Gremlinz

My base case for the rest of 2026 June: Range 60k/68k July: Lower high 74k August: Lower low 50k September: Range 50k/60k October: Tightening range November: Bottom 45k December: Reversal January: Grind higher

You can call it a conspiracy, but... From 2017 high to 2021 high: 1430 days From 2021 high to 2025 high: 1431 days From 2017 high to bottom: 365 days From 2021 high to bottom: 365 days New cycle bottom: in 205 days New cycle high: in 1276 days Whether you like it or not, we still follow the $BTC 4-year cycle

Probably nothing...

The next 120 days will matter more than last 3 years Oil at $100 today. First time in 4 years. What followed last time: Stocks: -30% into a 9-month bear $BTC: -60% into a 8-month bear Winter is coming

🚨 It's happening again $BTC reacts to war the exact same way Russia/Ukraine = Iran/United States Day 1: Panic nuke (✔) Weeks 1-3: Expansion (In progress) Month 2: The actual nuke (Loading...) We might be ahead of schedule...

$BTC $100k is the magnet After 54 days of chop, breakout this week is highest odds - Rallying on work days - Spot bid is leading - ETFs are buying

Privacy coins 2026 = AI coins 2024 When a16z, Vitalik, Balaji all point in the same direction, you don't ignore it You already know the bluechips $ZEC, $XMR But the narrative is bigger than that now Here're a few I'm keeping my eye on: 1. Zama: Fully Homomorphic Encryption (FHE). Run smart contracts on data while it’s encrypted. Nodes compute blindly; inputs remain hidden. 2. Aztec: ETH ZK-Rollup using Noir. Enables complex private apps like Dark DAOs and hidden order books without leaving ETH. 3. Railgun: EVM privacy backed by Vitalik. Use Uniswap or Aave anonymously. 4. Zano: L1 for private commerce. Untraceable ring signatures meets real-world utility via Mastercard integration for spending balances. 5. Arcium: Confidential computing on Solana. Uses MPC clusters for high-speed private workloads, think fast dark pools and secure AI. Links to projects & article by a16z on privacy here: https://x.com/0x_gremlin/status/2009231995209986295

Privacy coins 2026 = AI coins 2024 When a16z, Vitalik, Balaji all point in the same direction, you don't ignore it You already know the bluechips $ZEC, $XMR But the narrative is bigger than that now Here're a few I'm keeping my eye on: 1. Zama: Fully Homomorphic Encryption (FHE). Run smart contracts on data while it’s encrypted. Nodes compute blindly; inputs remain hidden. 2. Aztec: ETH ZK-Rollup using Noir. Enables complex private apps like Dark DAOs and hidden order books without leaving ETH. 3. Railgun: EVM privacy backed by Vitalik. Use Uniswap or Aave anonymously. 4. Zano: L1 for private commerce. Untraceable ring signatures meets real-world utility via Mastercard integration for spending balances. 5. Arcium: Confidential computing on Solana. Uses MPC clusters for high-speed private workloads, think fast dark pools and secure AI. Links to projects & article by a16z on privacy here: https://x.com/0x_gremlin/status/2009231995209986295

Upside is vertical We had a 34% drawdown Only happened twice in 2 years Both followed by +60-120% runs We're sitting just +15% off the lows

Altseason for stocks has started Russell 2000 is outperforming SPX for the first time in 18 months Would be a shame if crypto was next... https://x.com/0x_gremlin/status/2008538699529871496

$BTC It’s time PA looks way better No rejection at $90k Likely get the standard early week scam down Likely It won't matter this time https://x.com/0x_gremlin/status/2008132830673674747

2026 Script (If Oct 6th was the top) > Bull trap happening rn > Slow bleed Q1 2026 > Breakdown Q2 2026 > Sideways Q3 2026 > Final flush Q3/Q4 2026 > Accumulation H1 2027 > Recovery H2 2027 https://x.com/0x_gremlin/status/1996913596228686223

Bottom is close We’ve had a 34% pullback It’s only happened twice in 2 years And both times marked the bottom https://x.com/0x_gremlin/status/1991801863738655152

As bad as this dump looks… It can be reversed in a single week $BTC just tapped the 50W SMA. 2/2 prior touches this cycle led to new ATHs within weeks That’s the key bull market support. Until we see multiple weekly closes below, my base case is still UP

The Current Plan: November: Consolidation December: Bitcoin ATH January: Up February: Altseason March: Down April: Pain May: Up June: Down

I just can’t ignore this Fed ended QT in Oct 2019 Alts dumped ~45% 4 months later, the Fed started QE What came next? You already know: Parabolic altseason Altcoins run on liquidity And it’s... almost time? https://x.com/0x_gremlin/status/1984594366615167177

$BTC A deeper pullback is likely here before the PARABOLIC run to new highs Big week ahead: FOMC, US/China deal, and major earnings Expect a ton of volatility The most exciting phase of this cycle is yet to come https://x.com/0x_gremlin/status/1983189122694144453

Hope y’all are good after 10/10 90% of people here lost everything once (me included), then came back 10x Learn from your mistakes and never repeat them again Losses are just part of the journey There’s still a lot of money to be made

Happy new $BTC ATH! That’s good for the whole market Bitcoin moves first, then the rest Yes, even your bags

I'm back! Current plan: