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Hana short 🔴 Market - 0.042 Sl - 0.044 Tp 0.036 0.03572 0.03490 0.034 0.03320 0.0325

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Historical Bitcoin Halving Cycles (Hard Data) 1st Halving – Nov 2012 • ATH: ~$1,150 (Dec 2013) • Bear Market Low: ~$152 (Jan 2015) • Drawdown: ~–87% • Low vs prior ATH: higher than previous cycle (previous ATH ~$32) ⸻ 2nd Halving – Jul 2016 • ATH: ~$19,800 (Dec 2017) • Bear Market Low: ~$3,200 (Dec 2018) • Drawdown: ~–84% • Low vs prior ATH: higher than 2013 ATH ⸻ 3rd Halving – May 2020 • ATH: ~$69,000 (Nov 2021) • Bear Market Low: ~$15,500 (Nov 2022) • Drawdown: ~–77% • Low vs prior ATH: higher than 2017 ATH ⸻ 2. Key Pattern That Matters Most Across every cycle: 1. Each bull market makes a new ATH 2. Each bear market: • Drops less percentage-wise than the previous cycle • Forms a higher low than the prior cycle’s ATH 3. Volatility is compressing over time Drawdown trend: • 2013 cycle: ~87% • 2017 cycle: ~84% • 2021 cycle: ~77% • Next logical drawdown: ~65–72% That means with bitcoin reaching 126K all-time high for the year after the halving and the draw down decreasing slightly every time we should see a 70% drawback or between 38,000 and 40,000.

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