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FOMC TODAY:
The market is already expecting a 95% HOLD but pricing a 65-75% hike in December.
Based on market expectations: If it’s a hold and less hawkish, then FED for December turns out bearish for USD (scenario A)
-A hold and more hawkishness from Warsh speech turns out bullish for USD (Scenario B)
Less hawkish tone may be the FED considering NFP been so poor. (Due to global crisis and protests most central banks are taking caution against inflation not to hurt its citizens more badly).
Surprise List:
A cut or hike today. The market has priced a hold that any changes may affect the market badly.
$USDCAD outlook
So we’ve got two scenarios in place.
1. price respects the current level its at, for a push to the upside
2. It breaks below to continue its sells.
+1
$XAUUSD
Y’know how the normal circle of the market is like.
You get break, a correction/retracement, then we continue with the trend.
But if for some reason, at any point in the market, price decides to show signs of a shift on 4 hours, which would mean price suddenly creating HH HL, then that should be your signal for realignment.
+1
$USDJPY outlook
to keep things simple, we should be expecting a correction before we could get the continuation of the trend, but if for some reason we happen to violate these sequence, we’d have no other choice than to go with what the market give us
Happy weekend Creeds
+1
$USDJPY
You’ll need to keep following the queue until they change the narrative
**Quick question for everyone in the channel.**
I want to better understand the people behind these numbers. **Where are you currently in your forex journey?**
