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📊 Geopolitical tensions boost demand for AUD The Australian dollar (AUD) closed at 0.64700 on Tuesday, recovering as rising oil prices supported demand for commodity-linked currencies. The surge in crude oil prices was fuelled by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which usually benefits the currency due to Australia's strong trade ties to global commodity markets. 👉 Possible effects for traders Market sentiment remained cautious as the conflict between Israel and Iran continued for a sixth straight day. U.S. President Donald Trump intensified his rhetoric, demanding Iran's unconditional surrender and signalling potential U.S. intervention. This heightened geopolitical risk pushed oil prices higher, bolstering the Australian dollar. However, AUD's rise may be limited in the near term as broader risk-off sentiment continues to dominate global markets amid the ongoing hostilities. On the domestic front, Australia's Leading Economic Index declined by 0.1% in May, pointing to a sluggish and uneven economic recovery. Investors are now focused on Thursday's labour market report, which should offer insights into employment trends and help shape expectations for future monetary policy decisions by the Reserve Bank of Australia. A strong jobs print could provide near-term support for the Australian dollar and potentially shift the outlook on interest rates. AUDUSD moved higher during Asian and early European trading sessions. Two significant events could significantly impact this pair today: the U.S. Jobless Claims report at 12:30 p.m. UTC and the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision at 6:00 p.m. UTC. These data releases will give the market insights into the Fed's future policy direction. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

#economic_calendar These events will affect the market on 18 June. 🔥 Don't forget to get a 100% deposit bonus!

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GBPUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart 👉General outlook GBPUSD has been trading in a bearish trend for the last couple of hours. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 1.35500. Set your stop loss at 1.35130 below the previous low ($3.70 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.35870 ($3.70 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. @octa_analytics

📊 GBP consolidates as conflict in the Middle East unfolds The British pound (GBP) traded flat against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Monday. Investors remained cautious ahead of this week's Bank of England (BoE) policy meeting as geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran continued to weigh on broader market sentiment. 👉 Possible effects for traders The Bank of England will announce its policy decision on Thursday, with markets anticipating that rates will remain unchanged at 4.25%. However, forward guidance remains key as money markets are currently pricing in two 25-basis-point cuts by year-end, with the first starting in September. The BoE's communication on inflation risks, wage trends, and global spillovers is expected to drive near-term movements in GBP and gilt markets. Disappointing U.K. data—including weak manufacturing, sluggish gross domestic product growth, and a cooling labour market—continue to weigh on the British pound. Last week's fiscal update from Chancellor Rachel Reeves failed to inspire confidence in the U.K.'s growth. According to analysts, it may have laid the groundwork for potential tax increases later this year, further weakening consumer sentiment and limiting GBP upside. Additionally, the continuing Middle East conflict heightens global uncertainty, prompting traders to reduce exposure to risk-sensitive currencies such as GBP. GBPUSD continued to move sideways within a range of 1.35250–1.36300 during Asian and early European trading hours. GBP may rise if the Bank of England adopts a cautious tone on future rate cuts during Thursday’s policy meeting. Apart from the decision itself, the main focus will be on the BoE's forward guidance. Any signals suggesting a more gradual or data-dependent approach to easing could support the pound. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Euro consolidates near three-year high The euro (EUR) edged up by 0.07% on Monday, supported by a flight to safety amid heightened geopolitical risks and global market uncertainty. 👉 Possible effects for traders The euro found further support after U.S. President Donald Trump called for an evacuation from Tehran in response to intensified Israeli airstrikes. Trump reiterated that Iran should have accepted his proposed nuclear agreement, adding to the already tense atmosphere and strengthening the appeal of the U.S. dollar as a safe-haven asset. Investor attention is now shifting towards the Federal Reserve's (Fed) policy decision later this week. While markets broadly expect the central bank to leave interest rates unchanged, investors will closely monitor any signals about future monetary policy direction. Meanwhile, rising oil prices and lingering trade tensions continue to stoke inflation concerns, contributing to a cautious but supportive backdrop for the euro. EURUSD remained relatively unchanged during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, euro traders should focus on news about the peace talks between Israel and Iran. Additionally, the U.S. Retail Sales report, due at 12:30 p.m. UTC, is likely to add volatility to all USD pairs. Higher-than-expected figures may push EURUSD down towards 1.15000. Conversely, lower-than-expected results may pull the pair towards 1.16300 again. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Gold declines as Middle East tensions ease Gold prices (XAU) fell by 1.37% on Monday, marking the biggest single-day decline in a month. 👉 Possible effects for traders The decline was driven by reports that Iran is seeking to ease tensions with Israel and is open to resuming nuclear negotiations with the U.S., provided Washington refrains from supporting Israeli military actions. However, despite Iran's diplomatic initiative, U.S. President Donald Trump ordered an immediate evacuation from Tehran after Israel intensified its bombing campaign across Iran, targeting the country's elite military units and state-run media outlets. 'Suspicion is that we're about to see the U.S. begin some sort of military action in Iran, and we're now seeing some risk aversion because it brings another element of uncertainty into the market', said Tony Sycamore, a Market Analyst at IG. XAUUSD rose slightly during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the focus is on the U.S. Retail Sales report, due at 12:30 p.m. UTC, which could add volatility to the market. Higher-than-expected figures may pause the upward momentum in XAUUSD. Lower-than-expected results may push the pair back towards $3,380. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

