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BTC/USD is consolidating within a contracting triangle, signaling a buildup of momentum following its previous breakout. The price action remains choppy within the structure, offering range-bound opportunities until a decisive move occurs. A breakout above the triangle’s upper boundary could trigger strong bullish momentum, targeting key resistance zones, while a breakdown could lead to a retest of lower support levels. With liquidity accumulating, a breakout accompanied by volume confirmation will be the key trigger for a high-probability trade setup. Until then, the market remains in equilibrium, with both buyers and sellers testing the range limits.

The Mentioned Zone Played a vital Role in the Trend 📈

Gold has decisively broken above a key horizontal resistance, confirming bullish momentum as it finds strong confluence support on both horizontal and vertical levels. The price action aligns with an ascending triangle breakout, reinforcing trend continuation, while the near-completion of Wave 5 signals a potential extension toward higher targets. A sustained hold above this breakout zone could trigger further upside, with bulls eyeing key Fibonacci extensions and liquidity zones. However, a retest of the breakout level as support will be crucial to validate strength before the next leg higher.

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Here are the key points from the FOMC minutes released on February 19, 2025 1. Interest Rates Unchanged – The Fed kept rates steady after three cuts in 2024. 2. Inflation Concerns – Further rate cuts depend on more progress in lowering inflation. 3. Tariff Impact – Officials worried that proposed U.S. tariffs on autos, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals could push inflation above the 2% target. 4. Stock Market Reaction – Despite concerns, U.S. stocks closed higher, with the S&P 500 hitting a record. 5. Economic Confidence – The Fed's cautious stance was seen as a sign of confidence in the economy

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Observing the USD/JPY pair, the price action has retraced to a critical horizontal support zone, aligning with the 78% Fibonacci retracement level—a confluence suggesting potential bullish reversal. Historically, this area has acted as a pivot, marking significant trend reversals. The completion of the fifth wave within this zone, as per Elliott Wave theory, further corroborates the likelihood of an impending upward movement. To strengthen this bullish bias, monitoring for bullish divergence on momentum indicators like RSI or MACD is advisable, as it may signal waning bearish momentum. Additionally, the emergence of reversal candlestick patterns, such as bullish engulfing or hammer formations, would provide further confirmation. It's imperative to integrate these technical insights with fundamental analysis.

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