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Hidden Multibagger Stocks by Devendra (RA: INH000026488)
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Disclaimer: I am a SEBI Registered Research Analyst (RA: INH000026488). All stocks, market updates, and investment-related information shared in this channel are strictly for educational and informational purposes only.
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Our market is currently holding around the 23,000 level, primarily due to the positive performance of TCS, Infosys, and Reliance. Without their support, the Nifty would likely have broken below this level, as the overall market remains very weak, particularly in the small and midcap indices.
I cannot provide an overly optimistic outlook on the market when I am fully aware that FIIs are consistently selling. Unlike others who make false predictions about strong support levels and a strong rebound to trap retail investors..
It is essential to remain cautious and realistic during this challenging period.
Please refer attached post from November 2024, where I announced the beginning of the bear phase in the market. I advised booking profits in stocks that were at all-time highs and warned that FII selling might continue, potentially leading to price and time corrections in the market. Following that, I consistently provided market warnings through my YouTube videos and posts on the free channel.
I also emphasized that during a bear phase, the bottom is not formed immediately—it is a time-consuming process. I frequently reminded everyone that protecting your capital is more important than making profits and cautioned against adding more stocks to your portfolio.
In a bear phase, portfolios erode gradually. While the market may recover, it cannot sustain without the support of FIIs. No one else has provided you with such clear and timely guidance since the start of the bear market. Many may feel frustrated, but if you adopt a cautious approach during a bear phase, you can protect your capital. Otherwise, your funds will get stuck in the market, leaving you without capital when the real bull run begins.
👉Heavy selling by FIIs has put significant pressure on our market, causing us to break key support levels. Many investors rely on technical charts to determine support levels, but these charts are ineffective in this scenario because they cannot predict when FIIs will resume buying.
If you have capital to deploy, investment decisions should be based on FII activity. However, at present, FIIs remain in selling mode. A recovery in the market is only possible when FIIs adopt a positive outlook toward the Indian market.
Currently, funds are flowing from India to the U.S., a trend that began when Donald Trump was elected U.S. President and has continued since. With the Indian market overvalued and positive developments in the U.S. market, FIIs are likely to focus on the U.S., withdrawing funds from India.
Some people may disagree with my straightforward assessment of the Indian market, but I base my views on observable FII selling and its underlying reasons. I am simply sharing the truth as I see it. If anyone believes my prediction is incorrect, they are free to make their own decisions based on technical charts.
We are currently in a bear phase of the market, and this should not be taken lightly. Technical charts often prove ineffective during such phases. We are approaching the Nifty 23,000 level, and any breakdown below this point could lead to sharp selling pressure as retail investors panic.
I have repeatedly emphasized that our market is likely to undergo both time and price corrections for an extended period. During such times, protecting your capital is far more important than chasing profits. If you do not book profits, your gains may gradually erode over time.
Q3 Result on 23rd Jan :
Senores pharma
Mankind pharma
Kfin technology
Tarachand infra
Alivus life science
Sona BLW
Suryoday small finance bank
Ujjivan small finance bank
Adani green
Amber enterprises
IEX ltd
Tejas network
Thyrocare technology
Syngene International
Cyient ltd
V2 retail
Rajratan global
Ion exchange
SG mart
Mphasis ltd
Menon bearing
Indus tower
Greaves cotton
Q3 Result on 24th Jan :
Dam capital advisor
Arkade developer
EMS ltd
PNGS GARGI FASHION
Supriya lifescience
SBC export
Solara active pharma
Laurus labs
Sharda crop
DCB bank
Associated alcohol
Vishnu chemicals
Shakti pumps
Pondy oxides
Tanfac industries
JSW steel
Torrent pharma
Suven life
Alkyl amines
Trident
Vimta lab
RPG LifeSciences
Aditya birla money
Atul ltd
Cybertech system
Message from one of our members: I do not claim that all my predictions are accurate, but I strive to share my experience to help retail investors understand the future market outlook and become aware of the risks involved in a bear market. Many new retail investors tend to base their investment decisions solely on the trends of the recent bull market, which can be risky. Please understand that during a bear market, even fundamentally strong stocks can decline due to panic selling. This bear phase occurs after every bull phase.
Today, heavy selling by FIIs caused the market to decline, and DIIs were unable to absorb the pressure. Many investors are asking why the market is falling. The primary reason is that we have entered a bear phase following a strong bull market, and FIIs are often better attuned to these market cycles.
Some individuals have questioned my posts about the bear market. Let me clarify: if you disagree with my views, you are free to make your own decisions. I do not impose my opinions on anyone. However, it is my responsibility to share the realities and truths of a bear market—facts that are often overlooked or avoided by others.
Key Strategies for Navigating a Bear Market:
1. Preserve Capital
Regularly book profits and maintain sufficient cash reserves. Avoid deploying your entire capital during a bear phase.
