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BTC/USDT — Weekly Chart | Small Update
• Price consolidating around $81K after recent pullback
• Still above long-term trendline → macro structure intact
• Ichimoku cloud support holding near $74K–78K zone
• Sideways-to-up bias as long as price stays above support
• Break above $85K could open path toward $95K–100K
⏳ Patience phase — trend still favors bulls 🟢
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🚨 ALERT: Bitcoin is on track for its longest monthly losing streak since 2018, down nearly 6% in January.
📉 A rare drawdown — markets watch closely for a momentum shift.
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📊 Crypto Total Market Cap — Weekly Chart Update.
Total crypto market cap is holding around $2.81T on the weekly timeframe.
🔹 Price is still above the rising trendline, keeping the broader structure intact
🔹 Short-term consolidation / mild pullback after a strong 2024–25 expansion
🔹 As long as the trendline + cloud support holds, the market remains structurally bullish
🔹 A clean break and hold above the recent range could open the door for the next expansion leg
Trendline support & weekly close confirmation
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BTCUSDT – 4H Chart Update
• Price broke down from the rising channel
• Holding below cloud & trendline → bearish bias
• Minor relief bounce possible, but trend remains weak
• As long as price stays below ~88k–90k, downside risk continues
• Next supports seen near 80k → 76k zone
Momentum favors bears on lower timeframes. Wait for a clear reclaim of the channel / cloud before expecting trend reversal.
Risk management is key.
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Crypto Fear and Greed Index.
• Current Index: 20 → Extreme Fear
• Market sentiment remains extremely fearful.
• Historically, such levels are typically seen near local bottoms, not tops.
• This indicates panic selling and weak confidence in the short term.
• Smart money usually starts accumulating gradually during periods of extreme fear.
Fear is high, risk is high — but this phase often creates opportunities for patient buyers. Stay disciplined and manage your risk.
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Who Is Behind The Bitcoin Sell-Off ?
What started as renewed anxiety around AI-driven capital spending among US mega-cap technology firms has quickly escalated into a global risk-off trigger, pulling crypto markets into the crossfire.
In the heated, still-unfolding Q4 earnings season, a single headline has dominated US tech giants' results: massive AI-related capital expenditures.
After Alphabet earlier this week, Microsoft’s earnings - released after Wednesday’s close - reinforced investor concerns about excessive AI investments, a scenario that has become all too familiar in the current market environment.
The company reiterated its commitment to aggressively expanding AI infrastructure, even as Azure cloud growth slowed, pushing capital spending to record highs.
Markets reacted decisively. The earnings impact spilled into the following trading session, sending Microsoft shares sharply lower and acting as a catalyst for a broader pullback across US equities. Commodities, which had just printed successive all-time highs, reversed abruptly, while capital rotated forcefully into cash, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) surging amid the sweeping risk repricing.
The global shockwave quickly hit the already struggling crypto market as it tried to regain its footing amid renewed macroeconomic tensions. Bitcoin broke down from its three-month consolidation range, briefly testing the $81,000 area. The move triggered a liquidation cascade, erasing roughly $800mn from market participants who had built long exposure over recent weeks.
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Crypto Squanders Supportive Policy Tailwinds As January Closes Red
Crypto markets are set to end January on the back foot, extending a weak start to 2026 even as Washington inched closer to its first serious attempt at US market-structure legislation.
Bitcoin was trading at around $82,000 by 13:30 UTC on 30 Jan, deepening a pullback that has left the market searching for direction despite a macro backdrop that should, on paper, have been supportive.
The soft tape jars with the narrative fuel of the last 30 days. Senate work on a federal framework is finally moving, and dollar decay has signalled a clear Bitcoin opportunity. Yet, crypto has struggled to convert this political progress into a sustained bid.
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JUST IN | 🇨🇿 CZECH CENTRAL BANK x BITCOIN
Czech National Bank Governor Aleš Michl drops a forward-looking take on Bitcoin:
“Don’t fight the future. Build it. Test it. Understand it.”
📌 With his upcoming appearance at Bitcoin 2026, the message is clear — institutions aren’t just watching anymore, they’re learning.
🏦 Curiosity → Experimentation → Adoption
🚀 Bitcoin’s institutional chapter keeps getting stronger
Clean signal. Long-term mindset.
