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​#USDJPY #USDCAD #forextrading #tradingtips #MarketNews USD/CAD USD/CAD has recovered from its recent lows and is testing the 1.3895–1.3940 resistance area, despite support for the Canadian dollar from elevated oil prices. A firm move above 1.3940, followed by the level turning into support, could pave the way for a rise towards 1.4000–1.4030. A failed attempt to establish itself above the current resistance area, by contrast, could trigger a renewed decline towards the 1.3760 support level. Key events for USD/CAD: ▪️today at 15:30 (GMT+3): Canadian building permits; ▪️today at 17:30 (GMT+3): US crude oil inventories; ▪️today at 18:30 (GMT+3): Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta GDPNow indicator. Overall, USD/JPY and USD/CAD remain in consolidation ahead of the key Fed decision. As a 25-basis-point rate hike is already largely priced in, the dollar’s subsequent reaction will depend primarily on the central bank’s projections and rhetoric. Signals pointing to further tightening could support gains in both pairs, while a more cautious Fed stance could put renewed pressure on the US currency.

​#USDJPY #USDCAD #forextrading #tradingtips #marketanalysis #MarketNews USD/JPY and USD/CAD Await Key Fed Decision The US dollar is consolidating against the yen and Canadian dollar ahead of the key event of the week — the Federal Reserve meeting. The Fed is widely expected to raise its policy rate by 25 basis points to a range of 3.75–4.00%. As this move is already largely priced in, attention will focus on the updated economic projections, dot plot and press conference. Investors will assess whether the September rate hike marks the beginning of a new phase of monetary tightening or whether the central bank will prefer to adopt a wait-and-see approach. Expectations of a more hawkish Fed are supported by persistent inflationary pressures, recent employment data and rising oil prices. US retail sales data will provide an additional reference point ahead of the meeting. Strong figures could provide further support for the dollar, although the market reaction is likely to remain limited ahead of the Fed decision. USD/JPY The decline in USD/JPY over the past two weeks has slowed around the key support area of 152.90–153.20. At the start of the week, the price tested this area several times, while buyers managed to establish a foothold above the psychological 155.00 level yesterday. Hawkish Fed rhetoric could support a corrective rise in USD/JPY towards 156.20–157.00. More cautious signals regarding further policy tightening, by contrast, could put renewed pressure on the dollar and lead to another test of the 152.90–153.20 area. Key events for USD/JPY: ▪️today at 15:30 (GMT+3): US core retail sales; ▪️today at 21:00 (GMT+3): US Federal Reserve interest rate decision; ▪️today at 21:30 (GMT+3): Federal Open Market Committee press conference.

​#stockmarket #stocktrading #marketanalysis #MarketNews UnitedHealth: Fundamentals Are Healing, Now the Chart Must Agree UnitedHealth finds itself in a genuinely split narrative right now, trading near $388, down about 15.9% from its 52-week high, even as the fundamental picture keeps improving. Q2 earnings beat expectations, with revenue of $112.03 billion, and the company followed through with a significant policy shift: lifting prior-authorization requirements on roughly 1,700 diagnostic codes starting October 1, a move that could meaningfully ease administrative friction with providers and support margins going forward. Wall Street's conviction has only grown stronger as a result. Wells Fargo and Bernstein both reaffirmed Buy ratings this month, with price targets near $526 and $512 respectively, while the broader consensus, a Moderate Buy across 27 analysts, points to an average target of $456.56, implying roughly 17% upside from current levels. The stock has nonetheless struggled to find sustained momentum, weighed down by lingering concerns over Medicare Advantage margin recovery and, more recently, the shock of losing a senior executive, an event that has triggered internal restructuring and closer scrutiny of governance and security practices. The result: a company delivering genuinely solid operational improvement, but one whose stock price has yet to fully reflect it. Technical Analysis of UnitedHealth As the UNH daily chart shows, the stock remains in a broader downtrend from July's highs near $459.51, currently testing a critical confluence near $374–383, where the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement and the 200-period EMA all converge. Adding intrigue to the setup, the RSI is forming a bullish divergence, printing higher highs even as price carved a fresh low in recent sessions. Bullish Scenario Should buyers break above this EMA-Fibonacci confluence, the divergence would gain real technical credibility, opening the path towards a retest of the broader downtrend structure and potentially challenging the $450–$460 area, where the stock has its recent high in July. Bearish Scenario Conversely, a rejection at this confluence would keep sellers in control, invalidating the divergence and exposing the 0.5 retracement near $357.46, with a deeper slide risking a retest of the 0.618 level around $333.37, the support zone that held throughout last autumn and winter. With price testing a stubborn multi-factor confluence while the RSI quietly hints at fading downside momentum, UnitedHealth's next move looks set to determine whether the fundamental recovery story finally gains technical confirmation, or whether the broader downtrend still has room to run.

​#nvidia #NVDA #marketanalysis #MarketNews #stockmarket #stocks NVIDIA Analysis: Attempted Rising Wedge Breakout Amid Pressure on the AI Sector Nvidia’s short-term fundamental backdrop has deteriorated. On 14 September, the company’s shares fell 3.4% amid a sell-off in AI-related stocks driven by concerns over a potential slowdown in the pace of artificial intelligence development. However, Nvidia’s business outlook remains strong, with the company forecasting revenue growth of around 70% in fiscal 2028. An additional risk factor is a US Department of Justice investigation into Nvidia’s $17 billion agreement with Groq over potential attempts to circumvent antitrust oversight. NVIDIA Technical Analysis On the NVDA four-hour chart, a corrective phase developed following a pronounced uptrend. After the correction ended, the price resumed its advance and formed a pattern resembling a rising wedge. The price subsequently broke below not only the wedge but also the current profile boundary around $220.00 and is now attempting to establish itself below this level. If the price manages to hold below the profile, the next potential target could be the green support level at $207.00. If the price returns to the market profile, attention could shift to the Point of Control (POC) at $225.50, followed by the upper part of the profile at $230.50. Above the profile, at the top of the pattern, lies the red resistance level at $234.00. The RSI + MAs indicator shows readings of 35, 50 and 50. The RSI has moved out of the neutral zone, while both moving averages remain within it, meaning it is still too early to confirm the breakout. Key Takeaways The price has broken below the rising wedge, but the RSI + MAs indicator has yet to confirm further downside. At the same time, the short-term fundamental backdrop remains mixed: pressure on the AI sector has increased, although Nvidia’s business outlook remains strong.

​#GBPUSD #forextrading #tradingtips #marketanalysis #MarketNews GBP/USD Analysis: Wedge Breakout Attempt Ahead of Fed and BoE Decisions The foreign exchange market is heading into a busy week, with the Federal Reserve meeting on 15–16 September, followed by the Bank of England’s rate decision on 17 September. This sequence of central bank meetings, rather than individual macroeconomic releases, is shaping the current fundamental backdrop for the pound. Ahead of the decisions from the two major central banks, market participants are likely to remain cautious as they assess the future direction of monetary policy in the US and UK. GBP/USD Technical Analysis On the GBP/USD four-hour chart, a pronounced short-term downtrend developed between 21 August and 2 September, pushing the pair towards the green support level at 1.3475. From this low, the price began to recover, forming a rising wedge in which both boundaries slope upwards, although the lower boundary is rising at a faster pace. On 10 September, the price attempted to break below the wedge’s lower boundary, but the move has so far remained within the current market profile, with the price holding between its upper boundary at 1.3545 and the Point of Control (POC) at 1.3515. If the breakout proves false and the price moves through the profile’s upper boundary, the red resistance level around 1.3570 could halt the advance. If the price does continue lower and breaks through both the POC and the profile’s lower boundary at 1.3500, market participants could turn their attention to the green support level at 1.3475. The RSI + MAs indicator shows readings of 48, 46 and 47, with all three measures sitting in the middle of the neutral zone, making it too early to confirm the breakout. Key Takeaways The attempted wedge breakout has yet to develop beyond the profile, while neutral RSI + MAs readings provide no clear indication of the next direction. More pronounced price action in the pair is likely to emerge as the Bank of England’s rate decision approaches.

#forex #forextrading #USD #financialmarkets #marketnews Weekly Market Insights with Gary Thomson: Fed and BoJ Interest Rate Decisions and UK Inflation  Three events could shape currency markets this week, with UK inflation and two key central bank decisions scheduled within just two days. In this video, Gary Thomson looks at the latest UK inflation data, the Federal Reserve’s unusually uncertain rate decision and the Bank of Japan’s expected policy tightening — and what they could mean for GBP, USD and JPY. 👉 Key topics covered: 🔸 UK Inflation — 16 September — With inflation risks building again ahead of the Bank of England’s September meeting and the UK government’s October Budget, could stronger price growth increase expectations for another BoE rate hike later this year and support the British pound? 🔸 Fed Interest Rate Decision — 16 September — Markets are pricing in around a 62% probability of a 25-basis-point hike. With a September hike far from fully priced in, the decision itself could trigger a notable market reaction. Economic projections and the press conference may have an additional impact on the US dollar.  🔸 BoJ Interest Rate Decision — 18 September — Markets expect a 25-basis-point rate increase, with USD/JPY already falling to its lowest level since February 2026. Could signals about further quarterly hikes provide additional support for the Japanese yen? With GBP, USD and JPY all sensitive to changing rate expectations, these three events could bring volatility to currency, commodity and equity markets. https://cutt.ly/xyzhVDDj CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. You can find the full disclaimer here: www.fxopen.com.

