CryptoFrog's Gems 💎🐸

I’m still keeping an eye on all these short term $BTC targets… 👀 With price action beginning to see some strong sideways price action, it’s still safe to assume we are likely to see some sort of buyer exhaustion sooner rather than later. All these levels of support are based on both the VRVP and prior BOSs. As long as we bounce and stay above any or all of these short term support levels, we should still expect higher prices on both the LTF and the MTF. These are all levels to keep a close eye on if you’re looking for good bounce levels for long positions. I’d keep an eye on these levels this week, as I’ve got a feeling we are likely to at LEAST retest one of them!

$BTC is showing even more strength on the HTF… 👀 As we start the new week, it’s clear that Bitcoin is yet again showing lots of strength, and the odds are undoubtedly shifting in favour of a macro reversal. I would not be surprised if we saw a retest of the prior highs around the low $80k level before seeing a strong rejection to create a higher low at new support levels. It’s also important to note that the weekly 100EMA is beginning to break to the upside. That means there is always a chance we could break through the prior highs with strength and continue this lockout rally. These are the levels I’ll be keeping a very close eye on this week!

Still very similar expectations for $BTC here in the short term… 👀 With how strong price has been holding over this low-volume weekend, I could very well see this $BTC rally continuing into the start of this coming week. If we don’t see a break of the highs sooner rather than later, though, I’ve marked out all the levels I’m keeping a close eye on for bounces and new MTF lower highs to form. With how crazy of a rally we saw last week, being the strongest weekly gain since 2023, the odds are that we should see some sort of mean reversion pullback in the coming weeks or even days. Keep a very close eye on these levels as we continue to push through this new week!

Taking a look at $BTC on the very immediate short term… 👀 As we can see, price is starting to range and show some signs of buying exhaustion around its local highs, which is leading me to believe we will likely see a pullback sooner rather than later. I have marked out every major level I’m keeping an eye on to see how price reacts. Each of these levels is either a prior point of liquidity on the VRVP or a prior BOS. If all these levels are broken and we fall below $70k, then I’d expect the dump to continue back into the $67k-ish region. None of these levels is more important than another. They are all points to keep a close eye on and could provide some strong short-term trade setups. Keep a close eye!

This $BTC rally is not slowing down one bit… 👀 The past three days of price action on $BTC have been quite literally unprecedented. This crazy breakout rally feels very similar to the first leg up in 2023 that took us out of the bear market, and I will 100% believe this move to be the same if I see ONE specific move in price action. It’s safe to assume some sort of mean reversion is around the corner, with the 1D RSI being unbelievably overextended. But a pullback here might actually be the most bullish move possible. If we come back down to $71k-$70k to retest the 1D 200EMA and see a strong bounce, I will 100% believe that the bull market is back, and I’ll position myself to take advantage of the gains to come over the next 2-3 years. Likewise, if we don’t see a pullback here and continue to rally above $83k, which is our prior lower high, then that will also be enough for me to 100% believe the bull market is back. But if we see a pullback that results in a BREAKDOWN of the 1D 200EMA, then the possibility of the bear market still not being quite over does once again increase. With such volatility in these markets, it’s very important to understand that macro probabilities are constantly shifting, and it’s your responsibility to be objective in your market outlook and not become married to your base case. You must be able to adapt in real time to these markets. Keep a VERY CLOSE EYE on price action this weekend. These might be the most important times in the markets since we saw the top. Make sure you are PAYING ATTENTION!

$BTC has continued to see a MASSIVE breakout! 👀 As we can see, that 200EMA on the daily chart I talked about yesterday has officially been broken with STRONG momentum, which is a MASSIVE move for the bulls. This level breaking does drastically shift the probabilities of a strong reversal continuation on the MTF and even the HTF. A few things must happen before we see this rally continue. Clearly, every LTF, MTF, and most HTF charts are showing very overbought conditions on the RSI, which is a sign that this rally is likely going to see a pullback eventually. But what really matters is whether that pullback creates a higher low. If we see price come back down to $71k to retest this 200EMA on the daily and then continue higher, it’s likely that we have seen the bear market bottom form. But if we come back down to retest $71k and break below, the odds of the bear market bottom being in are still not quite there. As always, I’ll be keeping a VERY close eye on these levels throughout the week. These are the times to pay the closest attention to!!

