अर्थवन Institute

After filtering the futures data using the characteristics that historically accompany 5%+ single-day moves (high IV expansion + fresh long build-up + MWPL increase + rollover + strong price/volume participation), these are the strongest candidates. Rank Stock Probability of 5%+ Move Direction Bias Confidence ⭐️ 1 KAYNES 75-80% Bullish ★★★★★ ⭐️ 2 KEI Industries 70-75% Bullish ★★★★★ ⭐️ 3 Delhivery 65-70% Bullish ★★★★☆ ⭐️ 4 PNB Housing Finance 60-70% Bullish ★★★★☆ ⭐️ 5 Jio Financial Services 60-65% Bullish ★★★★☆ 6 Ashok Leyland 55-60% Bullish ★★★★ 7 Divi's Laboratories 50-60% Bullish ★★★★ 8 Siemens 50-55% Bullish ★★★★ 9 KPIT Technologies 45-55% Bullish ★★★ 10 Motherson 45-50% Bullish ★★★ Best Candidates for Option Buying These stocks have the best combination of volatility expansion and institutional participation: KAYNES – Highest conviction. Strong IV expansion Significant MWPL increase Fresh long build-up Excellent probability of trend continuation KEI Industries Strong breakout structure Healthy rollover Momentum likely to continue if Friday's high is crossed Delhivery Excellent derivatives activity IV expansion supports premium movement Suitable for intraday option buying PNB Housing Finance Fresh long positions visible Good probability of a directional move after breakout Jio Financial Services Increasing participation from institutions Good liquidity for options High-Risk / High-Reward (Potential 7–10% Move) If the market remains supportive (positive GIFT Nifty and sector strength), these have the greatest upside potential: 🟢 KAYNES 🟢 KEI Industries 🟢 Delhivery Trading Plan Entry: Only after the stock breaks Friday's high with above-average volume. Avoid: Entering during a gap-up open of more than 2%, unless the stock consolidates and gives a fresh breakout. Exit: Trail the stop-loss using the 15-minute swing low or VWAP if momentum continues. Given your trading style, which emphasizes IV, MWPL, rollover, and momentum, KAYNES remains the strongest candidate for the next trading session, followed by KEI Industries and Delhivery. These three deserve to be at the top of your watchlist.

For tomorrow (31 July 2026), these are the stocks I would keep on the high-momentum watchlist: Rank Stock 30 Jul Move OI Change vs 29 Jul IV Change MWPL Change Bias 1 PREMIERENE -4.27% +21.6% +1.37 +10.27 🔴 Strong bearish 2 SONACOMS +5.62% Flat +3.31 +6.21 🟢 Strong bullish 3 ALKEM +2.30% +1.0% +2.35 +5.41 🟢 Bullish 4 ANGELONE -3.28% +4.7% +0.47 +9.21 🔴 Bearish 5 TIINDIA -3.50% +8.6% +0.62 +2.86 🔴 Bearish 6 HDFCLIFE -2.03% +4.5% +0.63 +6.54 🔴 Bearish 7 IREDA -1.94% +3.0% +0.85 +5.82 🔴 Bearish/high volatility 8 LICI -0.98% +3.6% +0.62 +12.65 🔴 Bearish watch 9 KFINTECH -2.41% +6.0% +1.18 +2.97 🔴 Bearish 10 WAAREEENER -5.26% +8.6% -9.62 +20.49 🔴 Very high movement ⭐️ My top 5 for tomorrow 1. PREMIERENE — highest priority Price: -4.27% OI increased 21.58% Volume increased 308.8% MWPL jumped 10.27 percentage points IV increased. This combination strongly suggests fresh short buildup + very high participation. If tomorrow's opening structure confirms weakness, this could give a large downside move. 2. SONACOMS — strongest bullish momentum Price: +5.62% IV increased 3.31 Volume increased 300%+ MWPL increased 6.21 This is one of the clearest high-volatility bullish candidates. Watch whether it sustains above tomorrow's first 5–15 minute support. 3. ALKEM Price +2.30% Volume increased 316.8% IV increased 2.35 MWPL increased 5.41 Strong participation with positive price action. Bullish continuation candidate. 4. ANGELONE Price -3.28% OI +4.74% Volume +113.9% MWPL +9.21 Good combination for a bearish momentum trade, provided price remains below the opening breakdown level. 5. TIINDIA Price -3.50% OI +8.60% Volume +243.6% IV +0.62 Strong volume + fresh OI with price decline. Bearish momentum candidate. Important second-level watchlist WAAREEENER deserves special attention because it fell 5.26%, while OI increased 8.63%, volume increased 245%, and MWPL jumped 20.49 points. However, IV fell sharply, so I would not blindly short it at the open. Wait for price confirmation. IREDA also has an interesting setup: MWPL 96.71%, IV 34.82, and price down 1.94%. This can produce a large move, but it is a higher-risk setup. My directional basket 🔴 Bearish momentum

PREMIERENE > TIINDIA > ANGELONE > HDFCLIFE > WAAREEENER

🟢 Bullish momentum

SONACOMS > ALKEM

For tomorrow, I would not enter purely from this futures data. Use your normal 5-minute/15-minute trend + opening range breakout/breakdown confirmation. The futures data tells us where participation and potential momentum are building, while the chart should decide the actual entry. If I had to select only 3 stocks to monitor closely tomorrow: PREMIERENE (bearish), SONACOMS (bullish), ALKEM (bullish).

For tomorrow, I would not enter purely from this futures data. Use your normal 5-minute/15-minute trend + opening range breakout/breakdown confirmation. The futures data tells us where participation and potential momentum are building, while the chart should decide the actual entry. If I had to select only 3 stocks to monitor closely tomorrow: PREMIERENE (bearish), SONACOMS (bullish), ALKEM (bullish).

