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Gold dips on profit-taking after a rally
The gold (XAU) price dropped 0.83% on Monday. Investors took profit on their long positions after bullion reached a record high during the previous trading session.
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Possible effects for traders
Risk sentiment has improved somewhat as U.S. President Donald Trump's administration exempted smartphones, computers, and some other electronics from increased tariffs. Most of these goods are imported from China, so the decision gives investors hope that trade tensions may subside soon. In a statement, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce called the move a 'small step by the U.S. to correct its wrong practice of unilateral reciprocal tariffs'. 'Perhaps some relief on the tariff front, with the exemption of some electronics maybe taking some of the safe haven bid out. However, ongoing uncertainty about trade and tariffs, weakness in the U.S. dollar and softer yields tend to be supportive for gold', said Peter Grant, vice president and senior metals strategist at Zaner Metals. Indeed, Trump said he would announce the tariff rate on imported semiconductors later this week, keeping market participants on edge.
Over the past month, the traditional role of gold as a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainty has been reinforced by the U.S.-China trade war. These tensions prompted investors to buy the metal amidst global market unease. Goldman Sachs, a U.S. investment bank, remained the most bullish major bank on gold. It raised its year-end forecast towards $3,700, citing stronger-than-expected central bank demand and heightened recession risks affecting exchange-traded funds (ETFs) inflows. According to the World Gold Council, gold ETFs in China increased by 29.1 metric tons in the first eleven days of April, more than during Q1.
XAUUSD rose during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the market focuses on any tariff-related news that may signal shifts in global trade dynamics and impact market sentiment. Also, the U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index report will come out at 12:30 p.m. UTC and may add more volatility to all USD pairs. 'Spot gold may break resistance at $3,240 per ounce and rise to $3,304', said Reuters analyst Wang Tao.
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