📊 Gold soars toward record high amid trade war fears
The gold (XAU) price reached a new all-time high of $2,817 on Friday as safe-haven demand remained strong due to geopolitical uncertainties and concerns over global economic growth amid U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff plans.
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Possible effects for traders
'There're concerns that some of the economic growth may come down because of the policies and tariffs that the current administration is looking to implement. So when you've got higher inflation and lower growth, stagflation becomes the economic theme. Gold tends to work very well in that particular environment', said Phillip Streible, chief market strategist at Blue Line Futures.
On Saturday, U.S. President Donald Trump signed an order imposing new tariffs of 25% on goods from Mexico and Canada and 10% on imports from China. New trade tariffs may disrupt more than $2.1 trillion worth of annual trade, slow global economic growth, and push global inflation higher. Canada and Mexico, the top two U.S. trading partners, immediately vowed retaliatory measures, and China said it would challenge Trump's levies at the World Trade Organization (WTO). 'I can see (gold) trying to reach up to that $2,900 level at some point during the first quarter; after we breach that, we'll set new levels. At some point this year, gold could ultimately trade north of $3,000', said Bob Haberkorn, senior market strategist at RJO Futures.
XAUUSD was declining during the Asian and early European trading sessions as the U.S. dollar strengthened. 'Markets are looking rattled about the tariff dramas, and demand for safe-haven assets such as gold could look to limit the immediate downside... though the soaring U.S. dollar could be an inhibiting factor', said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade. Citi Bank noted that further tariff escalation would be bullish for gold, likely pushing prices towards $3,000. 'Spot gold may fall into a range of $2,735 to $2,751 per ounce, as a wave C from $2,614 may have completed', said Reuters analyst Wang Tao. Today, Trump will discuss trade tariffs with the leaders of Canada and Mexico on Monday, so there is hope that a trade war can be avoided. Additionally, U.S. ISM Manufacturing data is due at 3:00 p.m. UTC. However, news about trade tariffs will likely overshadow the formal macroeconomic report.
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