170

buy 77700 ce @50

78k ce hoz @30-40 traget 110/

My Trading Watchlist for Today ⭐️ Tier-1 (Highest probability of large move) DIXON IREDA WAAREE ENERGIES INOX WIND KALYAN JEWELLERS These combine rising IV with increasing market participation, which often precedes larger intraday or positional moves. ⭐️ Tier-2 LTF ABCAPITAL FORCE MOTORS BDL EICHER MOTORS Trading Plan If these stocks break the first 15-minute high with strong volume and OI addition, they can deliver trending moves. If IV rises but price remains inside the opening range, avoid chasing—the activity may be option premium expansion rather than directional movement. Watch whether OI increases with price (bullish long build-up) or OI increases while price falls (short build-up). Based on today's derivative data, my top five momentum candidates are: DIXON IREDA WAAREEENER INOXWIND KALYANKJIL These are the names I'd monitor first for high intraday movement, provided they confirm with opening price action and volume.

Nifty Market View As per the current chart structure, Nifty is in an uptrend on the 15-minute timeframe, with 24,060 acting as the immediate resistance. Based on GIFT Nifty, a gap-up opening is expected. If Nifty sustains above 24,060, the next resistance levels are 24,170, 24,223, and 24,277. After the market opens, focus on the 5-minute timeframe support, which should be identified after the opening range forms. Trade according to price action rather than assumptions. Nifty 23,500 CE Levels Resistance: ₹660 / ₹800 Support: ₹550 / ₹480 Nifty 24,500 PE Levels Support: ₹340 / ₹250 Resistance: ₹480 / ₹520 Trade accordingly with strict risk management. Wait for price confirmation and follow the 5-minute trend after the opening before taking any position.

Nifty Market View As per the current chart structure, Nifty is in an uptrend on the 15-minute timeframe, with 24,060 acting as the immediate resistance. Based on GIFT Nifty, a gap-up opening is expected. If Nifty sustains above 24,060, the next resistance levels are 24,170, 24,223, and 24,277. After the market opens, focus on the 5-minute timeframe support, which should be identified after the opening range forms. Trade according to price action rather than assumptions. Nifty 23,500 CE Levels Resistance: ₹660 / ₹800 Support: ₹550 / ₹480 Trade accordingly with strict risk management and wait for confirmation before taking positions.

Nifty August 2026 Outlook Our outlook for Nifty in August remains bullish. As long as Nifty holds above 23,800, the broader trend is expected to stay positive. Bullish Target: 25,800 Invalidation Level: 23,800 A decisive close below 23,800 will invalidate this bullish view and indicate that the current positive structure has weakened. Until then, the strategy is to maintain a bullish bias and look for buying opportunities on dips while following proper risk management.

Nifty Outlook – Tomorrow's Expiry As per the current chart structure: 5-minute trend: Uptrend Immediate support: 23,935 15-minute trend: Uptrend Key support: 23,890 Hourly trend: Still in a downtrend Immediate resistance: 24,050 Trading Scenarios Bullish Scenario: If Nifty breaks and sustains above 24,050, it is likely to witness a strong upward move towards 24,170 and 24,230. In case of a gap-up opening, the expected opening zone could be around 24,150 or 24,250. Bearish Scenario: If Nifty breaks below the immediate support of 23,935, selling pressure may increase. The next downside support levels are 23,890 and 23,815. Key Levels for Tomorrow's Expiry Support: 23,935 Resistance: 24,050 These levels are valid if Nifty opens near today's closing range. Plan your trades according to price action around these key levels and wait for confirmation before taking positions.

NIFTY Market View – Next Trading Session As per the current chart structure: 5-minute timeframe: Uptrend 15-minute & 1-hour timeframes: Still in a downtrend This indicates that the short-term momentum is positive, but the higher time frames are yet to confirm a trend reversal. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: 23,823 (Friday's High) Immediate Support: 23,700 Bullish Scenario If Nifty holds above 23,700 and breaks above 23,823, the next upside targets are 23,930–23,980. In case of a strong gap-up opening, the next resistance zones are 24,068 and 24,180. Bearish Scenario If Nifty breaks below 23,700, it is likely to rejoin the higher time frame downtrend. The expected downside support levels are 23,600, 23,480, and 23,400. Trading Plan: Let's first observe where Nifty opens. The opening price and the reaction around 23,700 and 23,823 will decide the day's direction. Plan your trades based on price action and maintain disciplined risk management.

🚀 ARTHVAN Mentorship Program – New Batch Announcement 📅 Next Online & Offline Batch Starts: 22nd August 2026 Whether you're a beginner or an experienced trader/investor, the ARTHVAN Mentorship Program is designed to help you build a strong foundation and develop a systematic approach to the markets. What You Will Learn ✅ Risk Management & Position Sizing ✅ Basic to Advanced Technical Analysis ✅ Dow Theory & Market Structure ✅ Trend Direction, Strength & Level Identification ✅ Multi-Time Frame Analysis ✅ Fundamental Analysis for Long-Term Investing ✅ Portfolio Building & Fund Allocation ✅ Pyramiding Strategies ✅ Option Chain Analysis ✅ Chart & Option Chain Coordination ✅ Price Action & Market Psychology ✅ Trade Planning & Execution ✅ Capital Preservation Techniques ✅ Swing Trading & Positional Trading Strategies ✅ Long-Term Wealth Creation Framework This is a practical, concept-driven mentorship program where you'll learn how to analyze the market independently, instead of relying on tips or predictions. 📍 Online & Offline Batches Available 📅 Batch Starts: 22nd August 2026 Join ARTHVAN and build the knowledge, discipline, and confidence required to become a consistent trader and long-term investor.

buy in deep pe