​#XAGUSD #silverprice #commodities #marketanalysis #MarketNews XAG/USD: Silver's Short-Term Rally Meets Its Moment of Truth Silver is trading near $64, rebounding sharply from earlier 2026 weakness that had left the metal down roughly 14.8% year-to-date, even as it remains up over 61% on a trailing twelve-month basis. The recent bounce has been driven by a genuinely tangled mix of forces: US-Iran tensions near the Strait of Hormuz have kept safe-haven demand elevated, even as mixed signals from Tehran about a possible safe shipping route inject fresh uncertainty into the picture. The Fed side of the story adds further complexity. Friday's blowout jobs report, 162,000 payrolls against a roughly 53,000 consensus, pushed September rate-hike odds towards 60%, initially pressuring precious metals before silver clawed back most of that move. Thursday's hotter-than-expected Producer Price Index, up 5.4% year-over-year and a tenth above forecast, driven largely by a 4.2% surge in energy costs tied to the ongoing conflict, has only reinforced the case for continued Fed vigilance. Underneath it all, silver's gold/silver ratio near 65.8 suggests the metal has outpaced gold's own recent strength, a signal some traders read as silver playing catch-up after a difficult start to the year, though renewed dollar weakness ahead of next week's inflation data remains the more immediate driver to watch. Technical Analysis of XAG/USD As the XAG/USD chart shows, silver has been compressing into a broad symmetrical triangle since late July, with a descending trendline from the 71.066 highs converging with an ascending trendline off the 56.536 low, the origin of this entire rally. Price is now testing the confluence of this ascending trendline, the intermediate 62.50–63.00 support zone, and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement near 63.80. Bullish Scenario Should buyers defend this trendline-support-Fibonacci confluence, the broader triangle structure remains intact. A push back above the 0.382 retracement and 200-period EMA, both near 65.13–65.52, would open the path towards a retest of the 71.066 highs, the origin of the entire correction. Bearish Scenario Conversely, a confirmed break below the ascending trendline and the 0.5 retracement would signal that the correction has real legs, exposing the 0.618 level near 62.086, with a deeper slide risking a fuller retest of the major 56–57 support that launched the entire medium-term rally. With price sitting right at the intersection of a multi-week trendline, a key support zone, and a critical Fibonacci level, silver's next move looks set to determine whether this consolidation resolves higher towards fresh multi-year highs, or whether the broader rally is finally due for a deeper correction.

​#microsoft #MSFT #stockmarket #marketanalysis #MarketNews Microsoft Analysis: Attempt to Hold Below the Wedge and Profile On 3 September, OpenAI unveiled its new flagship GPT-6 Astra model, which became available to Microsoft Foundry customers. Microsoft positions the model as a system designed to handle complex, multi-step tasks, including planning sequences of actions, working with documents and spreadsheets, and interacting with applications and interfaces, including scenarios where specialised API capabilities are limited. The expansion of the AI model range available through Microsoft Foundry strengthens Azure’s capabilities for enterprise AI adoption. For Microsoft shares, such product announcements provide an additional positive fundamental backdrop, reflecting the company’s continued development of its AI business. Microsoft Technical Analysis On Microsoft’s four-hour chart, a pattern resembling a rising wedge has formed near the top of a pronounced uptrend that began in late June. A breakout attempt is now underway: alongside the pattern’s lower boundary, the price has also broken below the lower boundary of the current market profile at $497.50 and is attempting to establish itself below both levels. If the downside scenario develops, market participants could look towards the green support level around $478.50. The red resistance level is located around $517.50 at the top of the wedge and is very close to the profile’s upper boundary at $515.50. Meanwhile, the Point of Control (POC) is at $505.00 and should be taken into account when assessing the current setup from a bullish perspective. The RSI + MAs indicator shows readings of 46, 51 and 56, with the oscillator and both moving averages remaining in the neutral zone. It is therefore too early to consider the downside breakout of the pattern confirmed. Key Takeaways The attempt to establish the price below both the wedge and the lower boundary of the profile has yet to receive confirmation from the oscillator. The neutral RSI + MAs picture leaves the breakout scenario unresolved. The continued expansion of Microsoft’s AI product offering provides an additional positive backdrop for the shares.

