SC Futures Traders - Channel

$BTC

Text book interpretation: 1. Pada time frame dimana LH terjadi, seringkali artinya sedang mengalami down-trending, (tapi tidak valid apabila dilihat dari time frame lebih besar, dengan metric price level yang berbeda tentunya), dominasi seller dan menjadi cikal bakal top level. 2. Meskipun dominasi seller dan buyer masih lebih besar persentase seller, dan buyer juga belum yakin apakah mereka akan lanjut akumulasi atau tidak, satu hal yang pasti, moment seperti menanti sentimen tertentu. Bisa positif dan bisa negatif. Jadi secara price action, cenderung netral (60% negatif. 40% positif). Lalu, berlanjut, kepada kumpulan sentimen yang akan datang yang perlu kita ekspek, untuk mengkorekasikan dengan pergerakan price action, apakah positif, atau negaitf.

Postingan terakhir tentang Bitcoin itu di 26 May, 2024. Semenjak itu Bitcoin hanya turun sekitar 8-9% hingga saat ini. Meskipun ada beberapa pergerakan signifikan. Sedangkan di alts, pump fun, sun pump, gamecom, dan platform sejenis, jadi tempat favorit likuiditas untuk berjudi di micin-micin dengan kemungkinan berhasil sekitar 1-2% berbanding dengan total micin yang di create. Jadi, ini yang benar-benar disebut cacing-cacing, naga-naga. Kalau lo, namun 1-2% itu bagi beberapa orang , jadi kisah sukses mereka karena bisa flipping beberapa ratus dollar menjadi beberapa puluh atau ratus ribu dollar dalam waktu singkat. Bagi mayoritas lainnya, mereka adalah likuditasnya. Pattern sedang berjalan di Bitcoin, dengan menciptakan sideways dengan lower high dan lower low 3x berturut-turut dalam kurun waktu 24 minggu atau sekitar 5 bulanan.

Last post was june, off like 2 months What 2 months did to $SEI? Trendline is currently broken.

Long time no see 😁 How you guys doing?

Ketika lo trading dan liquidated, berhenti trading untuk sementara waktu untuk meregulasi psikologis (2-4 minggu minimal). Revenge trade kadang works kadang nggak. Tapi seringkali nggak logis dan dipaksakan. Analisa kesalahan dan restart conviction. Masukan ini datang dari teman-teman yang sudah sering liquidated di awal-awal perjalanan trading mereka, hingga sudah tidak pernah lagi terlikuidasi (alokasi hangus semua). Stop loss dan cut loss sangat boleh, tapi ketika alokasi futures sudah menipis, berhenti dulu. Rajin withdraw juga salah satu masukan. Jadi worse case scenario, alokasi futures kita terlikuidasi, cash kita di rekening tetap ada dari profit yang pernah dilakukan. Jangan all in selalu putar 100%. Kalau investasi (spot atau stocks) boleh, tapi ini futures trading. Cuma butuh 1-2 kesalahan dan semuanya hangus. Lo mungkin pernah mendengar warren buffett, peter lynch, jesse livermore, george soros, dll yang berhasil dalam skala superbesar dalam periode waktu tertentu. Namun, perlu di ingat, trading adalah zero-sum game. Ketika seseoran menang banyak, maka ada orang-orang yang kalah. Bahkan 80% traders kemungkinan besar gagal. Bukankah tetap mempertahankan alokasi itu adalah kemenangan?

Let’s see if we can get the $2K back. We need it to reach a $30 million market cap; then we will return to futures trading.

Heart that bazinga is legit. CA: C3JX9TWLqHKmcoTDTppaJebX2U7DcUQDEHVSmJFz6K6S at your own risk.

Short position in profit+. So the loss will no longer -$838. But let’s say keep it so in public.

We have cut off the short position and are now relying only on this public position. So technically, as you know, we’ve realized a -$838 loss and have less than a -$500 floating loss. Now, if $BLUR achieves $0.55, then we can cover the loss. The liquidation level is $0.25, so between the TP target and liquidation level, it’s a 1:1 risk-to-reward ratio. Pretty bad R:R, but let’s see. The thing is, if Bitcoin doesn’t hold the trend, since BlackRock and Fidelity’s Ethereum spot ETF in August will be just bullish AF, what about in between now and then?

High leverage trading is hard to manage. It doesn’t rely on management; it relies on momentum, timing, and precise information on low time frames. Small leverage trading relies on the management of the margin of error. Even so, both are not easy. There are many factors to consider, such as allocation, buy and sell levels, spontaneous sentiment, and mentality.

We still have half of June, July, and September. Meanwhile, the historical Bitcoin price in each month…

What you know and what you do are two completely different things. That’s when the bias kicks in: 1. When you know things but don’t have the guts to do it. 2. When you have the guts, but have to discipline your actions and stick to the plan. August and November are the months when we can long again. Between now and then is tricky. We’ll see.

Realizing 2/3 of the loss, 1/3 is still unrealized. Currently rekt around -$800. The math is simple now: 1. The public account only has $2,300, with a realized loss of about $800. So, floating with $1,500 now. The liquidation level is around $0.25. 2. If the Binance position achieves $0.30, then it covers the public account with even a +$200 profit, and there are still crumbs left if the Bybit position closes. Maybe we can get around +$500 in total. The question is, what if the end short target never achieves and we have to cut the TP of the short position? Then it’s still fine. If $BLUR achieves $0.66, we will get around $2,500. The tricky part is if both targets never achieve, or if we are patient enough.

Try to manage by opening short hedge on other exchange

Floating rekt

The $BLUR DCA is driven by ego. We can just cut the loss and not actually lose anything, just wiping out the last $MYRO profit.