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📊 Market Update 📊 The war continues to escalate as Israel recently killed Ali Larijani, the secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council and the regime's de facto day-to-day leader, along with Basij paramilitary commander Gholamreza Soleimani in overnight targeted strikes. Tehran confirmed Larijani's death, and the IRGC vowed a "rapid strike" retaliation, saying "tonight, the enemy's sky will become more spectacular." The IRGC then launched what it called "intense" attacks on Israel, with two people killed in the latest missile barrage. Oil is maintaining it's $100 level as tensions remain high around the Strait of Hormuz. Trump posted on Truth Social that the US doesn't need NATO's help for Hormuz, reversing the coalition optimism that had been supporting the relief rally. This is why it pays to remain patient during the volatility and only take trades at +EV R/R areas. Key News Events - Israel killed Ali Larijani and Basij commander Gholamreza Soleimani in overnight strikes near Tehran. Larijani's son was also killed. These are the highest-profile assassinations since Khamenei. - Joe Kent, Director of the National Counterterrorism Center, resigned Tuesday, becoming the first senior Trump administration official to quit over the war. - Iran struck a UAE gas field Tuesday and hit another tanker near Fujairah. Dubai Airport was briefly closed. An Iranian strike hit the industrial area of Sharjah. One person was killed in Abu Dhabi by intercepted missile debris (8th death in UAE since Feb 28). - Trump reversed course on the Hormuz coalition, posting that the US "no longer needs or desires NATO countries' assistance" and "we never did." Although he separately told reporters the US will be "leaving in the very near future" from Iran, his most direct timeline comment yet. Upcoming Events - Mar 18th - FOMC meeting (2:30pm EST) + Feb PPI + Bank of Japan rate decision Summary ✍️ The Larijani assassination is another factor to consider as we head into the FOMC today. Iran's leadership bench is being systematically dismantled: Khamenei (day 1), Mojtaba Khamenei (wounded/disfigured per Hegseth), and now Larijani, who was the operational brain running the government. Although the IRGC's retaliation vow is not empty rhetoric. They launched attacks on Israel within hours and their Aerospace Force commander promised to make "the enemy's sky spectacular." We also have to consider Trump's reversal on the coalition, which removed the one catalyst that was supporting the relief rally. The FOMC meeting today will be dissected for three things. We have the dot plot (which will determine if we have even one cut for 2026), the SEP (does the Fed formally downgrade GDP and upgrade inflation, i.e., stagflation?), and Powell's language on whether rate hikes are being discussed. If the Fed signals zero cuts and hints at the possibility of hikes, I expect a large drawdown across risk-on assets including crypto. If they maintain one cut with careful "monitoring" language, the relief continues. Time to see if the FOMC "sell-the-news" pattern continues. Protect your capital through the announcement and let the dust settle. 📊 BTC Analysis 📊 BTC is continuing to hold its 74k support, although the StochRSI is still overbought, which is something I at least want to see reset below 80 before looking for longs. The next logical long area is the 72.8k support (coincident with the 50D EMA). Major support remains 72.8k, 70.8k, 68k, 66k, 62.8k, 60k, 55k, and 48k while major resistance remains 76-78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, and 90k. 📊 ETH Analysis 📊 ETH continues to reject off of its 2377 resistance as its StochRSI is also overbought. I'll be looking to long if we get near 2200 again (as that's coincident with the 50D EMA). With the FOMC today, patience remains paramount. Major support remains 2200, 2100, 2000, 1940, 1830, 1720-1760, and 1540, while major resistance remains 2380, 2550, 2750-2820.

