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The DXY is trading within a clear descending channel, respecting both resistance and support. A recent failed breakout attempt and bearish engulfing candle confirm a likely continuation of the downtrend. Technically, this aligns with a bear flag breakdown. Fundamentally, dovish Fed tone, soft inflation, and rising risk sentiment are weakening the dollar. Bias remains bearish unless a breakout above channel resistance occurs.

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EURUSD on the 4H chart is presenting a compelling bullish setup from both technical and fundamental perspectives. Technically, the pair has completed a Elliott Wave corrective structure (ABC) within a parallel channel, terminating near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the previous impulsive wave (1). A clean breakout from the descending channel and impulsive Wave 1 followed by a corrective Wave 2 indicates the beginning of Wave 3, which typically exhibits the strongest momentum. From a fundamental standpoint, expectations of a dovish shift in Fed policy amid softening U.S. inflation and a more hawkish ECB stance are increasing EUR demand. If macro data continues to favor EUR strength, we could see price rally toward towards Resistance, completing the projected Wave 3 extension.

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The US500 is exhibiting a classic Elliott Wave structure, indicating a corrective ABC pattern followed by a potential bullish impulse wave resumption. Price action has reclaimed a significant horizontal resistance—previously acting as support—which now aligns with the neckline of a potential inverse head and shoulders, suggesting a strong bullish continuation if confirmed. Technically, the index has respected the ascending support over the long term, and the recent break below it appears to have been a bear trap, swiftly reversed with impulsive buying. On the fundamental side, despite macroeconomic uncertainties, resilient corporate earnings and a dovish tilt from the Federal Reserve are fueling renewed investor confidence. If momentum sustains above this key structural zone, the index could target new highs aligned with prior psychological resistance, supported by robust liquidity and sector rotation into equities.

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XAUUSD on the 2H chart has completed a impulsive five-wave rally, followed by an ongoing corrective structure unfolding within a descending channel. The correction appears to have formed a clear A-B-C pattern, with the final wave 5 of the internal decline now reaching the lower boundary of the channel. This area aligns with a potential demand zone, suggesting the correction may be nearing completion. A bullish reaction from this level could mark the beginning of a new impulsive leg to the upside, offering a favorable setup for long positions.