​#intel #stockmarket #stocktrading #marketanalysis Intel Analysis: Attempt to Hold Above the Profile Following a False Trend Breakout On 8 September, Northland Securities upgraded Intel to Outperform with a price target of $120, citing a shortage of server processors, progress in the company’s business turnaround and potential benefits from its involvement in the Terafab project with Tesla and SpaceX. On the same day, reports emerged that Intel was planning to raise processor prices by around 10% from October amid rising costs and limited supply across the supply chain. The combination of higher prices and a positive rating revision is helping to sustain investor interest in Intel shares against the backdrop of strong performance across the semiconductor sector. Intel Technical Analysis From 30 June to 29 July, a short-term trend formed on the INTC four-hour chart. Following a decline, the market corrected higher, with the rebound forming an ascending trendline. The price subsequently broke below this trendline, but the attempted breakout was not confirmed by the RSI + MAs indicator. As a result, the price reversed direction and quickly moved through the current market profile, breaking above its upper boundary at $100.00 and is now attempting to establish itself above this level. It is worth noting that the red resistance level at $109.00 is relatively close to the current price, while the RSI + MAs indicator currently stands at 75, 56 and 51. The RSI has already entered overbought territory, while the moving averages have yet to leave the neutral zone, making the current breakout attempt look questionable. If the market produces another false breakout, a return into the market profile could bring several important levels into play, including the Point of Control (POC) at $92.00 and the lower boundary of the profile at $86.00. Below this level, and relatively close to it, lies the green support level around $82.00. Key Takeaways The RSI being in overbought territory while the moving averages remain in the neutral zone casts doubt on a potential breakout of the profile. The short distance to the red resistance level could also strengthen the current resistance zone. Investor reaction to the planned price increase in October could provide an additional factor influencing the stock’s price action.

​#EURUSD #GBPUSD #marketanalysis #forextrading GBP/USD Following a retest of the 1.3470 support level on the daily chart, a Stick Sandwich pattern has formed. If the price establishes itself above 1.3500 and this level turns into support, the advance could continue towards 1.3640–1.3680. A sustained move below 1.3470, by contrast, would increase the likelihood of a deeper downside correction. Key events for GBP/USD: ▪️tomorrow at 09:00 (GMT+3): UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP); ▪️tomorrow at 09:00 (GMT+3): UK manufacturing output; ▪️tomorrow at 15:30 (GMT+3): US core Consumer Price Index (CPI). Overall, EUR/USD and GBP/USD remain in consolidation near key technical levels ahead of a new batch of macroeconomic data. For the euro, Germany’s inflation figures will provide an additional catalyst, while the pound is likely to remain sensitive to UK GDP data. However, US inflation will remain the main focus for both pairs, as it could reshape expectations for Federal Reserve policy and determine the dollar’s next direction.

​#EURUSD #GBPUSD #forextrading #tradingtips #marketanalysis #MarketNews Euro and Pound Await New Drivers: Inflation and UK GDP in Focus The euro and pound are showing subdued moves against the US dollar and have shifted into consolidation following their recent price action. Market participants are reluctant to establish new positions ahead of a key batch of macroeconomic data that could alter expectations for the future policy stance of the major central banks. The next key market catalysts will be inflation data from Germany and the US. Today, Germany’s annual CPI is forecast to accelerate to 2.9% from 2.8%, which could reinforce expectations of further policy tightening by the ECB and provide support for the euro. However, tomorrow’s US inflation data will be the main event. Headline CPI is expected at 3.4% year-on-year and 0.4% month-on-month, while core CPI is forecast at 2.4% and 0.2%, respectively. Following the strong employment report, higher-than-expected inflation could strengthen expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a hawkish stance and support the dollar, while signs of easing price pressures could limit its upside. For the pound, tomorrow’s UK economic data will provide an additional catalyst. UK GDP for July is forecast to show no growth after expanding by 0.3% in the previous month, despite expectations of a recovery in manufacturing output. Weaker-than-expected figures could reinforce expectations of a more dovish stance from the Bank of England and limit the recovery potential of GBP/USD. EUR/USD Over recent trading sessions, EUR/USD has been consolidating within a relatively narrow range of 1.1570–1.1650. A breakout and sustained move above 1.1650 could pave the way for a retest of the August high near 1.1710. A sustained move below 1.1570 could trigger further downside towards 1.1500. Key events for EUR/USD: today at 09:00 (GMT+3): Germany’s Consumer Price Index (CPI); today at 15:30 (GMT+3): US Producer Price Index (PPI); today at 15:30 (GMT+3): US initial jobless claims.