📊 Market Update 📊 We saw a nice relief rally across the board today. The catalyst was Treasury Secretary Bessent telling CNBC that the US is allowing Iranian oil tankers to transit the Strait of Hormuz to "supply the rest of the world," a tacit acknowledgment that the administration is choosing to let Iranian barrels flow rather than choke global supply further. The Fed begins its two-day meeting today with the rate decision, updated dot plot, and Powell's presser all arriving Wednesday at 2:00pm EST. Key News Events - Bessent confirmed the US is letting Iranian oil tankers through Hormuz, telling CNBC: "The Iranian ships have been getting out already, and we've let that happen to supply the rest of the world." This is the first official acknowledgment that the US is not enforcing a total blockade on Iranian exports through the strait. - Trump said Monday that coalition names for the Hormuz escort mission will be announced "soon," but admitted some countries are "less than enthusiastic." - Nvidia's GTC kicked off with CEO Jensen Huang announcing $1 trillion in expected orders for Blackwell and Vera Rubin AI systems through 2027, doubling last year's $500B forecast. NVDA rose 1.7% Monday. The announcement provided a rare non-war catalyst that helped lift tech broadly. - IEA has called a meeting of its 30+ member countries for Tuesday to discuss a possible additional release of oil stockpiles beyond the 400M barrel commitment made earlier this month. IEA chief Birol said members will "assess the current security of supply and market conditions." - Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino says his AI team "will release a true breakthrough this coming week." Upcoming Events - Mar 18th - FOMC meeting (2:30pm EST) + Feb PPI + Bank of Japan rate decision Summary ✍️ Despite the rally today, oil continues to be a hot topic (as we've seen with price ranging above and below $100). The FOMC meeting starting today is the event that resolves the current range for every risk asset. The hold is already priced-in. The dot plot is the trade. If the December dots remove all 2026 cuts, it's the stagflation confirmation that sends equities lower and potentially drags BTC with it despite its relative strength. If one cut survives with cautious language about "monitoring" the oil shock, it's the dovish-enough signal that lets the rally continue. Powell's press conference will be watched closely for any hint about whether rate hikes are being discussed, which would be a horrible scenario for risk-on assets. BTC still continues its outperformance but the the past 7 out of 8 times, it's sold off post-FOMC. This is the time to be patient and manage your risk ahead of it. 📊 BTC Analysis 📊 I mentioned in my last update that I would tread cautiously on longs and instead look for shorts at major resistance levels. So far that has played out as BTC rejected off of its 76k resistance. It's daily StochRSI is still overbought and its RSI is starting to curve to the downside. So far, 73.7k is holding, but I would like to see a retest of the 72.8k support at the very least (coincident with the 50D EMA), and see the StochRSI reset below 80, before I feel comfortable longing again. Major support remains 72.8k, 70.8k, 68k, 66k, 62.8k, 60k, 55k, and 48k while major resistance remains 76-78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, and 90k. 📊 ETH Analysis 📊 I mentioned ETH's next major resistance is 2377 and that's exactly where we rejected (-3.3% move down). Its StochRSI is still oversold and the RSI is curving to the downside as well. Confluence is key with these trades when you're looking at strong trends, so be patient and wait for price to come to you. We could still go higher, but I like my daily indicators to reset before looking for longs. If we can close above 2400, I expect 2550 isn't far behind, otherwise I'm expecting a retest of 2210. Major support remains 2200, 2100, 2000, 1940, 1830, 1720-1760, and 1540, while major resistance remains 2380, 2550, 2750-2820.

