Momentum Trades

Since March 30, S&P 500 is up 16%, adding ~$9.6T in market cap Markets loving Big Tech earnings + potential Iran de-escalation 📈 Brent back below $100, but Iran — as usual — calling Trump’s negotiation claims fake news. Volatility’s not going anywhere 🕯

‼️ US and Iran reportedly close to a memorandum to end the war US expects Iran’s response on key points within 48h — could lead to a ceasefire deal. Oil price reaction suggests that if this actually resolves, one of the best trades of 2026 could be shorting oil 📉

“We’re in week 9 of a 4-week war that we won 8 weeks ago”

If you know, you know 😁

😂 Meme of the day Some Twitter degen scammed Grok for $200k — used Morse code to trick the bot. Encoded a prompt injection with his wallet address, bot treated it like a legit command and sent the funds. Guy nuked his account right after Got tracked down fast, agreed to return the money — even kept 20% as a bounty for the exploit 💵

💸 Bitcoin pushed to ~$81k on unusual derivatives setup 30-day avg funding on BTC futures has been negative for 66 straight days — longest streak ever. Market’s been shorting the move since ~$60k, and that’s exactly what’s fueling the upside 📈

Trump going off today — wants Powell gone, and the rest… you see it yourselves, not even sure what to say 😁 GM, folks — have a great one 😎

Breakout confirmed, new week open — watching closely 👀 Structure still doesn’t look great though 🤷‍♂️

🇮🇷 Two missiles reportedly hit a US naval vessel near Jask after it ignored Iranian warnings — Fars News. Oil = up S&P 500 = down BTC = down Gold = down Iran’s navy says it blocked US warships from entering the Strait of Hormuz 🚀

GM, folks 🥂 🔵 Key 🟢 Bullish 🔴 Bearish Month’s shaping up to be interesting, especially with how $BTC kicked it off — staying cautious for now 🤝

GM ☀️

🏠BlackRock CEO Larry Fink: “I want the SEC to quickly approve tokenization of bonds and equities”

GM 😎 In position on this coin — weekend liquidity is thin, easier to dump. Can start taking profits slowly if you were stacking 💵

⚡️ The Economist cover “STILL IN LA-LA LAND — why oil prices aren’t high enough” Oil markets still living in denial… Closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the Iran conflict has taken ~14M bpd offline — biggest supply shock ever. ‼️ Market bracing for a second inflation shock this decade Asia already cutting work weeks, Europe may need to prioritize critical services due to fuel shortages. The nightmare scenario oil analysts feared for decades is getting close — buckle up 👀

Expecting this kind of move on the asset — can start scaling into shorts slowly 📉

🔪 Shorts stacking up on the market (liq heatmap) • If BTC spikes to ~$84.2k → short liquidations > $5.7B • If ETH pushes to ~$2,510 → short liquidations > $2.95B Squeeze fuel building 👀

❗️ Fed paused, but turned more hawkish At the latest meeting, rates were held at 3.75% as expected — but the tone came in hotter than forecasts.

• Inflation still elevated, partly driven by energy — oil spike likely not done yet • Inside the Fed, more members now see a hike as just as likely as a cut • As soon as next meeting, they could drop any easing signals • Powell: “If a hike is needed, we’ll signal it in advance” • Also flagged Fed independence under pressure, legal pushback vs political influence • This was Powell’s last presser as chair — stays on the board after May 15, Kevin Warsh taking over • QE-style bond buying continues to keep rates in range

Market was pricing cuts not long ago — now hikes back on the table For crypto: bearish tilt — higher rates = tighter liquidity for risk assets 📉

Rates held steady — looks like this will drag on for a few more months. Waiting on the presser 😁

💬 Rate decision at 21:00, presser at 21:30 — Powell’s last one Be careful with fresh positions ‼️ At the same time, Trump is talking about a months-long Hormuz Strait blockade. Oil already pumping on that, but likely short-lived — he could flip the narrative and we dump 📉 Key level imo: every move gets capped around $105–110, not letting price break higher!

💵 An Ethereum ICO whale just moved all 10,000 $ETH to a new wallet after 11 years of inactivity. Originally put in ~$3,100 in the ICO and got 10,000 ETH — now worth ~$23M, that’s a 7,381x 📈

📊 $BTC and $SOL seeing peak FOMO across X, Reddit, Telegram — highest since late 2025. Been saying it — you see a dip, you buy it. No hesitation, no fear, just BUY 🛍