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🇺🇸 Macrodata USA:
▪️ Number of initial jobless claims
FACT: 242K
PREVIEW: 240K
PREPARED: 229K
▪️ Labor Costs (Q/Q) (Q1)
FACT: 6,3%
PREVIEW: 5,5%
PREVIEW: 3,2%
P.S. Unemployment is rising. And the DXY has given a move there.
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Shares of major U.S. bank PacWest plummeted 60% tonight!
Bloomberg: The bank is exploring strategic options to resolve the crisis, including a sale.
KCM Trade: "Despite Jerome Powell's best efforts to calm the market, the banking crisis is NOT coming to an end, deposit outflows will continue."
Bill Ackman: "The U.S. regional banking system is in danger!"
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GM fam 🌞
What about BTC? 🤔
Guys, the fed raised rates by 25 points, as expected more or less.
We came to a local short level at 29,250. We can potentially go down from here.
Taking a big short now is sort of trading against the trend on small TF.
SP500 looked like a dogs breakfast yesterday but is being bought out.
But for DXY, the picture is very interesting. We have almost reached local lows, which buyers will defend with a high degree of probability. Should there be a pump on DXY we might see BTC head down to around 27,200-27,400.
Basically nothing new globally, we’re just straddling sideways. No point in taking big positions.
Have a great day 🤘
Oh, and if you have no idea what you’re doing, join our group: https://www.charon.academy/#membership
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The market believes that with a probability of 86% the rate will be raised to the level of 5-5.25%.
That is, the very fact that the rate hike is already priced in. That is why it is not so much the figures themselves that are important for the market, as the comments of the Fed members.
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By the way, April seemed like a good month for crypto, but trading volume on the top exchanges for spot spot markets dumped by 40% or so.
Binance dropped almost 50% (from $556B to $287B).
We know its kind of meme coin szn, but don’t get too bullish & please manager your risk so you dont get rekd.
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What about BTC?
We came to the local short level 28528, from it we immediately saw a small reaction.
There are two outcomes. If the SP500 will sharply buy back, the BTC is likely to break the level and go to the range of 29500.
If the SP500 keeps drizzling or just stays in the same zone, then bitcoin with high probability will fall after it and then we can see the descent to 27300, as drawn on the chart.
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Our VIPs long the market cold blooded while you are not sure what to do.
Official website: https://www.charon.academy/
Acquire VIP membership: https://www.charon.academy/#membership
Bitget registration link: partner.bitget.com/bg/CharonCrypto
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🇺🇸 US macro data:
▪️ JOLTS Job Openings (Mar)
FACT: 9,590M
FORECAST: 9,775M
PREV: 9.974M
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When a weak trader loses or gains money he is excited.
When a strong trader loses or gains money - he feels nothing. He is cold blooded.
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🗓️ Key events of the week ahead
Time for Slovakia and Czech Republic (GTM +1)
Mon, May 1
14:45 PMI (manufacturing index) (Apr)
15:00 ISM Manufacturing Employment Index (MoM) (Apr)
✅ 15:00 ISM Manufacturing Activity Index (MoM) (Apr)
3:00 PM ISM Manufacturing Price Index (Apr)
Tuesday, May 2
3:00 p.m. Factory orders (MoM) (Mar)
✅ 15:00 JOLTS Job Openings (Mar)
Wed, May 3
13:15 ADP nonfarm payroll change (Apr)
✅ 14:45 PM Services Business Activity Index (Apr)
15:00 ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment Index (Apr)
15:00 ISM Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (Apr)
🔥 19:00 Fed interest rate decision
🔥 19:30 FOMC press conference
Thu, May 4
13:30 Export volume
13:30 Imports
13:30 Initial jobless claims number
15:30 Non-Farm Productivity (Q/Q) (Q1)
15:30 Trade Balance (Mar)
23:30 Federal Reserve Bank Reserve Balances
Fri, May 5
15:30 Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Apr)
15:30 Average hourly earnings (y/y) (Apr)
15:30 Change in nonfarm payrolls (Apr)
✅ 15:30 Unemployment rate (Apr) (Current: 3.5% Forecast: 3.6%)
22:00 Consumer Credit Index (Mar)
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🇺🇸 Zimbabwe's central bank is set to introduce a new digital currency that will be backed by gold to replace the declining local currency and stave off the country's economic collapse. The currency will be implemented in two phases with an initial focus on investment purposes before moving to transactions. The move follows the introduction of a digital currency in Nigeria in 2021, making Nigeria the first African nation to take the plunge.
Article: https://blog.charon.academy/zimbabwe-is-entering-the-world-of-gold-backed-digital-currencies/
🇸🇰 Zimbabwianska centrálna banka sa chystá zaviesť novú digitálnu menu, ktorá bude krytá zlatom, aby nahradila upadajúcu miestnu menu a odvrátila ekonomický kolaps krajiny. Mena bude implementovaná v dvoch fázach s počiatočným zameraním na investičné účely pred prechodom na transakcie. Tento krok nasleduje po zavedení digitálnej meny v Nigérii v roku 2021, vďaka čomu sa Nigéria stala prvým africkým štátom, ktorý sa pre tento krok rozhodol.
Článok: https://blog.charon.academy/zimbabwe-vstupuje-do-sveta-digitalnych-mien-krytych-zlatom/
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🇺🇸 Also follow us on our Twitter and Instagram 🙂
🇸🇰 Sledujte nás aj na našom Twitteri a Instagrame 🙂
Twitter: twitter.com/CharonAcademy
Instagram: instagram.com/charon_academy
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Billionaire Ray Dalio revealed that he owns bitcoin. In his opinion, the asset requires close attention from investors because of its volatility.
"You have to be prepared for it to drop significantly, 80% or so," Dalio warned.
