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频道帖子
+2
Bitcoin could fall to $40,000–46,000 by the end of 2026, according to analysts at Galaxy Research.
But let me remind you why the analysis from these people and many similar "experts" is often nothing more than a random collection of numbers and assumptions. Below, I'll attach their own forecasts from 2024–2025 (based on their supposedly rigorous and data-driven research).
Hopefully, this makes it clear why the more followers an account has—and especially if it adds the word "Research" to its name—the less relevant and well-argued many of its predictions tend to be.
The crypto space is flooded with random price targets every year, pushed by self-proclaimed experts. At this point, it's becoming genuinely frustrating. Instead of objective analysis, we're constantly fed arbitrary numbers with little accountability when those forecasts turn out to be completely wrong.
🔥 Test full indicators set for FREE
✉️ DM to get an access - @crypto4lightfounder
| 2 | Pepe Technical Analysis: Meme Coins Bull Run Just Getting Started?
▶️ https://youtu.be/S5ydk3yDAkc
🔥 Test full indicators set for FREE
✉️ DM to get an access - @crypto4lightfounder | 262 |
| 3 | ARB Price Analysis. LG Electronics is building with Arbitrum
▶️ https://youtu.be/YGohosVlrrU
🔥 Test full indicators set for FREE
✉️ DM to get an access - @crypto4lightfounder | 262 |
| 4 | AVAX Price Analysis. Avalanche Treasury Co set to start trading on Nasdaq
▶️ https://youtu.be/T7XN6JE0us8
🔥 Test full indicators set for FREE
✉️ DM to get an access - @crypto4lightfounder | 280 |
| 5 | Typical crypto shiller. “I said to YOU to never sell your Bitcoin. I never said that THE COMPANY wouldn’t sell its Bitcoin.”
Just listen again what he said. | 281 |
| 6 | DOT Price Analysis: Has Polkadot Finally Bottomed?
All updates from Polkadot since 2022) Huge list
▶️ https://youtu.be/zG-3IBCnpgI
🔥 Test full indicators set for FREE
✉️ DM to get an access - @crypto4lightfounder | 310 |
| 7 | Near Price Analysis. Is This the Last Chance to Buy NEAR Cheap?
▶️ https://youtu.be/H1HNLKktxAU
🔥 Test full indicators set for FREE
✉️ DM to get an access - @crypto4lightfounder | 310 |
| 8 | Wormhole Coin Price Analysis: Is W bottoming?
▶️ https://youtu.be/XJnwJI4Yv6s
🔥 Test full indicators set for FREE
✉️ DM to get an access - @crypto4lightfounder | 297 |
| 9 | Three of Japan's largest banks want to issuea stablecoin
MUFG, SMBC, and Mizuho are establishing a council to prepare for the issuance of a joint stablecoin before the end of the fiscal year (March 2027)
Institutionals need a blockchains for stablecoins (digital fiat money)! Nobody need a tokens of this blockchains! If they can run stablecoin on APTOS for example they dont care about $APT coin price! They just need functionality of this chain without any issues!
🔥 Test full indicators set for FREE
✉️ DM to get an access - @crypto4lightfounder | 296 |
| 10 | Since 2010, buying $BTC at a discount of 50% or more from ATH has yielded the following average returns:
After 1 year: +124%
After 2 years: +414%
After 3 years: +826%
All of this sounds interesting, but the core idea is obvious even without deep analysis. Bitcoin’s returns are decreasing over time. Eventually, it will turn into something more like a boring stock market, where a 30% yearly return will be considered a great result.
So the question is: if returns are shrinking and everyone can see it, why do people still expect identical drawdowns every cycle — around -75% from the peak? Why should Bitcoin keep dropping the same way, but grow differently?
The market is compressing and accelerating. That’s exactly why the 4-year cycle model is breaking down. And if you still want to call them “cycles,” they will become faster and shorter.
Just look at yesterday’s video — even visually, the rainbow chart shows that the ranges are tightening.
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✉️ DM to get an access - @crypto4lightfounder | 289 |
| 11 | 🪙 Bitcoin — my overall thoughts:
⬇️The most important thing is not trying to guess the bottom. Build your own personal plan for any crypto asset you're interested in based on your job, family budget, financial goals, and overall situation. You adapt to the market — you don't expect the market to adapt to your expectations.