​#gasprices #XNGUSD #commodities #marketanalysis XNG/USD Analysis: Geopolitical Risk Meets a Fading Uptrend Natural gas has been on a genuinely volatile ride this week, briefly topping $3.00/MMBtu on Tuesday before reversing sharply lower as fading cooling demand outweighed strong LNG export needs. The commodity, currently trading near $2.91, remains up roughly 4% over the past month despite sitting nearly 7% below year-ago levels. The supply side tells a comfortable story: US inventories sit 5.2% above the five-year seasonal average, and Lower 48 output remains near record highs, both capping any sustained rally. Yet demand is anything but boring. LNG feedgas flows to major export facilities climbed to 18.3 bcfd in early September from 17.2 bcfd in August as Texas plants returned from maintenance, while European and Asian buyers scramble to rebuild storage ahead of winter amid continued disruptions to Persian Gulf LNG supplies. That geopolitical thread is the real wildcard. Renewed attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz over the weekend pushed European gas prices to their highest level in over three years, with Qatar largely suspending LNG shipments and extending force majeure on cargoes through autumn. The result: a domestic market well-supplied and range-bound, sitting uneasily beneath an international backdrop that could send prices sharply higher if Gulf tensions escalate further. Technical Analysis of XNG/USD As the XNG/USD chart shows, natural gas staged a strong recovery from a bullish RSI divergence in mid-August, printing higher lows on the RSI even as price carved a fresh low near 2.596, the 0 Fibonacci level. That divergence fuelled a steady uptrend, defined by higher highs and higher lows along an ascending trendline, though price has only just broken below that trendline, currently testing the confluence with the 0.382 retracement near 2.874. Bullish Scenario Should buyers reclaim the broken ascending trendline and hold above the 0.382 support, the recovery structure would regain credibility. A push back above the 0.5 retracement near 2.960, the resistance where price has repeatedly reacted in recent sessions, would open the path towards the 0.618 level near 3.045. Bearish Scenario Conversely, a confirmed break below the 0.382 retracement would signal that the correction has real legs, exposing the 2.650–2.700 intermediate support zone, with a deeper slide risking a full retest of the 2.596 low that anchored the entire August–September rally. With price having just lost its ascending trendline right at a key Fibonacci confluence, natural gas's next move looks set to determine whether this recovery still has room to run, or whether the trend shift confirmed by the RSI divergence has already run its course.

​#usdcad #forextrading #tradingtips #marketanalysis USD/CAD USD/CAD continues to decline and has approached the August lows around 1.3730. In addition to the weaker US dollar, the Canadian dollar is being supported by oil prices, which remain sensitive to geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran. A sustained move below 1.3730, followed by this level becoming resistance, could open the way for a further decline towards the 1.3520–1.3570 area. Key events for USD/CAD and AUD/USD: ▪️today at 14:00 (GMT+3): US Mortgage Market Index; ▪️today at 15:15 (GMT+3): weekly change in US employment according to ADP; ▪️today at 23:30 (GMT+3): weekly US crude oil inventories according to the American Petroleum Institute (API). Overall, following the strong NFP report, the dollar failed to hold its initial gains, allowing the commodity-linked currencies to return to important technical levels. AUD/USD is testing the area of recent highs, while USD/CAD is approaching its August lows. With a relatively quiet economic calendar, further moves will depend on how expectations for Fed policy are repriced and on positioning ahead of the next US inflation data.

