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BTC: Rather than focusing on whether the current decline is already wave 3 to the downside or still only wave 1 , the more important factor at this stage is the resistance structure overhead. As long as the resistance levels continue to hold, there is no meaningful signal that a sustainable recovery has begun. The downside pressure remains elevated while the market trades below these key levels, particularly below the first micro resistance zone between $64,187 and $67,487. The resistance areas are currently providing the most valuable information. A break above them would be the first indication that bearish momentum is fading and that a larger recovery could be developing. Until then, any upside move should be treated with caution, as it may simply represent a temporary counter-trend bounce within the broader decline. Key Resistance Levels: $64,187-$67,487 / $68,771-$73,822 Bottom Line: The focus should remain on the resistance levels rather than on assigning a specific wave degree to the decline.

BTC: From an Elliott Wave perspective, it is entirely possible that Bitcoin could temporarily fall below a well-known Power Law channel in a Wave 2 correction after completing a very large long-term uptrend. That would not necessarily mean Bitcoin has failed in the long run, nor would it automatically invalidate the broader Power Law concept. A subsequent Wave 3 could then bring price back into the channel and continue the long-term trend. For me, the Power Law is more of a long-term framework than a hard support level. It describes where Bitcoin has historically traded relative to its long-term trend, but it does not necessarily tell us what must happen during the next bear market.

Bitcoin and Gold are moving opposite right now. -0.88. Gold up, Bitcoin down. All year. When people get scared, they still pick gold over bitcoin. That is the message. The market is the boss. Not my opinion.

ETH: Ethereum has now formed one more low, which means wave (c) looks technically complete. However, there is no upside reversal signal yet and the 100% extension target for wave (c) is at $2177, which is below the current price.

BTC: The 21week EMA has acted as support level today.

LINK: Chainlink remains in a moderate local uptrend from the February lows, with the white scenario still favoring higher prices in the short term. The next resistance zone remains between $11.50 and $12, where the market could face stronger selling pressure. Leading Scenario: The recent bounce from support keeps the local bullish structure intact for now. As long as Chainlink remains above $9.28, another upside extension toward the $11.50–$12 region remains possible. Risk Scenario: A break below the initial support levels would increase the probability that larger degree wave B or orange wave 2 is extending further to the downside. Key Support Levels: $10 / $9.82 / $9.59 / $9.28 Key Resistance Levels: $11.50 / $11.90 / $12 Bottom Line: The local trend remains up for now, although the broader recovery structure is still viewed as a countertrend bounce rather than a confirmed impulsive reversal.

BTC: Bitcoin has still not found a clear local support level at the moment and has once again been rejected from the 100% extension region around $82,000. Looking at the daily chart, the next larger structural support comes in around $78,700, where the 21-week exponential moving average is currently located. Below that, the next important support region is around $74,500. Underneath this level, the next major structural support would be the lower yellow trendline of the broader trend channel. These are currently the key larger support levels that should be monitored closely on the Bitcoin chart.

BTC: A new tool going live in the MCO Terminal tomorrow. The liquidation heatmap shows where leveraged positions would get liquidated. Bright bands cluster at price levels where many positions would be force-closed if the price reached them. These zones act as magnets because forced selling triggers cascades. Current BTC magnets: · Resistance: $83.4k (immediate), $84.2k, $88.3k · Support: $78.5k (immediate), $76.9k (strongest single magnet), $72.2k BTC is currently located between the $78k support cluster and the $83-84k resistance zone. The model uses a standard leverage distribution assumption (20/35/30/15 across 10x/25x/50x/100x). We will validate and recalibrate this over the coming weeks based on real market behavior. Use it as one signal among many. Confluence with your primary analysis delivers the best setups. Feedback explicitly welcomed.

Bitcoin is flashing a bullish signal. Your Vector framework shows: * Momentum: At 1 → well above the +0.5 bullish threshold * Risk Index: Fully reset at 0 → low-risk environment This combination is notable: * Strong momentum confirmation * Minimal downside risk pressure Historically, this setup has aligned with major upside phases, while helping avoid drawdowns during bearish periods. Interpretation: * Market structure → constructive * Positioning → favorable for upside continuation * Risk/reward → skewed bullish When both momentum expands and risk resets, it often marks the early phase of a larger move.

DOT: The price has extended its wave 2 pullback, but this is still a 3-wave decline and micro support is still holding. This is a 1-2 setup but please note the overall context is not bullish.

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ETH: Ethereum is approaching the yellow trendline, which could provide resistance. The 100% extension target for wave C is located at $2679. This is an ideal target for a C-wave.

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ETH: The price has now formed the larger B-wave that I mentioned in my last update. For a signal of a local price top we now need to see a 5-wave decline and ideally a break below $2313. As long as the price holds above $2313 the orange scenario remains plausible. Please note that in both scenarios higher prices remain favored for now.

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SUI: The price has produced a small reaction from micro support, which aligns with the expectation of a bounce following the prior 5-wave decline. This move can be interpreted as a B-wave bounce in the blue scenario. Price is now testing the initial resistance zone between $0.964 and $1.01. This is the next decision area. A decisive break above this region would indicate increasing upside momentum and opens the door to higher prices under the white scenario. If the market fails to break through resistance, a move back toward support cannot be ruled out.

SOL: The price has formed a 5-wave decline in white wave A and the bounce that unfolded on Monday looks corrective. The white scenario is leading as long as the price continues to respect the $86 - $89 resistance zone.