$BTC is objectively starting to flip its probabilities toward an upside reversal… 🔥 As I’ve been talking about for WEEKS, we must see price close a weekly candle above $66k-$67k if we want the odds of price continuing into a new macro uptrend to become favourable. Now, although we haven’t seen where the weekly candle closes this week, it’s safe to assume this extraordinarily strong move could very well be the beginning of that macro breakout. With that being said, we MUST see where the weekly candle closes before jumping to conclusions. We must also keep a close eye on the 1D 200EMA, which has acted as a rejection zone throughout this bear market. That level is currently sitting at $71.5k. It’s important to slowly start to understand that the probabilities of a macro reversal have most certainly increased, but are still not QUITE favourable enough to jump the gun imo. Keep a VERY close eye on these levels as we head into the weekly close!

One of you just hit 16,875x? I just watched someone turn $7.50 into over $126,000 on MetaWin They just committed to giving away $500,000 to their players over the next 2 weeks If you deposit on metawin.com you qualify for the rewards I would go get your share of these giveaways while they last

$BTC is still sitting within its neutral range on the short term charts… 👀 As I’ve been talking about for weeks on end, until we see Bitcoin definitively break out or break down from this range between $65k and $62k, none of this short term price action actually matters. And as we can see, price has recently begun to reject from the top of this current range, which is clear proof that although we have had a nice rally over the past few days, it is insignificant on the HTF. We are starting to see bearish divergence on the 4H RSI, creating lower highs while price action printed a higher high. This is a clear sign of the buyers beginning to experience exhaustion right at resistance, meaning this short term rally will likely not result in an HTF breakout. Keep a very close eye on this range as we head deeper into the week. I’ve got a feeling this short term consolidation is due for a large directional move much sooner rather than later.

$BTC is once again continuing to trade sideways in its neutral range. Not much has changed over the past 24 hours, so I’ll keep this short and sweet. Yes, Bitcoin has seen a strong bounce from $62.5k, which heavily validates that support level’s relevance. Yet we have not even seen this rally continue into the upper resistance of the neutral range at $65k. The past few weeks of price action have been extremely boring and have resulted in pretty much no relevant structural moves. With that being said, these periods of consolidation tend to result in large, explosive directional moves in the market. Once we breakout above $65k, we can start to entertain stronger continuations higher, and if we break $62k, we can start to entertain stronger continuations lower. So although this price action is boring, it’s more important than ever to pay very close attention!

Quick update on the $BTC weekly candle close… 👀 As I mentioned yesterday, we have now confirmed a very BEARISH engulfing candle close on the weekly. This most recent candle, which closed a few hours ago below $63k, has officially erased the entire rally that started 5 weeks ago. This is a sign that the weakness over the past week has been strong enough to quite literally erase an entire 5 week rally in just 7 days. This is also a strong macro indicator that a continuation move in the same direction is very likely to follow in the coming weeks. These types of structural shifts and breakdowns in the market are by far one of my favourite ways to understand the next most likely directional move on the HTF charts. This week could get quite volatile if we do see continued downside, so keep that in mind throughout the week!

$BTC is seeing a bearish engulfing weekly candle as we speak… 👀 I’m gonna keep this analysis short and sweet since I’ve talked about this many times over the past few weeks. We are currently witnessing Bitcoin print a bearish engulfing weekly candle if price were to close at this exact point. When we see a strong bearish engulfing candle similar to the one we’re seeing right now, it means all the gains over the past few weekly candles have been given back, and we are likely going to continue lower in the trend that we are currently in. The only way to break out of this bearish engulfing pattern is by closing a weekly candle above $66k to $67k on the weekly chart. If we see this candle close tomorrow below last week’s prior weekly open, it’s likely we will continue into next week very red. Keep a very close eye on price action over the coming days!

$BTC has started to bounce from its short-term support… 👀 As I’ve talked about all week, Bitcoin has finally retested its support level at $62.5k on the 4H chart. This is a level I had been expecting a retest and bounce from for quite a while. As we head into the weekend, I think we will likely see a small recovery before we see a strong directional move heading into the weekly close. With this week having such low volatility, we should expect a strong move in price action over the next week or two. If we start to see breakdowns from this level heading into the weekly close, I’d expect next week to be quite red. If we can manage to hold strong and rally this weekend, next week could very well be green. So keep a very close eye on price action this weekend.