​#AUDUSD #USDCAD #forextrading #tradingforex #MarketNews Dollar Fails to Hold Post-NFP Gains: AUD/USD and USD/CAD Test Key Levels The US dollar failed to hold its gains following a significantly stronger-than-expected US employment report. The economy added 162,000 jobs versus the forecast of 56,000, while the unemployment rate remained at 4.1% and previous employment figures were revised higher. The data initially triggered a sharp rise in the dollar, but the US currency subsequently gave back most of its gains. One factor limiting the impact of the strong report was a slowdown in annual wage growth, which somewhat reduced its overall effect. The market reaction suggests that even strong employment data have not yet led to a sustained repricing of expectations for the Federal Reserve’s future policy. Market attention is now shifting towards US inflation data. A strong labour market reduces the need for rapid Fed easing, but the future path of interest rates will depend to a large extent on developments in price pressures. As a result, the upcoming inflation figures could become the next key driver for the dollar. AUD/USD The Australian dollar benefited from the subsequent weakening of the US currency, with AUD/USD reaching fresh recent highs near 0.7200. The AUD is also receiving support from expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia will maintain a relatively hawkish stance, limiting the downside potential for the Australian currency. Technical analysis of AUD/USD points to the possibility of further gains towards the 0.7260–0.7280 area, provided the price holds above 0.7200. A return below 0.7200, followed by a sustained move below this level, would weaken the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a corrective decline.

​#EURAUD #forextrading #tradingtips #marketanalysis #MarketNews EUR/AUD: A Quiet RSI Signal Challenges the Downtrend The euro enters this week's ECB meeting (September 9–10) with genuine hawkish backing, having already been told by insiders that policymakers are prepared to raise rates again to counter the inflationary side-effects of the Middle East conflict, even as they signal little appetite for tightening beyond that. July's hold at 2.25% came with Lagarde explicitly warning that renewed hostilities and the resulting oil price rebound pose upside risks to the inflation outlook, keeping the door firmly open to a move back to 2.50% this week. The Aussie, meanwhile, is riding one of its strongest stretches in months, hitting a fresh three-month high after Q2 GDP beat expectations at 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, reinforcing bets that the RBA could resume tightening this month. Markets now price a 50–58% chance of a September hike, with a November move seen as effectively locked in, while commodity strength and Australia's growing role in the AI infrastructure boom add further structural support to the currency. The result: two hawkish central banks converging on rate decisions within days of each other, leaving EUR/AUD's next move to hinge on whether Frankfurt or Canberra delivers the more convincing signal. Technical Analysis of EUR/AUD As the EUR/AUD chart shows, the pair has been trading within a steep descending trendline since mid-August's highs near 1.6441, with price now testing the confluence of this trendline and the 0 Fibonacci level near 1.6086. Adding intrigue to the setup, the RSI is forming a bullish divergence, printing higher lows even as price carved a fresh low this week. Bullish Scenario Should buyers break above the descending trendline, the divergence would gain real technical credibility, opening the path towards the 0.382 retracement near 1.6222, with a stronger move potentially targeting the 0.5 level around 1.6264. Bearish Scenario Conversely, a continued rejection at the trendline would keep sellers in control, invalidating the divergence and exposing fresh lows below the 1.6086 level, with the broader downtrend from August's highs remaining firmly intact. With price testing a fresh low right at the trendline while the RSI quietly hints at fading downside momentum, EUR/AUD looks poised for a decisive reaction. Will the ECB's hawkish stance finally show up on the chart, or will the RBA's own tightening momentum keep this downtrend alive?

​#ETHUSD #cryptonews #marketanalysis #MarketNews ETH/USD Analysis: False Wedge Breakout Amid Diverging Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF Inflows Capital inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs reached $986.9 million in the week ending 5 September 2026. Over the past three weeks, cumulative inflows have totalled $3.8 billion, marking the strongest three-week performance for these funds in 2026. Over the same period, spot Ethereum ETFs attracted $218.4 million, down from $824.4 million the previous week, representing a roughly 74% decline in inflows. Against this backdrop, Ethereum continues to prepare for the Gl Amsterdam upgrade, which is expected to launch on the mainnet in Q4 2026, although an exact date has yet to be confirmed. The upgrade is aimed at further scaling the network and improving the efficiency of transaction and data processing. These factors provide the fundamental backdrop for ETH following its strong rally in the second half of August. Technical Analysis of ETH/USD The four-hour ETH/USD chart shows a pronounced uptrend that began with a sharp impulse on volume significantly above the average levels seen in previous weeks. An ascending wedge formed near the top of this move, with price fluctuations gradually narrowing to create a classic pattern. At the end of August, the price attempted to break out of the wedge to the downside, but the breakout failed to develop, with the market returning to the boundaries of the developing market profile. Trading within the current boundaries has continued for a relatively long period, which could indicate that energy is building ahead of the next significant move. The price is currently moving between the Point of Control (POC) at $2,484 and the upper boundary of the profile at $2,521. Above the current market profile, near the top of the trend, there is a red resistance area around $2,566. Below it lies a green support area at $2,368, which would only become accessible if the price first breaks through the lower boundary of the profile at $2,428. The RSI + MAs indicator is showing readings of 53, 55 and 53. The oscillator and both moving averages are holding below the upper boundary of the neutral zone and are attempting to move higher, while the moving-average lines are green. Key Takeaways The prolonged consolidation following the failed downside wedge breakout has yet to determine the pair’s next direction, while the RSI + MAs readings add to the potential recovery scenario. The flow of capital into spot Ethereum ETFs remains an additional point of reference for Ethereum.

