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Windsor 20:20 - Cabeza De Llave (13/2 General (4 places)) 1pt each way
Two strong jockey bookings here for all the pair are winless in a combined thirty rides for the yard.
It’s hard to know whether to jink left or right with the two runners here as either could be a bet and there’s not a lot between them, three quarters of a length in fact back in May, but with our selection getting the better of the draw in stall seven compared to Honour Your Dreams stall thirteen he gets the pick.
Track and trip form figures of 1772174232 say he’s either going to run his race or finish 7th but off 56 he’s dropped to his last winning mark of two years ago and this is a weak race.
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Doncaster 20:00 - Another Investment (15/2 Bet365, 7/1 William Hills) 1pt each way
Just looking slightly on the short side but that depends on your risk / reward ratio as there is every chance this one puts recent form behind him to improve here.
A start to last year with finishes of 10th of 15, 12th of 13 and 5th of 10 beaten nine, nine and five lengths respectively saw him dropped 5lb and put away for a 56 day break before coming back off a mark of 74 and winning over this course and distance by three lengths in a higher class than this. This year has seen him record an 11th of 13 and a 10th of 16 dropped from 73 to 68 before having 65 days off track. He’s now eligible for this 0-70 which marks the lowest grade he’s run in and if he can produce that form from last year he’s a big player here.
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Ayr 15:28 - Monhammer (17/2 Bet365, William Hills and Paddy Power) 1pt each way
Keen to take the favourite on here and I’ve bounced between Monhammer, Trais Fluors and Ring Of Gold in doing so.
Ring Of Gold will likely be put away soon enough with his form declining in recent starts and having been given a short break from June onwards the last couple of years. It would be a big ask from stall eleven. Trais Fluors is has two wins over this distance from fifteen starts and I’d hope to see him do what he did last time out and lead but on jockey bookings he looks the yard second string with Tom Eaves 1-22 (4.5%) for the yard while Mulrennan on Monhammer is 6-53 (11.3%). It won’t be easy from stall ten but his first start for 213 days was over a mile with him 0-9 at that distance or further. That should have blown away the cobwebs a bit and now down in distance to seven furlongs, a distance his four career wins have come over, plus a first drop into classified company he gets my tentative shout here. Anything 13/2+ rates a bet to me.
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Ripon 20:30 - Arlington (8/1 Bet365 and William Hills) 1pt each way
The worst race I’ve ever seen.
Arlington has one bit of form that make him of interest here and that was a course and distance second in July last year. Canaria Queen beat him and she’s won four since, sitting some 17lb higher in the ratings, with Doralee also in that field beaten comfortably.
That was one of two historical good runs on grass for this him though and with ten poor ones to sit alongside him he runs off the split turf mark here of 46 compared with the 53 on the AW. The 46 is lowered further to 41 by the 5lb jockey claim and his front running style suits the track. If he really hates turf he should be 66/1 but I’d give him a thirteenth chance here and make him a 9/2 shot in this field. On the AW he’d be odds on.
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Royal Ascot 15:40 - Cathedral (9/1 BetVictor, 17/2 Paddy Power (Both 4 places)) 1pt each way
Eight lengths clear of the third last time out in a race where the first four (with ten lengths between them) were described as ‘towards rear’, ‘raced in second, pressed leader’, ‘dwelt start, held up in rear’ and ‘held up in midfield’. Cathedral was the one in second and with a race finishing speed percentage of 93.4% they clearly went a good clip.
For her to still finish second with the other early front rank finishing in 6th, 7th and 9th was impressive to me and I thought she would be struggling an each way price here so quite happy to take what’s on offer here. I’ve long thought she will win a good race and although she’s wearing the anchor of the Amo colours she’s my bet.
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Royal Ascot 17:35 - Ghostwriter (17/2 BetVictor, 8/1 General (All 4 places)) 1pt each way
Amo definitely need some of these big purchases to start earning their money and none more so than Ghostwriter who cost them £2m.
Off track for 360 days so he has fitness to prove but I can’t imagine he will be lacking here and does come in to this the top rated horse. Largely competitive in the last couple of years in races won by the likes of Notable Speech, City Of Troy, Economics, Los Angeles and Rebel Romance all of which would mop up here this looks a welcome drop in class. A repeat of any of that form sees him go close and he appears value in the market to my eye
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Jewel Maker the best of the three runners and one to take forward. A welcome non-runner stopped yesterdays shitshow ❌❌❌
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Just these four for today.
One of the others had been declared a NR but I missed that and the other well backed from 6/1 to 7/2.
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Windsor 20:30 - Victors Spirit (11/1 Bet365, 10/1 William Hills) 1pt each way
There doesn’t look a great deal of pace in here so hopefully an easy lead is attainable and with Class Five form figures of 12 looks interesting back down in class from last time out with the hood (which he has won in) added straight back on after being left off in his previous race.
Marco Ghiani is 1-2 for the yard and I’d make this one a 13/2 chance here.
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Carlisle 15:50 - Jewel Maker (12/1 William Hills, 11/1 Bet365 (Both 4 places)) 1pt each way
Got to a mark of 59 last year before winning and has been dropped 6lb to 60 in four runs this year but a record of 94214716612453535124 in Class Six races and course form figures of 4162314 at distance of nine furlongs or shorter are enough to tempt me in here. He goes on all ground and will be on to pop up sooner rather than later.
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