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📊 Market Update 📊 The war continues to drag with new updates by the day. Iran is retaliating against oil infrastructure across the Gulf amid the recent US attack on Kharg. Iranian drones struck oil storage facilities at the Port of Fujairah in the UAE this morning, forcing the suspension of some oil loading operations at one of the last remaining export alternatives to the Strait of Hormuz. The IRGC also declared today that the Strait "remains prohibited" and that "any attempt to move or transit will be targeted." Separately, they warned the UAE that American "hideouts" including ports, docks, and military sites are now legitimate targets, urging UAE civilians to evacuate all port areas. Qatar also evacuated parts of Doha for the first time in the conflict after missiles were intercepted overhead. Kataib Hezbollah struck the US Embassy in Baghdad again. Despite the escalation, BTC remains resilient and continues outperform the TradFi space. Key News Events - CENTCOM confirmed Saturday it executed a "large-scale precision strike" on Kharg Island overnight, destroying 90 Iranian military targets while preserving all oil infrastructure. Targets included air defenses, a naval base, the airport control tower, and a helicopter hangar. - Iranian drones struck oil storage facilities at the Port of Fujairah in the UAE Saturday morning, sparking a fire and forcing suspension of some oil loading operations. - IRGC declared Saturday that the Strait of Hormuz "remains under its navy's control" and "any attempt to move or transit will be targeted." Iran's FM Araghchi clarified the strait is closed to "tankers and ships of enemies and their allies," not all shipping. Roughly 1,000 ships including 200 oil tankers remain anchored near the strait's entrance. - Iran granted India a rare exemption: two Indian LPG carriers crossed Hormuz safely Saturday morning. Iran's ambassador to India said "India is our friend" and cited Modi's direct phone call with Iran's President Pezeshkian on Thursday. Turkey was also allowed passage earlier in the week. India is seeking passage for 22 more stranded vessels. - Trump says the US and "many countries" are sending warships to the Strait of Hormuz to keep it "open and safe." Upcoming Events - Mar 18th - FOMC meeting Summary ✍️ I'm very curious to see how the market prices in the Fujairah attack on Monday (which was one of the last remaining oil export alternatives to the Strait of Hormuz). The entire point of Fujairah's location on the Gulf of Oman was that it sits outside the strait and allows oil to bypass the chokepoint. By attacking it, Iran sent a message that there is no safe way to export oil from the Gulf without their permission. This is a direct response to the Kharg strike and will no doubt complicate things moving forward. One of the most impressive outcomes throughout this whole war has been BTC's resiliency. Short squeeze conditions are building with OI at the highest level since early February, so it's only a matter of time because the $74k resistance breaks through. 📊 BTC Analysis 📊 BTC closed the daily above 70.8k and reached our 74k resistance exactly before rejecting back down to the 70.8k support. The RSI is starting to curve to the downside while the StochRSI just became overbought. If we can't close the daily above 70.8k, I would expect a retest of the 68k support. Otherwise, I would look for a break above the 74k resistance on the next impulse move higher. Major support remains 70.8k, 68k, 66k, 62.8k, 60k, 55k, and 48k while major resistance remains 73.6k, 76-78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, and 90k. 📊 ETH Analysis 📊 ETH played out exactly as we predicted (pay attention), reaching 2200 resistance then having a large pullback to 2077. Now I'm waiting for a close back above 2100 (which would start another move towards 2200), or if we have a close below 2100, my long area would be 2000 (coincident with horizontal+trendline support). Major support remains 2000, 1940, 1830, 1720-1760, and 1540, while major resistance remains 2100, 2210 and 2380.

📊 Market Update | New Alpha Brief Mar 13th, 2026 📊 Just dropped today’s Daily Alpha Brief where I break down: • The macro news heading into this weekend • Key technical levels for BTC, ETH, and SOL • Important market metrics and sentiment • What levels I’m watching for the next major moves TL;DR After the market close, Trump announced the US bombed every military target on Kharg Island (90% of Iran's oil exports) but spared the oil infrastructure, warning he'll hit it if Hormuz stays closed. Iran threatened to attack all US-linked oil facilities in response. Q4 GDP was revised down to 0.7% (half of the initial estimate). Core PCE hit 3.1%, the highest since March 2024. Stagflation risk is now the base case. BTC pulled back from $73,838 to $71,000 on the Kharg news but is still up 4.2% on the week with $767M in weekly ETF inflows. FOMC Wednesday is the next major event. The war just escalated to a level where oil infrastructure on both sides is now in play. This is the most dangerous weekend of the conflict so far. There’s been a lot developing over the week so make sure you’re prepared for this weekend 👇 🎥 8 min Alpha Brief: https://youtu.be/y4R2ajxUuzs?si=zFuhqDRplx53JI0E

📊 Market Update | New Alpha Brief Mar 12th, 2026 📊 Just dropped today’s Daily Alpha Brief where I break down: • The macro news heading into Monday’s market open • Key technical levels for BTC, ETH, and SOL • Important market metrics and sentiment • What levels I’m watching for the next major moves TL;DR Iran's new Supreme Leader said Hormuz stays shut "to pressure the enemy." IEA called it the largest supply disruption in history (7.5% of global supply offline). Iraq closed its oil ports. Iran threatened $200 oil and launched a cyberattack on Stryker, crippling 79 countries of operations. Energy Secretary says Navy escorts aren't ready yet ("end of this month"). BTC held $69-70k and is actually up 7% since the war started, outperforming every other major asset class. PCE data tomorrow, FOMC Tuesday-Wednesday next week. The oil shock is no longer "manageable." Stay in capital preservation mode. There’s been a lot developing over the week so make sure you’re prepared for this weekend 👇 🎥 9 min Alpha Brief: https://youtu.be/WXn1jg9VBcA?si=2WHGhvKeq4pcBN1e