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Last week's market highlights A breakdown of key gains and losses across major instruments: 🚀 Top performers 🔹XAUUSD +3.70% — gold strengthened significantly due to rising demand for safe-haven assets amid Israel-Iran tensions. 🔹EURUSD +1.39% — the euro appreciated, supported by hawkish signals from the ECB. 🔹USDZAR +0.82% — the South African rand weakened despite the broader downtrend in the USD. ❌ Top losers 🔹 USDCHF –1.28% — the Swiss franc strengthened due to its safe-haven status. 🔹 USDMXN –0.80% — the peso appreciated as demand for the dollar declined. 🔹 USDCAD –0.78% — the Canadian dollar rose steadily, supported by relatively strong oil prices. 📉 The USD weakened following softer-than-expected U.S. inflation data and rising geopolitical concerns. However, toward the end of the week, the dollar regained some ground on hawkish signals from the ECB. Follow @octa_analytics for more trading information

GBPJPY, 30-minute timeframe chart 👉General outlook GBPJPY has been trading in a bullish trend within the last day. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 195.870. Set your stop loss at 196.620 above the previous high ($5.20 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 195.120 ($5.20 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. @octa_analytics

📊 Gold reaches new all-time high On Friday, gold prices (XAU) surged by 1.36% towards an all-time high, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. 👉 Possible effects for traders The rally was fuelled by renewed safe-haven demand following reports of Israel's strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities and military leadership. U.S. President Donald Trump warned of intensified U.S. actions if no nuclear agreement is reached. This marked the third consecutive session of gains for the precious metal, underlining gold's traditional role as a hedge in times of geopolitical and economic turmoil. Gold posted a robust 3.3% gain for the week, reflecting heightened investor anxiety and increased capital flows into safe-haven assets amid global uncertainty. The momentum also reflects broader concerns about market volatility, persistent inflationary pressures, and shifting central bank policies. Analysts note that if geopolitical risks continue to mount or market participants begin pricing in looser monetary conditions, gold could see further growth in the near term, potentially attracting both institutional and retail inflows. XAUUSD remained relatively unchanged during the Asian and early European trading sessions. With no major data releases today, traders should focus on developments in the Middle East. 'Gold rose together with the U.S. dollar following the Israeli attack in a classic safe-haven move... Whether the attack was the spark that was needed to reignite gold and drive a fresh push towards and above USD $3,500 remains to be seen. However, together with central bank demand, fiscal debt concerns, and softening U.S. economic data pointing to rate cuts, it seems to be the path of least resistance', Saxo Bank analysts noted. Key levels to watch are resistance at $3,500 and support at $3,400. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

🔽 Euro falls after four straight sessions of gains The euro slipped by 0.28% on Friday, ending a four-day streak of gains against the U.S. dollar (USD), as investors pivoted to safe-haven assets amid escalating geopolitical tensions. Despite the daily pullback, the euro remains on track for its second consecutive weekly gain, supported by the relative economic resilience of the eurozone and shifting expectations around U.S. monetary policy. 👉 Possible effects for traders Uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policy fuelled demand for alternative currencies. U.S. President Donald Trump renewed his aggressive stance by threatening unilateral tariffs to gain leverage in ongoing trade negotiations. However, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent signalled a more moderate approach, suggesting that the existing 90-day tariff moratorium could be extended. Trump's statements unsettled global markets, raising concerns about disruptions to international trade and weakening investor confidence in the U.S. economy. Meanwhile, recent U.S. consumer and producer inflation data came in below expectations, further weighing on the U.S. dollar. The data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may implement additional rate cuts this year. Softer inflation readings strengthened the case for monetary easing. As a result, the appeal of the U.S. dollar diminished as investors moved into other currencies, including the euro. EURUSD declined during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today's macroeconomic calendar is relatively uneventful, so the pair is unlikely to break out of its current trend. Key levels to watch today are support at 1.14900 and resistance at 1.16326. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