⬇️Things used to be much simpler. Bitcoin was correlated with the S&P 500, gold, and the M2 money supply. After stocks and precious metals reached major highs, capital would often start flowing into Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. Today, Bitcoin seems to have lost any meaningful correlation with anything. Could money actually rotate from stocks and the AI sector into crypto? Sure. Could it also not happen at all? Absolutely. Smart investors may simply decide not to risk their profits by playing with virtual speculative assets. Many of them already have enough stress dealing with Trump and broader market uncertainty.🙂
⬇️Right now, people are analyzing tons of metrics. They look at what percentage of holders were underwater before versus now, count the days since the halving, and track countless other indicators in an attempt to identify the bottom. In my opinion, none of that really matters. Why? Think back to how many indicators in 2025 were screaming that Bitcoin was overheated and that the market was in a state of euphoria. Out of the 40+ indicators commonly used by analysts, maybe only 1–3 actually signaled the market top. Meanwhile, almost everyone kept saying that Bitcoin hadn't reached its peak yet and that prices would continue moving higher without significant pullbacks. Why? Because that's what happened in previous cycles. Then, when the market turned, many people had to delete their old posts and quickly switch to a bearish narrative, pretending everything was going according to plan and that they had predicted the end of the rally all along. Now we're seeing the exact same thing — just in reverse.
Could Bitcoin fall to $50,000 or even $30,000? Absolutely.
Could Bitcoin rise to $150,000 this year or next year? Absolutely.
Bitcoin is ultimately a speculative asset — nothing more.
Don't try to predict the exact bottom. Just follow your trading or investment plan and stay disciplined. 📈
🔥 Test full indicators set for FREE
✉️ DM to get an access - @crypto4lightfounder | 299 |
| 12 | 🪙 Friends, take 20 minutes of your time and watch this video about Bitcoin until the end! There are many different metrics and just a cold look at the main coin of the crypto market.
▶️ https://youtu.be/i2ufqLEwc8U
🔥 Test full indicators set for FREE
✉️ DM to get an access - @crypto4lightfounder | 330 |
| 13 | ENA Price Analysis: Where Is Ethena Bottom?
▶️ https://youtu.be/oxBQ1xPlYKg
🔥 Test full indicators set for FREE
✉️ DM to get an access - @crypto4lightfounder | 323 |
| 14 | Even with scammy coins with market makers you can make a money again!)) Because they use alghoritm! Price from 0.70 dumped to fundamental line D tf! If you could add limit order at buy line on next day you could sell at take profit line till penny)) H "pump/dump" coin ))
This is why important track data with indicators!
🔥 Test full indicators set for FREE
✉️ DM to get an access - @crypto4lightfounder | 326 |
| 15 | STG Coin Price Analysis. Stargate Finance Price Breakdown
▶️ https://youtu.be/L0bl7GMYyNo
🔥 Test full indicators set for FREE
✉️ DM to get an access - @crypto4lightfounder | 327 |
| 16 | Wow...take a look how even interest in early invest stages going down
Q2 2026 Could Mark the Worst ICO/IDO Quarter in the Last 5 Years
Only $58M was raised through IEOs, ICOs, and IDOs in Q2 2026, marking an 85% decline QoQ.
🔥 Test full indicators set for FREE
✉️ DM to get an access - @crypto4lightfounder | 333 |
| 17 | The median return on new tokens listed on centralized exchanges since January 2025 is -82%
🔥 Test full indicators set for FREE
✉️ DM to get an access - @crypto4lightfounder | 346 |
| 18 | I’ve talked about this before. Most people in crypto who made millions did so either by pure luck in the early days of 2016–2017 or during the massive bull run of 2021. It was largely a matter of being in the right place at the right time.
Yet many people assume these millionaires have some special analysis, secret alpha, or deep ability to read the market. In reality, many are simply gamblers who happened to get lucky. And the same reason many of them made money is often the reason they eventually lose it.
Imagine buying a random token with only 18% of its total supply circulating after it has already rallied 3,500%, and putting $4 million into it right near the top. This isn’t about a hack, bad luck, or an unfortunate accident. It’s about a complete lack of market understanding, the absence of proper risk management, and pure gambling behavior. | 328 |
| 19 | CHZ Price Analysis. Will World Cup 2026 Pump Chiliz?
▶️ https://youtu.be/0MBoA8v0pxo
🔥 Test full indicators set for FREE
✉️ DM to get an access - @crypto4lightfounder | 344 |
| 20 | Sahara Coin Price Analysis. Whats going on now?
▶️ https://youtu.be/S1YLUFUfPEQ
🔥 Test full indicators set for FREE
✉️ DM to get an access - @crypto4lightfounder | 351 |
现已上线!2025 年 Telegram 研究 — 年度关键洞察 