📊 Market Update 📊 The market continues to chop as Energy Secretary Chris Wright falsely posted on X that "the US Navy successfully escorted an oil tanker through the Strait of Hormuz," immediately sending oil below $80/barrel. The White House deleted the post and the press secretary confirmed no escort has occurred. Defense Secretary Hegseth then said today will be "our most intense day of strikes inside Iran," directly contradicting Trump's "very complete" messaging from yesterday. Iran is also deploying naval mines in the Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes, a major escalation that makes reopening the strait significantly more dangerous even after a ceasefire. Key News Events - Trump on Truth Social threatened Iran would be hit "twenty times harder" if they stop oil flow through Hormuz. - Iran state media reported an oil tanker exploded near Abu Dhabi, souring midday sentiment after an initial rally. - US intelligence detected Iranian craft deploying naval mines into Hormuz. Iran's mine stockpile is estimated at 2,000–6,000 devices, making future transit far more dangerous even with escorts. - One tanker, the Pola, made a covert transit through Hormuz by switching off its AIS tracker — the first confirmed commercial transit since the blockade began. Upcoming Events - Mar 11 - Feb CPI - Mar 13 - Jan PCE - Mar 18 - FOMC meeting - TBD - Actual US Navy escort of Hormuz tankers, G7/IEA strategic petroleum reserve release, Trump's "plan" to lower oil prices Summary ✍️ The Hormuz mining is significant as mines are far harder to deal with than drones or missiles. Even with a ceasefire tomorrow, clearing mines could take weeks or months and keep the strait functionally restricted. That said, oil falling 10–15% on the day signals the market wants to reprice lower given any excuse. The false escort claim crashing oil below $80 in seconds shows how much pent-up selling pressure exists once people believe supply disruption is easing. BTC's resiliency is reassuring, but until the strait reopens and oil settles into the $70s sustainably, all rallies remain vulnerable to the next escalation headline. Watch CPI tomorrow. If inflation comes in hot on top of the oil shock, expect another move down. Manage risk accordingly and only bet when your S/R lines and indicators are in confluence. TL;DR Energy Secretary falsely claimed the Navy escorted a tanker through Hormuz, crashing oil below $80 before the White House corrected it. Iran is mining the strait with naval mines. Hegseth says today is the "most intense day of strikes" despite Trump's "very complete" comment yesterday. Oil down 10–15%, settling ~$84–85 WTI. One tanker (the Pola) made a covert transit. BTC rallied 4% to $70–71k. Stocks mixed. The administration is sending contradictory signals. CPI tomorrow. Stay cautious. 📊 BTC Analysis 📊 BTC continues to play out as predicated, reaching our 70.8k resistance before rejecting. Now I'm expecting a potential pullback to the 68k level (where liquidity lies), before higher. The RSI is starting to level out and the StochRSI is getting close to overbought again. Expect more chop as the macro volatility continues. Major support remains 68k, 66k, 62.8k, 60k, 55k, and 48k while major resistance remains 71k, 73.6k, 76-78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, and 90k. 📊 ETH Analysis 📊 ETH closed above its horizontal+trendline resistance which gives me more confidence in a move towards 2100, although we'll most likely tap 2000 first (trendline+horizontal support), due to its indicators playing out similar to BTC. Major support remains 2000, 1940, 1830, 1720-1760, and 1540, while major resistance remains 2000, 2100, 2210, and 2380. Quote of the day ✍️ “Lost time is never found again.” — Benjamin Franklin ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

📊 Market Update | New Alpha Brief Mar 9th, 2026 📊 Just dropped today’s Daily Alpha Brief where I break down: • The macro news heading into Monday’s market open • Key technical levels for BTC, ETH, and SOL • Important market metrics and sentiment • What levels I’m watching for the next major moves There’s been a lot developing over the weekend, and today, so make sure you’re prepared for the week ahead 👇 🎥 9 min Alpha Brief: https://youtu.be/mi9UrKJNBb8?si=E3meSO20l10-s-dZ