🔼 Japanese yen strengthens as safe-haven flows increase The Japanese yen (JPY) rose by 0.43% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Friday, marking its third consecutive session of gains. The rise was driven by investors seeking refuge in traditional safe-haven assets amid mounting geopolitical instability. 👉 Possible effects for traders The yen's rally was primarily driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East following Israel’s strike on Iran, which targeted critical nuclear infrastructure. Israeli officials signalled the continuation of military operations until the perceived threat is fully neutralised. Global markets responded with heightened risk aversion, boosting demand for lower-risk currencies such as the Japanese yen. U.S. President Donald Trump threatened unilateral tariffs to pressure trading partners into renegotiating deals, adding to the uncertainty. The prospect of a renewed trade war added another layer of uncertainty to an already fragile global outlook. This prompted investors to reduce exposure to riskier assets and seek stability in safe-haven currencies like the yen and Swiss franc. USDJPY rose during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Policy signals from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) supported JPY. In testimony to the Parliament earlier in the week, BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda reiterated that the central bank is ready to raise interest rates further if inflation expectations align sustainably with the 2% target. Japanese rates remain among the lowest globally, and even a modest shift toward tightening in Japan—combined with rising global risks—could reinforce upward momentum in the yen. Today, the macroeconomic calendar is relatively uneventful for the USDJPY. Traders should watch the critically important levels: resistance at 144.500 and support at 142.500. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

#weekly_outlook 🔎 Keeping up-to-date with the market helps you make better trading decisions Here’s a Weekly Market Outlook for 16 – 20 June from Vito Henjoto. Stay informed and trade wisely.

#webinars_schedule #education 💫 Webinars are now right within the Octa Trading App on your Android device. Download the latest update and master your trading even more conveniently. 🔎 Apply filters to find videos for your learning needs. Set notifications for upcoming webinars to catch the moment when a live stream starts. 👋 Join and learn more about trading: 🇮🇩 17/06, 5 p.m. WIB – [INDONESIAN] – Fair trading winds: mastering theory and practice 🇮🇩 18/06, 7 p.m. WIB – [INDONESIAN] – Live trading session with Setyo Wibowo 🇬🇧 19/06, 6 p.m. WAT – [ENGLISH] – Live trading session on OctaTrader with Tunmise Olaoluwa 🇲🇾 19/06, 9 p.m. MYT – [MALAY] – Live trading session with Cikgu Danie

Maslow's hierarchy? Sure — but traders live by their own set of rules From the essentials like coffee and stable internet, all the way up to predicting markets like a psychic (and yes, even teaching your cat Fibonacci), here’s the pyramid every trader can relate to. Follow @octa_analytics for more trading information

‼️ Join Octa Analytics VIP Unlock premium signals, exclusive offers, and important events to boost your trading success. To become a member of Octa Analytics VIP, follow these easy steps: 1️⃣ Make sure you have $50 or more in your account. 2️⃣ Take a screenshot of your balance and send it along with your Octa real account ID to our @octa_vip_bot chatbot. 3️⃣ Await verification—usually, it’s completed within one business day. Ready to take your trading to the next level? Let us steer you toward success. The sooner you join, the more you’ll benefit from our elite trading community! 💯 Limited-time offer 💯 Don’t miss the opportunity to use the BONUSVIP100 promo code for a 100% deposit bonus!

XAUUSD, 1-hour timeframe chart 👉General outlook XAUUSD has been trading in a bearish trend for the last couple of hours. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 3,425.91. Set your stop loss at 3,395.73 below the previous low ($30.18 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 3,456.09 ($30.18 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. 🗒Fundamental factors The U.S. Consumer Sentiment report will be released in a few hours and could affect this trade. Some traders may close their positions on Friday, which can add more pressure to the market. @octa_analytics