​#USDJPY #forextrading #tradingtips #marketanalysis #MarketNews USD/JPY: BoJ Momentum Meets a Fed Still Undecided USD/JPY is caught in a genuine crossfire this week, and Thursday's move said it all: the yen surged nearly 2% in a single session, touching a one-month high near 155.28, as traders simultaneously priced in higher odds of a Bank of Japan hike and stayed alert to fresh intervention risk following July's joint US-Japan operation. BOJ board member Hajime Takata has even floated the possibility of outsized or back-to-back hikes to contain inflation, while Governor Ueda's comments this week reinforced expectations of a move as early as this month. The dollar side offers no clean counter-narrative either. August's jobs report reshaped the Fed debate almost overnight, with payrolls coming in well above the 55,000 consensus, briefly reviving September hike bets that had cooled sharply after Fed Governor Waller signalled comfort with holding rates if inflation keeps easing. Markets are now split roughly 50–60% on a September move, leaving Chair Kevin Warsh's guidance, alongside the CPI and PPI prints later this week, as the real tie-breakers. The result: a yen gaining genuine independent strength from hawkish BOJ signals, against a dollar whose own rate path remains stuck between conflicting data, leaving USD/JPY's next move hostage to whichever central bank commits first. Technical Analysis of USD/JPY As the USD/JPY chart shows, the pair has broken sharply below its long-term ascending trendline following Thursday's yen surge, with price now sitting right at the 155.00 support zone after decisively rejecting the confluence of the descending trendline, the 100 EMA and the resistance zone at the crucial 160.00 level. Bullish Scenario Should buyers defend the 155.00–156.00 support and reclaim the descending trendline, the path would open towards a retest of the 100-period EMA near 159.50, with a stronger recovery potentially targeting the 160.00–161.00 resistance zone that has capped rallies since May. Bearish Scenario Conversely, a confirmed break below the 155.00–156.00 support would expose the pair to the next crucial level, with a deeper slide risking a retest of the 152.00–153.00 zone, the low that anchored the entire 2026 uptrend. With price having just lost its long-term ascending trendline and now testing critical support directly beneath the 100-period EMA, USD/JPY looks poised for a decisive move. Will the BoJ's hawkish momentum drag the pair into a genuine trend reversal, or will the dollar find its footing first?

​#AUDCAD #forextrading #tradingtips #marketanalysis #MarketNews AUD/CAD Analysis: Atypical Volume Casts Doubt on Triangle Breakout The key catalyst for the Australian dollar remains the July inflation data released on 26 August. The figure came in at 3.5% year-on-year, versus expectations of 3.2%, while the Trimmed Mean increased by 0.5% month-on-month, compared with a forecast of 0.3%. The following day, 27 August, NAB revised its forecast for the RBA’s next policy decision. The bank now expects a 25-basis-point rate hike at the September meeting, taking the rate to 4.6%, with the risk of another increase in November. For the Canadian dollar, the key factor was the Bank of Canada’s decision. On 2 September, the central bank left its policy rate unchanged at 2.25% for the seventh consecutive meeting, highlighting economic uncertainty stemming from US tariffs and Canada’s retaliatory trade measures. Technical Analysis of AUD/CAD The four-hour AUD/CAD chart shows a pronounced uptrend that has lifted the pair towards the current resistance level at 0.9985. A pattern resembling a converging triangle formed near the top of this advance, with price fluctuations gradually narrowing within the formation. However, volume dynamics during the second half of the pattern’s formation have been atypical, casting doubt on its reliability. Nevertheless, the price has broken out of the pattern while also moving above the upper boundary of the current market profile at 0.9950, and is attempting to establish itself above this level. If the advance continues, the red resistance level around 0.9985 is the next key obstacle on the upside. In the event of a false breakout, the price could return to the profile. If the scenario turns bearish, the pair would need to break not only the upper boundary of the profile but also the Point of Control (POC) at 0.9935 and the lower boundary at 0.9910. Below the market density, a green support level is located around 0.9895. The RSI + MAs indicator is showing readings of 59, 52 and 54. The RSI has moved above the neutral zone, while both the fast and slow moving averages remain below its upper boundary. Key Takeaways The atypical volume dynamics during the formation of the triangle leave the reliability of the breakout uncertain, while the price’s attempt to establish itself above the market profile has yet to receive confirmation from the RSI + MAs indicator. The pair’s further direction could depend largely on whether the expected tightening of RBA policy materialises against the backdrop of the Bank of Canada’s wait-and-see stance.

