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In the past two cycles, Bitcoin bear markets only lasted two consecutive 6-month candles before a major uptrend.
The current 6M candle closes tomorrow.
Will history repeat for a third time?
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Bitcoin entered its bottom phase
Everyone expects even lower prices, will it happen?
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Investors are dumping Gold and Bitcoin, and chasing Semiconductor Stocks Probably Fine?
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I will never understand why asian men find the Uncanny Stick Insect Crypt Goul look attractive
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+1
By the way, the stereotypes that Japanese people work themselves to death ('Karoshi') and live in 'rabbit hutches' (tiny houses) are completely outdated images of modern Japan
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China's answer to a brutal heat wave: send out the water trucks.
On the hottest days, sprinkler trucks hose down the roads so the water evaporates fast, pulling heat off the asphalt and cooling the air around it.
It keeps the pavement from softening and takes the edge off the street-level swelter.
They pull double duty too, knocking dust out of the air while they're at it.
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New House Prices have dropped below Existing Homes for the first time in history
It is now cheaper to just build your own damn house than negotiate with a baby boomer
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Mfs will look at this and just be like,
yea all those satellites are totally just for fast internet and deff no other reason
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Ekaterina Malkova is the first Russian high school student to get 100/100 in five separate subjects on the Unified State Exam in its 25 year history. The subjects were Russian, advanced math, physics, chemistry, and IT.
This is how EHC looks like, how does it make you feel.
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I've written a guide to BREATHING CLEARLY.
And more specifically, the main focus is on quitting Afrin and other decongestants that do work, but are addictive.
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+1
Quick peak into more of the analysis of our next-gen trading model
== LEFT CHART - STRATEGY GENERALIZATION PLOT: ==
This is the most important plot
This shows the ability of our top-performing carefully-engineered objective function to rank strategies based on their performance on e.g. 100 days of seen data, so as to maximize performance on the subsequent 100 days of unseen data
Ideally, though generally impossible, would be this point cloud exactly matching the diagonal line, e.g. 100x on the seen data -> 100x on the unseen data
Worst-case, you want to outperform the horizontal line, e.g. 100x on the first half -> 1x on the second half
As you can see, our new method excels incredibly, achieving a point in the middle, while balancing well for things like drawdown duration: 100x on the first half -> 10x on the second half. = Surprisingly good generalization ability,
And you can see all the quality measures sloping upward as you approach the top-ranked strategies. Very hard to achieve.
== RIGHT CHART: ==
Here’s more details on the performance of an ensemble of those top strategies from the left chart looks like
Through careful ensembling methods, you can see it achieving an incredible ~80% of the days higher than the previous days, and a compounding ROI of 60x over this duration, with quite smooth exposure over time
Remember that it’s quite a huge challenge to achieve performance with this kind of “skew” — of simultaneously achieving (1) drawdown of just 20% of the days, while still (2) achieving high ROI
— Usually these 2 things are in strong conflict, fairly easy to get either one while totally trashing the other, very hard to get both
But that’s what we achieved, and now set to launch this new model
For comparison, our current model achieved strong ROI, but was much weaker on the preventing of drawdowns.
This new approach achieves both, thanks to big advancements in:
(1) Better objective functions
(2) Better ensembling methods
(3) Better AI guided search of the strategy space, vastly speeding up searches that’d otherwise take millions of years to brute force
Lots more to the math, but these are the most important concepts:
(1) Very strong generalization performance on a proper future holdout set — Left chart
(2) Good characteristics of the selected ensemble — Right chart
(3) Excellent performance in live forward testing, matching the backtesting shockingly well
^^ There’s a brief glimpse into the math going on behind the scenes with a real, proper AI memecoin trading system — AFAIK the first of its kind?
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¡Ya disponible! Investigación de Telegram 2025 — los principales insights del año 
