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The EUR/USD currency pair spent the week navigating a choppy and erratic Wave 4 corrective phase, which heavily restricted high-probability trading opportunities. Because price action technically remains trapped within this corrective structure, the primary strategy heading into next week is strict patience. The plan is to monitor the market over the first two trading days (Monday and Tuesday) to confirm if the pair successfully completes this consolidation.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) serves as the critical intermarket confirmation tool here. Because of the direct inverse correlation between the two assets, a clean bullish breakout on the DXY will signal that its own Wave 4 correction is over. If the dollar breaks upward, it confirms that EUR/USD has finalized its Wave 4 relief and is ready to plunge into a highly tradable, impulsive Wave 5 downward continuation.
The GBP/USD currency pair broke out of a month-long consolidation range following the recent volatile shakeout surrounding the U.S. CPI news release. Despite this clear structural breakout past local boundaries, price action remains technically confined within a larger-degree Wave 4 corrective phase. The initial breakout is treated as part of the broader correction rather than the start of an immediate, unhindered run.
Looking ahead, the upcoming UK CPI inflation data scheduled for release this week serves as the defining fundamental catalyst for the British pound. A high-impact inflation reading has the potential to formally conclude the Wave 4 correction and trigger the highly anticipated transition into an impulsive Wave 5 continuation, driving the pair to fresh structural milestones
BTCUSD 4H ;For the past two weeks, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has been locked in a corrective Wave 4 consolidation. Because this price action is a clear, standard counter-trend correction, the primary outlook favors a bullish continuation next week to initiate Wave 5.
However, prudent risk management requires monitoring a key alternative scenario: price could extend this Wave 4 into a more complex structure, such as a WXY corrective combination, before moving higher. While a complex extension remains less probable for now, the primary strategy is to hunt for buying opportunities while remaining fully prepared for a deeper or more prolonged consolidation
In perfect alignment with the broader U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) outlook, the AUD/USD currency pair is projected to push bullish early next week. This short-term upward move is expected to complete the Wave (c) leg of a broader Wave 4 correction. Because AUD/USD shares a strong inverse relationship with the greenback, the dollar's expected early-week softening provides the exact counter-trend relief needed to finalize this corrective structure.
Once this Wave 4 upside exhaustion completes, the market structure heavily favors a pivot back into the primary trend. The overarching macro strength of the U.S. dollar is expected to reassert itself, driving AUD/USD into a sustained bearish continuation later in the week
The USD/CAD currency pair has maintained a powerful bullish structure since mid-September. The current price consolidation inside Wave 4 is widely interpreted as a healthy pause rather than a trend reversal. This sideways movement allows the market to neutralize overbought conditions and collect buy orders at cheaper structural support zones before the next major leg up.
Driven by strong fundamental tailwinds—including US-Canada trade tensions and a clear policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and the dovish Bank of Canada—the broader path of least resistance remains firmly to the upside. Consequently, expectations are highly elevated for the bullish trend to resume next week, paving the way for an eventual expansion into Wave 5 to test recent multi-month highs
Following the structural path of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), USD/CHF is highly likely to mirror the dollar’s movement due to their strong direct correlation. The currency pair is currently finalizing a corrective Wave 4, which represents a temporary pause or minor pullback within the primary trend. Once this Wave 4 consolidation finishes, price action is expected to transition directly into a bullish Wave 5 continuation, driving the pair to new highs.
Following the projected path of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), the NZD/USD currency pair is highly likely to maintain its broader bearish momentum. Because the two assets are inversely correlated, the expected near-term consolidation in the dollar implies a mirroring corrective phase for the kiwi.
Technically, NZD/USD is currently navigating an upward corrective Wave 4. This minor counter-trend rally or sideways consolidation is expected to persist through Monday or Tuesday. Once this short-term correction exhausts itself, the primary bearish trend is heavily favored to resume