📊 Market Update 📊 I break down the key levels, market structure, macro backdrop, and technical analysis for BTC, ETH, and SOL. There's been a lot going on this week so make sure to check it out! 👇 🎥 7 min Alpha Brief: https://youtu.be/StDBW4vOSRA

I just uploaded a new YouTube video breaking down one of the most important truths in trading: 🎯 Why 95% of Traders Fail (And How to Join the 5%) If you're serious about improving your execution and longevity in this market, this is something you need to understand early. In this video I cover: • The biggest mistakes traders make • Why most people lose money even in bull markets • The mindset and structure the top 5% operate with • How risk management separates professionals from gamblers Most people chase hype. The 5% build systems. 🎥 Watch here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oaQ2Q_mQmyI If you get value from it, drop a 👍 on the video and let me know your biggest takeaway. More content like this coming soon.

📊 Market Update 📊 The market had another pullback today after a series of negative headlines. The February jobs report came in at -92k (the US economy lost jobs, vs expectations of +55k to +59k), unemployment rose to 4.4%, and retail sales fell 0.2% MoM. At the same time, Trump posted on Truth Social: "There will be no deal with Iran except unconditional surrender," destroying any hope of a near-term ceasefire and sending oil to multi-year highs. Qatar's energy minister warned oil could hit $150 within two weeks as Gulf exporters may be forced to shut off production entirely, and the WSJ reported Kuwait has already started cutting production. This is the stagflation scenario: collapsing labor market + surging energy prices + a Fed that can't cut rates. I'm being very cautious here and waiting until my indicators and S/R lines are in confluence. Key News Events - February nonfarm payrolls: -92,000 (US economy lost jobs). Expected +55k to +59k. Unemployment rose to 4.4% (expected 4.3%). This is the worst jobs print in years and puts stagflation squarely on the table. - Trump on Truth Social: "There will be no deal with Iran except unconditional surrender." Also said the US would select "a great and acceptable leader" for Iran. This killed any remaining ceasefire hopes from the Iran-CIA channel reported earlier this week. - BlackRock curbed withdrawals from its $26B private credit fund. Private credit stress is now a second front of market risk alongside the war. - Kraken Financial became the first crypto firm to secure a Federal Reserve master account (direct access to Fed payment system). Upcoming Events - Mar 18th - FOMC meeting (95.6% chance of hold at 3.50-3.75%. Only 1 cut priced for 2026.) - TBD - Clarity Act stablecoin vote Summary ✍️ This is the worst day of the war for the markets, not because of the price drop, but because the fundamental picture just got dramatically worse. The jobs report was a shock. The US economy didn't just slow down, it lost 92k jobs. This is happening while oil is surging toward $90 and the Fed can't cut rates because of inflation. That is the textbook definition of stagflation and it is the one scenario the market fears more than anything. Trump's "unconditional surrender" post destroyed any hope that the Iran-CIA back-channel from earlier this week would lead somewhere. Qatar's energy minister warning of $150 oil "within two weeks" is the scariest headline of the week. If Gulf producers are forced to shut off production entirely because they can't export through Hormuz, the oil shock goes from bad to catastrophic. When you get a jobs report this bad and oil surging simultaneously and private credit stress, everything sells. The question now is whether BTC holds 66-67k (the level it launched from on Tuesday) or whether it retests 63k. If it holds the mid-60s, the weekly structure is still constructive. 📊 BTC Analysis 📊 BTC broke through our major support of 70.8k (and will likely close below), as the StochRSI fully plays out its bearish scenario of being overbought and crossing to the downside (something we mentioned yesterday). This is why I wait for the StochRSI to reset below 80 before looking for bullish scenarios again. BTC is at a critical point of 68k. If we can close above here, there may be some hope for a bounce. Otherwise I would look for 66k to hold. Major support remains 66k, 62.8k, 60k, 55k, and 48k while major resistance remains 7k, 73.6k, 76-78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, and 90k. 📊 ETH Analysis 📊 ETH looks to be closing back into its downward channel while its StochRSI remains overbought and crossing to the downside. If 1940 doesn't hold here, I would look for the next buy area of 1800-1830 (trendline + horizontal support). This is where it pays to be patient and wait for your indicators to reset. Major support remains 1940, 1830, 1720-1760, and 1540, while major resistance remains 2000, 2100, 2210, and 2380. Quote of the day ✍️ “Action is the foundational key to all success.” ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

