Elevating Forex | GijsFX

Global Economy Braces for Recession in Summer 2025 The chief economist at Apollo has outlined a scenario for an impending recession, which could become one of the most painful economic events in recent years. Here’s how he describes the timeline of the collapse: April 2 / April 9 — Introduction of Tariffs Container shipments from China to the U.S. begin to slow down significantly. Containers take between 20 and 40 days to reach ports like Los Angeles and New York. Early May / Mid-May — Disruption of Cargo Flow The flow of goods from China comes to a complete halt. Typically, it takes 1 to 10 days for goods to move from ports to store shelves, but now this flow ceases entirely. Mid-May / Late May — Supply Chain and Retail Disruptions Demand for freight transportation plummets. Store shelves go empty. Companies begin planning for reduced sales volumes. The freight industry, which employs around 5 million people, faces severe strain. Late May / Early June — Mass Layoffs Begin Layoffs start in the freight and retail sectors. Unemployment begins to rise. Summer 2025 — Welcome to the Recession The economy officially enters a phase of deep contraction. Quotes Supporting This Scenario: 1. CEO of Southwest Airlines: “I don’t know if you can call it a recession or not, but my industry is definitely in a recession.” 2. CEO of Chipotle: “Economic uncertainty is causing consumers to cut back on the frequency of their visits to our restaurants.” 3. CEO of PepsiCo: “Compared to three months ago, our expectations regarding consumer sentiment have significantly deteriorated.” The scenario appears alarmingly realistic. The tariffs introduced by the U.S. have already begun to disrupt global supply chains. The sharp drop in imports from China will lead to a shortage of goods, triggering panic among consumers and businesses. Mass layoffs in key sectors like logistics and retail will act as a catalyst for deepening the crisis. When millions of people lose their jobs, consumer demand will collapse, setting off a domino effect across other sectors. If the Apollo economist’s forecast proves accurate, the world is heading into one of the most challenging recessions in decades. Let’s hope governments and companies find ways to mitigate the impact of the impending crisis.

Blackout Hits Spain and Portugal Spain and Portugal experienced a massive power outage that affected millions of households. The disruption paralyzed transportation, communication, and the operation of institutions in major cities, including Madrid, Barcelona, and Lisbon. Hospitals switched to backup generators, while metro systems and airports temporarily suspended operations. According to Red Eléctrica, the outage occurred around 12:15 PM, causing a sharp drop in electricity demand. Authorities are considering two potential causes: damage to a power transmission line in France or a cyberattack. Power restoration has begun, but some consumers still wait for it.

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