until October. By then we will have lost the entire Donetsk region.” The current measures to tighten mobilization, according to Alexander, will not be enough to counter the 300,000 recruits from Russia that the Kremlin plans to recruit, according to Zelensky. The second reason is that new US aid “comes too late.” And “the latest injection of military aid alone will not help Ukraine win.” "We can slow the Russians down as much as possible, but we can't defeat them," says an officer named Miroslav. The third reason is the leadership style of Commander-in-Chief Syrsky, which the publication calls “the paralyzing effect of the Butcher” (recalling that the future commander-in-chief received this nickname during the bloody defense of Bakhmut, which he led). The newspaper writes that Syrsky's appointment "caused a bad mood in many places at the front." “Several front-line officers talk about brigades that, from the moment of Syrsky’s appointment, were sent on combat missions with virtually no ammunition, with too few people. According to the commanders, three brigades were disbanded, sometimes for far-fetched reasons, and distributed to other combat units,” - the article says. Andrei, an officer from Chasov Yar, speaks of “the genocide of our best soldiers.”
Mostrar todo...
👏 2👍 1 1
Repost from Vampire Six
Ineffective Ukrainian ATACMS strike on Russian air defense positions vic. Cape Tarkankhut in Crimea last night. What's interesting is observers apparently saw no less than 15 missiles launched, the Russians only reported five shot down, but there were no reports of "arrivals" or damage. I suspect this can be attributed to the age of the missiles, probably older short-range models that could only reach the target near their maximum range. Any degradation in their engine performance over decades in storage would lead to them falling short into the ocean. The Russians aren't stupid, they would only intercept missiles that were actually going to hit something. Doubly noteworthy that the Russians killed an MLRS launcher with a Lancet in the aftermath of the attack.
Mostrar todo...
Repost from Vampire Six
Translation - they're out and Germany has the last large stockpile of Euro-missiles in existence.
Mostrar todo...
👍 2🔥 2🤣 1
Repost from Slavyangrad
Western cruise missiles, including Storm Shadow and Scalp, have demonstrated their “exceptional effectiveness”, Germany needs to follow the example of the allies and transfer the Taurus to Ukraine. This opinion was expressed by British Defense Minister Grant Shapps to The Times newspaper during a visit to the Storm Shadow assembly plant in Stevenage. “We are in a state of war,” said the head of the British Ministry of Defense. According to him, the number of cruise missiles in the UK, Italy and France is limited, but “Germany has a lot of them, and they must be provided [to Ukraine].” He noted that this could significantly change the situation in the conflict zone. @Slavyangrad
Mostrar todo...
Repost from Cyberspec News
🗺 The capture of Kyslivka will lead to large consequences and the collapse of the frontline in that direction as Russian will be able to completely cut the supply lines capturing other 3 villages. Also, Russian forces will have a path access to the hights.
Mostrar todo...
Repost from Cyberspec News
🧐 The increased rate of damage/destroyed HIMARS/M270 is concerning for the Ukrainian as they could lose their only effective artillery system. 🧮 At least 3 destroyed and one damaged so far.
Mostrar todo...
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Repost from Military Summary
#UkraineRussiaWar Russian Forces Captured Entire Eastern Part of Netailovo, Battles are taking place in Center and Western Part. Soon Netailove will fall soon it seems. Military Summary Map
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🔥 4
Repost from Ukraine Watch
🌍 Starting this year, Egypt, South Africa, Nigeria, Ghana, Cameroon, Senegal, Algeria and Saudi Arabia began withdrawing national gold reserves from the US. Question: are they still there, those gold reserves? t.me/ukraine_watch
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Repost from Geroman
Kislovka under Russian control
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