It looks like most still enjoy the long-form market updates but there is still a good portion that would prefer the other content as well. Due to this, I'm going to satisfy everyone's needs and post a variety of content throughout the week, starting with a Daily Alpha Brief I just recorded below 👇 📊 I break down the key levels, market structure, macro backdrop, and technical analysis for BTC, ETH, and SOL. This update is built for those looking for clear levels, clean execution, and high-signal market context without the noise. 🎥 5 min Alpha Brief: https://youtu.be/hr67MPxnvtw?si=_StQ6nDW3Ku1cVqK

📊 Market Update 📊 We finally had a green day in the market due to a New York Times report that Iran's intelligence operatives quietly reached out to the CIA through a third country's spy agency to discuss terms for ending the war. While US officials insist there are no active negotiations and Trump posted "They want to talk. I said 'Too Late!'" the market latched onto the first signal that an off-ramp might exist. Oil also stabilized for the first time all week after Treasury Secretary Bessent pledged support for tankers transiting the Gulf and confirmed Trump's insurance guarantee. Although the Korea Kospi index just had its biggest crash on record (down 20% in 2 sessions), and CoinDesk is reporting Korean fast-money traders are rotating into crypto, which may be fueling part of BTC's surge. Meanwhile, the Clarity Act stablecoin legislation is gaining momentum with rising passage odds, adding another bullish tailwind. Key News Events - NYT reported Iran's intelligence operatives reached out indirectly to CIA through a third country to discuss ceasefire terms but supposedly there are no active negotiations per US officials. - 15% global tariff will be implemented this week per Bessent. He says tariff rates will return to pre-Supreme Court levels "within five months." - Clarity Act stablecoin legislation gaining momentum. Rising passage odds are a bullish crypto catalyst. Eric Trump called banks "anti-American" for opposing stablecoin yield. White House crypto adviser rejected Jamie Dimon's position on treating yield-bearing stablecoins like banks. Upcoming Events - Mar 5th - Protection & Indemnity insurance expires for Hormuz transit. - Mar 5th - 15% global tariff implementation expected (Bessent confirmed "this week") - Mar 6th - February jobs report Summary ✍️ Today was the most constructive day for crypto since the war began, and arguably the most important as BTC decoupled and outperformed. I'm still cautious here because the war is far from over (Hegseth said the US is "just getting started"), but the price action is undeniably constructive and BTC is reclaiming levels that change the technical picture entirely. The combination of factors is powerful: the Iran ceasefire signal (even if Trump rejected it, the market sees the off-ramp forming), oil stabilizing, $1.4B in ETF inflows over 5 days, Korea's stock market collapse pushing traders into crypto, and rising Clarity Act passage odds. That said, I want to be very clear about the risks. Hegseth said today the US is "just getting started." Trump rejected Iran's ceasefire overture. Israel continues striking Iran daily. The Strait of Hormuz is still closed and insurance expires tomorrow. The 15% global tariff goes live this week. Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair is hawkish for rates. Any one of these could reverse BTC's move. The key test now is whether BTC can hold above 70k on any pullback. Although the rising prices, despite everything going, on is a good sign. Still practice proper risk management and stay away from high leverage. 📊 BTC Analysis 📊 BTC broke above its trendline support and never looked back. Although now it's reaching major resistance between 73-74k, so I expect to chop around here for a few more days at the very least. Although if we can close above 74k, then we're going much higher (78-80k). Its StochRSI is overbought so I would like to see a reset before continuation. Major support remains 71k, 66k, 62.8k, 60k, 55k, and 48k while major resistance remains 73.6k, 76-78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, and 90k. 📊 ETH Analysis 📊 ETH also broke out of its downward channel and major resistance of 2100 before rejecting at the next resistance of 2200. Its StochRSI is also overbought so I expect a few more days of chop before it resets and continues higher (assuming we stay above the trendline support of 2040). Major support remains 2100, 2040-2000, 1940, 1830, 1720-1760, and 1540, while major resistance remains 2210, and 2380. Quote of the day ✍️ “In the middle of difficulty lies opportunity.” ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