Quick update on the $BTC short term price action… Not much has changed over the past few days. Bitcoin is still seeing relatively low volume, as per usual this time of year, which has led to some very boring price action. We are still in this short term neutral range between $65k and $62.5k. The direction is still unclear for the next short term “strong move” until either of those levels is broken with some degree of strength. August/September is historically one of the most bearish periods for Bitcoin, so my bias is still leaning toward more downside in the coming weeks, especially since we are still below macro resistance. Although price action has been slow, this is when it becomes most important to keep a close eye on the market. The winners of the bull market are the ones who were still locked in during the most boring days of the bear market. 🤝

use code ‘X100’ when you deposit to claim

Be sure to claim your free $1,000 today while this offer lasts Everyone who deposits on metawin.com gets their deposit doubled up to $1k So it’s literally a free thousand dollars On top of that, they’re giving away another $1M to players this month So if you deposit, you qualify for both offers And if you get lucky you might turn your deposit into $243k like this while you’re at it…

$ORANGE | Project Review   ✅ Overview $ORANGE is a new SOL community memecoin which was created to pay homage to one of the OG nicknames that Bitcoin had back in the day, that being “Orange Coin”. With the crypto space being run by memes these days, plenty of “Orange Coin” memes have spawned, but none of them have paid the respects to the many years Bitcoin has been called Orange Coin. The entire reason the memecoin space is here, and why the crypto industry has grown so much, is directly because of the success from the OG Orange Coin. So many OG tweets and posts back in 2010 about Bitcoin refer to it as Orange Coin. 📄 Tokenomics (Supply - 1B) Tax - 0/0 | LP Burnt | Ca Renounced   🔒 Analysis Solid narrative here with a good team running it. Markets have been continuing to heat up which I could see $ORANGE taking good advantage of. Pretty strong vol and chart is looking good. ATHs are right around $2m Mcap. Currently sitting around $700k Mcap. As alwasy DYOR! 🦅Chart | ✖️Twitter | ✈️Telegram

$BTC on the daily is looking very interesting… 👀 I wanted to point out an indicator that has been catching my attention recently, and it’s the daily Bollinger Bands. They are essentially a group of moving averages that tightly follow the price of Bitcoin and are great at representing market volatility. The tighter the bands squeeze and compress around price action, the lower the volatility is in the market during that period of time. Usually, not long after we see tight compression on the Bollinger Bands and low volatility, a strong, volatile directional move occurs in the market. Now, with that being said, this compression on the Bollinger Bands is the tightest we have seen all bear market, indicating that we are likely to see a strong move occur in the near future. In my opinion, if we cannot break the $67k macro resistance sooner rather than later, it’s very likely that this major volatility move that the Bollinger Bands are predicting will be a move to create new macro lows. This would also align perfectly with August seasonality being red in bear market years. I’d highly recommend keeping a very close eye on this chart. I think a big move is coming sooner rather than later.

Still expecting lower for $BTC in the short term… 👀 As we can see in the charts, price has clearly been forming a pretty strong downtrend over the past few days, which has yet to be broken. As long as we see price continue to stay below this downtrend line, expectations in the short term should still be lower. The next lower target to keep an eye on is around $62.5k. If we do break out from this downtrend, the first short-term target would likely be around $64.5k, where we can then see if price rejects further. We also have very important inflation data being released tomorrow morning, so this news could very well create some volatile price action in the short term. Keep a close eye on all these levels and news events!

$BTC is rejecting from the exact level I was expecting… 👀 As I’ve been talking about for over a week now, $BTC had rallied into a strong level of resistance at $65k, where we struggled to see buyers facilitate a strong breakthrough. This led to a very bearish divergence print on the RSI a few days ago, which I made a post about. I mentioned how buying momentum had slowed down heavily and the bears were beginning to take control of momentum, which would likely result in a short term rejection. Now, as we can see, that short term rejection has played out exactly as I expected. Although price is attempting to bounce here at $64k, which is a decent support level on the VRVP, I still expect price to come down and retest the strong horizontal support level sitting around $62.5k. Keep a very close eye on price action as we head into the second half of August. The second half of the month has historically been very weak throughout bear market years. I wouldn’t be surprised if this strong short term dump is the beginning of that August seasonality weakness.