Cipher Mining

“We are particularly excited about our expansion plans for 2024 and 2025. We expect to be at 9.3 EH/s by the end of Q3 2024 via the fully funded expansions at our Bear and Chief data centers and over 16 EH/s in the first half of 2025 via the fully funded phase one build of our Black Pearl data center. We have the potential to grow to 25 EH/s by the end of 2025 with the eventual completion of Black Pearl. We have already seen the results we can achieve with our operational leverage. With the strength of our balance sheet, our expansion plans and proven track record on execution, we expect to be a clear winner through the halving and into the next cycle.”

today announced results for its fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2023, with an update on its operations and deployment strategy. "We are delighted to announce our fourth quarter 2023 results, which reflect our first full quarter in which all four of our data centers were operating at full capacity. We delivered a quarter with strong positive net income on both a GAAP and Non-GAAP basis. And while recent FASB accounting changes have been a tailwind for all the miners’ earnings, Cipher was net positive for the quarter even without those accounting changes,” said Tyler Page, CEO of Cipher. “These record results are driven by our best-in-class unit economics.”

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Disruptors being prepared for deployment at Bear and Chief

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New Bitmain S21 mining rigs being prepared for deployment

“January featured more challenging market conditions for bitcoin miners compared to previous months, with spikes in overall network hash rate and lower transaction fees. Also, the colder weather and resulting elevated power prices in Texas incentivized curtailment from our power provider at Odessa,” said Tyler Page, CEO of Cipher. “However, given our best-in-class power structure, we continued to generate positive cashflow in our operations and added to our bitcoin inventory. We ended the month with a bitcoin inventory of ~1,132 bitcoin. Additionally, we are pleased to report that we received the first shipment of our new Bitmain S21 mining rigs and look forward to getting them hashing quickly.”

Bitcoin Production and Operations Updates for February 2024 Cipher produced ~334 BTC in February amidst average monthly network hash rate increasing ~9.4%. As part of its regular treasury management process, Cipher sold ~33 BTC in February, ending the month with a balance of ~1,433 BTC. Cipher will host its Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 results call on Tuesday, March 5th at 8:00 am ET, and we look forward to updating the market on the latest financials, operations, and growth plans.

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Mining Capacity of World's Largest Bitcoin Miners

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The total value is the sum of cash flows for the next ten years plus the discounted terminal value, which results in the Total Equity Value, which in this case is US$677m. The last step is to then divide the equity value by the number of shares outstanding. Relative to the current share price of US$2.6, the company appears about fair value at a 0.1% discount to where the stock price trades currently. The assumptions in any calculation have a big impact on the valuation, so it is better to view this as a rough estimate, not precise down to the last cent.

Event: Cipher Mining Presentation at the 26th Annual Needham Growth Conference Date: Thursday, January 18th, 2024 Time: 2:15 pm ET

Terminal Value (TV)= FCF2033 × (1 + g) ÷ (r – g) = US$43m× (1 + 2.2%) ÷ (7.3%– 2.2%) = US$882m Present Value of Terminal Value (PVTV)= TV / (1 + r)10= US$882m÷ ( 1 + 7.3%)10= US$438m

The second stage is also known as Terminal Value, this is the business's cash flow after the first stage. For a number of reasons a very conservative growth rate is used that cannot exceed that of a country's GDP growth. In this case we have used the 5-year average of the 10-year government bond yield (2.2%) to estimate future growth. In the same way as with the 10-year 'growth' period, we discount future cash flows to today's value, using a cost of equity of 7.3%.

We are going to use a two-stage DCF model, which, as the name states, takes into account two stages of growth. The first stage is generally a higher growth period which levels off heading towards the terminal value, captured in the second 'steady growth' period. To start off with, we need to estimate the next ten years of cash flows. Where possible we use analyst estimates, but when these aren't available we extrapolate the previous free cash flow (FCF) from the last estimate or reported value. We assume companies with shrinking free cash flow will slow their rate of shrinkage, and that companies with growing free cash flow will see their growth rate slow, over this period. We do this to reflect that growth tends to slow more in the early years than it does in later years. A DCF is all about the idea that a dollar in the future is less valuable than a dollar today, so we need to discount the sum of these future cash flows to arrive at a present value estimate:

🍆2023 Annual Report🍆