📊 Market Update 📊 The market had a pullback today after Trump announced the US Navy will escort tankers through the Strait of Hormuz "if necessary." This led Oil to surge again with Brent hitting $83.58 (up 14%+ this week from $73 on Friday) after Iran's IRGC officially declared the Strait of Hormuz "closed" and threatened to set any ship ablaze that tries to pass. Tanker traffic has dropped to effectively zero with 150+ ships stranded. The big surprise today is gold crashing 4.9%, as rising Treasury yields and margin calls blunted the safe haven trade. Key News Events - Iran officially declared Strait of Hormuz "closed." IRGC Brigadier General: "Any ship that passes will be set ablaze." Tanker traffic at zero. 5 tankers damaged, 2 crew killed. Insurance pulled for the March 5th transit. - Iran struck US Embassy in Riyadh (2 drones, "limited fire"). Hit US Consulate in Dubai. US closed embassies in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Beirut. State Department: "DEPART NOW" from 15+ countries. Israel struck Assembly of Experts gathering in Qom choosing new Supreme Leader. - Israel launched ground troops into southern Lebanon. Lebanese army withdrew from 7 border positions. Lebanon's government moved to BAN Hezbollah military activity. IDF killed Hezbollah intelligence chief. Hezbollah: "The era of patience has ended. Let it be open war." - IAEA confirmed Natanz nuclear site damaged. US destroyed 11 Iranian vessels total. - Trump is saying the war could last 4-5 weeks, "not ruling out" boots on the ground but says "likely won't be necessary." Israeli official told NPR they can achieve war goals in 2 weeks. - AWS data centers in UAE (2) and Bahrain (1) hit by Iranian drones. AWS telling customers to migrate workloads to other regions. - MARA (Marathon Digital) announced intentions to sell Bitcoin after treasury volatility (bearish miner signal). Upcoming Events - Mar 3rd - Senate briefing on Iran. War powers resolution vote expected in House this week. - Mar 5th - Protection & Indemnity insurance expires for Hormuz transit. Any remaining traffic could halt completely. - Mar 6th - February jobs report (60k expected payrolls, down from 130k). - Mar 18th - FOMC meeting (rate cuts now being pushed to summer due to oil-driven inflation shock) Summary ✍️ The key development today is the Strait of Hormuz being effectively closed with insurance now pulled for March 5th, which makes transit economically impossible even if ships wanted to risk it. On the war itself, today was pure escalation. Iran hitting US embassies, Israel striking the building where clerics were choosing a new Supreme Leader, ground troops going into Lebanon, and Hezbollah declaring "the era of patience has ended." This does not look like a conflict heading toward resolution. The silver lining for crypto is Monday's $458M in BTC ETF inflows, which is genuinely significant. Institutions didn't panic. Play the ranges, keep stops tight, and let the dust settle. 📊 BTC Analysis 📊 BTC retested its trendline support before bouncing back above 67.2k. Although its RSI and StochRSI are both showing bearish momentum which could take us much lower, considering we just had a 3D death cross and no promise of a de-escalation in the war. The fact that we're still respecting S/R lines remains a plus, so I'll look to take any trades that align with those + our indicators accordingly. Major support remains 66k, 62.8k, 60k, 55k, and 48k while major resistance remains 70.8k, 73.6k, 76-78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, and 90k. 📊 ETH Analysis 📊 ETH rejected perfectly off of our 2050 trendline resistance as we predicted from our last update. The RSI and StochRSI look to be losing momentum, so the next level I would be interested in is 1940, with a DCA down to 1830 on very low leverage. It pays to be patient here, especially considering the volatility. Major support remains 1940, 1830, 1720-1760, and 1540, while major resistance remains 2000, 2050, 2100, 2210, and 2380. Quote of the day ✍️ “Time is the most valuable thing a person can spend.” ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

📊 CryptoData’s Weekly Market Overview – Mar 2nd, 2026 The market is setting up for a decisive move. In today’s Discord livestream, I broke down: • The macro catalysts driving this week’s volatility • BTC, ETH, and SOL key levels (invalidations included) • Liquidity clusters and where smart money is positioning • High-probability scenarios (bullish + bearish) • How I’m structuring risk going into the next rotation If you're trading this week without a defined framework, you're gambling. Watch the full breakdown here: 🔗 https://youtu.be/ALt3cQXZUbA If you want real-time guidance during volatility (not after), join us: 1-3 Month Access — Data’s Alpha Circle 🔗 https://whop.com/datas-alpha-circle/gain-access-now/

📊 Market Update 📊 The market has been a roller coaster since the initial attack on Iran Saturday. Iranian state media confirmed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed, along with his daughter, grandchild, daughter-in-law, and son-in-law. Since then, Iran has retaliated with missiles and drones targeting Israel, Qatar, UAE, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Jordan, Iraq, and Oman. The US Fifth Fleet base in Bahrain was hit. Dubai airport was damaged and the Burj Al Arab hotel caught fire from Iranian drone strikes. Dubai's Jebel Ali port was also hit. Iran's chief of staff Abdolrahim Mousavi, the defense minister, the head of IRGC intelligence, the head of SPND (nuclear weapons research), and dozens of other officials were also confirmed killed. CBS News reported that 40 Iranian officials were killed in the opening strikes. Key News Events - 3 US service members killed, 5+ seriously wounded in Kuwait. First American casualties of Operation Epic Fury. - Trump says military campaign in Iran may take "up to four weeks," a massive escalation from initial reports of "a few days." - CENTCOM has struck over 1,000 targets in Iran in 2 days, including ships, submarines, missile sites, and IRGC command-and-control centers. - Trump tells The Atlantic he has "agreed to talk" to new Iranian leadership. White House downplays near-term diplomatic off-ramp. - Shipping giant Maersk pauses ALL Trans-Suez sailings and suspends ALL Strait of Hormuz crossings. Oil/LNG flows through the world's most critical energy chokepoint have effectively halted. - Polymarket odds: ceasefire by March 31st at 59% Upcoming Events - Mar 2nd-6th - IAEA board meeting Vienna (overshadowed by active war) - TBD - Trump says he will speak with new Iranian leadership (no timeline given) Mar 19th - Next FOMC meeting (rate cuts now virtually impossible with oil/inflation shock) Mid-June - Kevin Warsh's first FOMC as Fed Chair (earliest rate cut expectations) Summary ✍️ Initially, everyone was expecting this war to resolve fairly quickly (especially after the Supreme leader was killed). Although after recent revelations of Trump saying the operation could take "up to four weeks", 3 US service members killed with 5+ seriously wounded in Kuwait, and Maersk suspending ALL Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb crossings, this tells me things are just getting started. The one thing I keep coming back to is the June 2025 precedent. When US/Israel struck Iran last year, BTC dipped 6% and then rallied 62% in two months. But that was a contained strike on nuclear facilities with a ceasefire within 12 days. This is different. We have a dead supreme leader, a four-week military timeline, active Strait of Hormuz disruption, and first American casualties. The scale comparison is not even close. Remain patient with the Monday market open. If there's any hint of a ceasefire, it will be a generational buying opportunity and short squeeze. If not, expect this to drag out and only focus on low leverage while your indicators and S/R lines are in confluence. 📊 BTC Analysis 📊 BTC is currently in a larger descending triangle on the daily which looks to be playing out. We also have the RSI close to crossing below its signal line while the StochRSI is already doing so, signaling bearish momentum. I'm expecting at least a retest of 62.8k unless we receive bullish news of a ceasefire. We also have a death cross on the 3D which would take us much lower. Major support remains 62.8k, 60k, 55k, and 48k while major resistance remains 66k, 70.8k, 73.6k, 76-78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, and 90k 📊 ETH Analysis 📊 ETH is currently in a downtrend with indications similar to BTC. At the very least, I would wait for a retest of 1830, but will have range limits from 1720-1760. If we end up getting a close above 2060, it would be very bullish. Major support remains 1830, 1720-1760, and 1540, while major resistance remains 1940, 2000, 2100, 2210, and 2380. Quote of the day ✍️ "Ten years from now, you’ll wish you started today." ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

The age of AI is here. The question becomes, are you going to take advantage of it or ignore it until it’s too late? https://x.com/thecryptodata/status/2027914032766660809