#Forex #ForexTrading #Gold #TradingAnalysis #FinancialMarkets Weekly Market Insights with Gary Thomson: ECB Interest Rate, US Inflation, and UK GDP  Three key economic events could shape market sentiment in the second week of September: the ECB interest rate decision, the latest UK GDP data and US inflation figures. In this video, Gary Thomson looks at what these releases could mean for monetary policy expectations and major currency, gold and equity markets. 👉 Key topics covered: 🔸 ECB Interest Rate Decision — 10 September — Markets are pricing in a 25-basis-point rate hike after Eurozone inflation accelerated to 3.3%. With the move largely expected, the ECB’s guidance on future policy could be more important for the euro. 🔸 UK GDP — 11 September — The UK economy grew by 0.4% in Q2, while June GDP expanded by 0.3%. Could the latest data confirm the resilience of the UK economy or point to a loss of momentum? 🔸 US Inflation — 11 September — US annual inflation slowed to 3.4% in July, while core inflation eased to 2.5%. The latest figures could influence expectations for the Federal Reserve’s next policy move and trigger volatility across USD pairs, gold and equity indices. With both the ECB and Federal Reserve facing important monetary policy decisions, traders will be watching closely for any signals that could change expectations for future interest rates. 💬 Don’t forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more market insights every week. https://cutt.ly/pyk7YCCM CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. You can find the full disclaimer here: www.fxopen.com.

​#AUDNZD #forextrading #tradingtips #marketanalysis #MarketNews AUD/NZD: Fresh Hikes on Both Sides, One Chart Still Undecided The Aussie enters this week with genuine hawkish backing after Australia's Q2 GDP surprised sharply to the upside, pushing the market-implied probability of a September RBA hike from 48% to 57%, with a November move now more than fully priced. Governor Bullock's board has already flagged upside inflation risks tied to Middle East-driven energy costs, and rising Australian bond yields, which touched their highest level since April 2011 this week, are only reinforcing that hawkish backdrop. Across the Tasman, the RBNZ delivered exactly what all five major New Zealand bank economists expected on Wednesday: a 25bp hike to 2.75%, the second consecutive increase after July's tightening move. Headline inflation remains elevated at 4.1%, though the central bank's own projections signal a likely pause in October before potentially resuming in December, leaving markets pricing roughly a 30% chance of another hike this year. The result: two central banks now both firmly in tightening mode, though the RBA's path still carries more near-term uncertainty than the RBNZ's, whose next move already looks broadly telegraphed through year-end. Technical Analysis of AUD/NZD As the AUD/NZD chart shows, the pair staged a sharp rally from the 1.19633 low, riding a steep ascending trendline that has powered the entire late-August advance. That rally has since run into resistance near the 1.22897 high, the 0 Fibonacci level, where price is now consolidating just above the 0.236 retracement near 1.22127, caught between a shorter-term descending trendline from this week's peak and the broader medium-term descending trendline that has capped the pair since late June. Bullish Scenario Should buyers defend the 0.236 retracement and the ascending trendline while breaking above the short-term descending trendline, the path would open towards a retest of the 1.22897 high. A confirmed break above that level would mark a genuine shift in the broader multi-month structure. Bearish Scenario Conversely, a break below the 0.236 level and the steep ascending trendline would expose the intermediate 1.213–1.215 support zone, coinciding with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement. A deeper slide below that zone would risk a fuller retracement of the late-August rally, back towards the 0.618–0.786 area near 1.203–1.209. With price squeezed between a reclaimed short-term trendline, a defended ascending trendline, and the long-term descending trendline, AUD/NZD looks poised for a decisive move. Will the RBA's hawkish momentum push the pair through resistance, or will the broader downtrend since June reassert control?