Invest in small quantities in fundamentally strong stocks that are trading near their bottom, where the downside risk is limited.
2. Avoid Overtrading and Speculation
Refrain from excessive trading or relying heavily on technical charts, as trades based on such analysis often fail during a bear market (with up to a 90% failure rate).
Futures and Options (F&O) traders should exercise extreme caution, as predicting market movements in a bear phase is highly uncertain and can lead to significant losses.
3. Set Realistic Expectations About Recovery
Recovery after a sharp fall in a bear phase is typically short-lived and unlikely to sustain at higher levels.
Unlike the rapid recovery seen in the 2024 bull market, recovery in a bear market is slow and gradual, often finding new bottoms over several months.
4. Understand Key Market Drivers
The market's direction heavily depends on FII activity. Continued FII outflows, particularly due to factors like the "Trump effect," can keep the market under pressure.
A prolonged bear phase can also lead to reduced SIP inflows and fewer new Demat account openings, further weakening market sentiment.
5. Monitor Global Indicators
Pay close attention to the US 10-year bond yield. A decline below 4.3% may support market recovery. However, if yields remain elevated, the bear phase could persist.
6. Adjust Your Strategy and Expectations
Accept that the market is undergoing both price and time corrections. Ignoring this can lead to gradual erosion of your portfolio.
Focus on capital preservation and invest cautiously in sectors or stocks with limited downside risk.
Final Thoughts:
If you have a long-term investment horizon of 1–2 years, there is no need to panic about the bear phase. However, you must be prepared for potential erosion of your profits over time. If you are willing to accept this reality, maintaining a long-term view is still viable.
On the other hand, if you have a short-term investment horizon of 2–3 months, exercise caution. While the market will eventually recover, patience and discipline are essential during this phase. Overconfidence, overtrading, or ignoring current market conditions can lead to significant losses.
I have consistently emphasized that the Nifty 23,000 level is a critical support. If it breaks, we could witness sharp panic selling from retail investors, particularly in the small and midcap indices. We are now very close to this crucial level.
For the past week, I have been warning about this potential scenario. Our aim is not to create fear but to guide our members during bearish phases, as many new investors are unaware of the risks involved during such times.
We are the only ones cautioning our members because most people neither understand nor can differentiate between a bull market and a bear market.
It is essential to differentiate between the bull and bear markets. In a bull market, good results often reward stocks by driving them to outperform. However, in a bear market, even good results may lead to punishment by the market.
For instance, stocks like "MCX India, Newgen Software, Dixon Technologies, and Zomato " have been punished by the market despite delivering good results.
This is why it is crucial to understand the dynamics of bull and bear markets. Such insights and strategies are shared exclusively on our channel. These unique strategies, developed from my extensive experience, are not available anywhere ...
On our channel, we were the only ones to alert members to be cautious, as the bear market began in November 2024. During such times, preserving capital is far more important than chasing profits. Unlike others, our YouTube channel was the first to highlight the onset of the bear market.
While some people have criticized us for spreading negativity about bear market, it’s important to understand that those who haven’t experienced a bear market before should prepare for what lies ahead. Overconfidence and excessive trading during this phase can lead to significant financial losses.
Over the past week, I have received numerous messages from individuals reporting heavy losses in F&O trading. Unfortunately, this trend is likely to continue as the bear phase progresses. Our goal remains to educate and prepare investors for the challenges of navigating this market.
Remember, it is important to develop the habit of observing a boring market during a bear phase. In such times, the market typically experiences lower volumes and reduced trading activity, with only selective stocks showing movement.
" PNGS GARGI FASHION " Jewellery sector stock continue to hit 5% upper circuit.🚀
" Rajesh Power Services" power transmission sector stock strong move..🚀
FII selling is being partially absorbed by DII, which is why the market closed slightly in the green today. However, FII selling is likely to continue as long as the US 10-year bond yield remains at elevated levels. This could keep our market in a bearish phase. During this period, we can expect only stock-specific movements in the market, with very low trading volumes. Going forward, only stocks that post exceptional Q3 results, demonstrate strong future growth, and have not yet participated in the 2024 rally are likely to perform well in this bear phase.
Donald Trump is set to take the oath of office as the US President today, and by tomorrow, he is expected to sign 100 executive orders. These actions could impact both our market and the bond yields.Nifty has been trading around the 23,000 level for the past week with minimal movement, which is a clear indication of a bear market. In 2024, every market dip saw a sharp recovery because we were in a bull phase.
" PNGS GARGI FASHION " Jewellery sector stock hit 5% upper circuit.🚀
" "DDEVPLASTIK" has shown a strong recovery after a prolonged period of consolidation."🚀
" Rajesh Power Services" power transmission sector stock strong recovery..🚀
