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Check out this post… "Market Metrics: Weekly Roundup".
http://www.forthetrade.co.in/2023/12/market-metrics-weekly-roundup.html
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Check out this post… "Best small cap mutual funds to invest in 2024".
http://www.forthetrade.co.in/2023/12/best-small-cap-mutual-funds-to-invest.html
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The Month January in last few years :
2008:
Nifty peaked around 10th Jan, and was down 30% from there by 22nd, recovering minorly after that.
2009:
Nifty peaked around 7th, down 15% by 23rd.
2010:
Nifty peaked around 18th, down 10% by month end.
2011:
Nifty peaked on 4th, down 13% during the month. Recovery only post March.
2012, 2013: market went up in January.
2014:
Nifty peaked around 23rd, down 5% by month end.
2015:
Nifty was down 5% in 2 trading days in the 1st week, but recovered later.
2016:
Nifty peaked on 1st Jan, before going down 10% by 20th. Further 10% fall in Feb.
2017: market consolidated with bullish signs.
2018:
Very well remember this year. Exuberance of 2017 came to an end around 25th Jan. It was downhill from there.
2019:
Very choppy January. Up down up down.
2020:
Before the severe March crisis, market had started correcting from 20th Jan. Till Feb 1st, 7% down.
2021:
After a super 1 direction run since June 2020, Nifty corrected 8% from 21st Jan till month end, before resuming upward move from 1st Feb (Budget)
2022:
Nifty peaked on 18th Jan, a level which was only seen again on 11th Nov. Post 18th Jan, next one week saw Nifty 6% down. Minor recovery only started mid March.
Reason may be whatever. Januarys has been very volatile & has not been that good for Nifty 50 historically
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*43 Years of SENSEX Data That Will Blow Your Mind:*
▪️Over the past 43 years, there have been approximately 11,000 trading days.
▪️Positive and negative returns were observed as follows:
Daily: 53% positive, 47% negative
Weekly: 56% positive, 44% negative
Monthly: 61% positive, 39% negative
Quarterly: 64% positive, 36% negative
Yearly: 72% positive, 28% negative
3 years: 89% positive, 11% negative
5 years: 96% positive, 4% negative
10 years: 100% positive, 0% negative
▪️The SENSEX delivered a (CAGR) of 15.5% over the last 43 years.
▪️Historical CAGR for different periods:
1980-1990: 21.6%
1990-2000: 14.3%
2000-2010: 17.8%
2010-2020: 8.8%
2020-2022: 24.8%
▪️Taking into account an average dividend yield of 1.4%, the compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of BSE Sensex is approximately 16.9%, resulting in a value of around 80,000.
▪️The longest period of consecutive positive returns was from 1994 to 2003, spanning 9 years.
▪️Since 2002, there have been no single-year rolling returns negative over any 7-year period, implying no loss if money was invested for a minimum of 7 years.
▪️Actively managed equity funds have shown the following CAGR returns over 20 years:
Hybrid: 15.96%
Diversified: 16.25%
ELSS: 18.20%
All Funds (excluding LIC and few AMCs): 16.41%
▪️SENSEX was at 3800 in June 1996 (26 years back). Over the last 26 years, the average equity mutual fund delivered 18% CAGR.