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Bitcoin Options Face Great Volatility Reset
Year-end positioning unwinds have reset Bitcoin’s options landscape, allowing the market to enter the new year with a notably cleaner sheet.
Leverage accumulated into December was flushed through month-end expiry, and over the first weeks of January, options structures have progressively rebuilt as traders reposition ahead of the year’s first major expiration.
As Bitcoin crossed the $95,000 threshold that had capped price action for nearly three months, the short-lived rally materially altered market sentiment and underlying derivatives structure, shifting positioning away from defensive hedges toward renewed risk expression.
However, the long-awaited range break was cut short before it could properly develop. Ongoing macro uncertainty, from tariff threats around Greenland to renewed stress in global monetary plumbing, has provided intermittent tailwinds, weighing on Bitcoin’s ability to fully extend its mid-January breakout.
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Fear & Greed Index Update
🔻 Now: 16 — Extreme Fear
⬇️ Sharp drop from yesterday (26)
📌 Panic is rising, sentiment washed out.
Historically, extreme fear = high-risk, high-opportunity zone for patient money.
Fear loud hai. Smart money usually silent hota hai. 👀
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🔥 STABLECOIN FLOW UPDATE | ETHEREUM ON TOP
Ethereum has taken the lead as the #1 network for stablecoin supply, reinforcing its role as crypto’s settlement backbone.
📊 Token Terminal signals • Stablecoin transfer volume → record highs
• Monthly active senders → new ATH
📌 Liquidity is choosing reliability.
With accelerating on-chain usage, Ethereum continues to be the go-to rail for stablecoin movement and real economic activity.
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+1
⚡ Options Expiry Watch | Friday 08:00 UTC
$BTC • Max Pain parked at $90K
• Massive $8.5B in open interest rolling off
• Put/Call 0.56 → calls still dominate
$ETH • Max Pain near $3.1K
• $1.29B expiry size
• Put/Call 0.76 → slightly more balanced flow
📌 Big expiries = short-term noise.
Expect volatility spikes before the close, then clarity after the dust settles.
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📉 Fear & Greed Index
Fear still dominates the room.
Current reading sits at 26 (Fear) — slightly cooler than yesterday, but sentiment remains cautious.
🕰️ Context check:
• Yesterday: 29 (Fear)
• Last week: 20 (Extreme Fear)
• Last month: 23 (Extreme Fear)
📌 Takeaway: Fear is easing, not gone. Markets are stabilizing, but confidence hasn’t fully returned yet. This zone often rewards patience over panic.
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🇺🇸 WALL STREET | CRYPTO SIGNAL
Morgan Stanley ($2T AUM) appoints a Head of Crypto Strategy.
• Big money moving beyond pilots
• Wall Street tightening its grip on digital assets
• Crypto shifting from test phase to core strategy
📌 Institutional adoption keeps getting louder.
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https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/rlpFVDjS-BTCUSDT-Weekly-Long-term-Chart-Update/
BTCUSDT (Weekly) – Long-term Chart Update.
BTC is still inside a rising channel (higher highs & higher lows intact).
Price is holding the lower trendline support of the channel — a key bullish area.
The weekly MA (~87.5k) is acting as dynamic support.
Current price: ~88.7k
This is a make-or-break support region.
As long as weekly closes stay above the lower channel + MA, the bullish structure remains valid.
Consolidation above 85k–90k.
100k psychological-
120k–125k (channel mid/upper area)
Extended cycle target 140k–150k+ (as projected)
Weekly close below ~85k.
Break of channel support → deeper correction toward 75k–70k.
short-term consolidation
Buy the dip mindset while structure holds.
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⚡ Ethereum Fees Sink to Multi-Year Lows
Glassnode data shows Ethereum transaction fees have dropped to levels not seen since 2017 — a big shift from the high-cost days users remember.
With less network congestion and cooler on-chain activity, Ethereum has become far more affordable. That’s a win for users and builders experimenting without burning capital.
That said, history suggests ultra-low fees often come with muted demand — a sign the market is in a slower, quieter phase.
💭 Cheap to use, calm in action — Ethereum is currently in its low-noise zone.
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Fear & Greed Index — Market Sentiment Update
🔸 Current Index: 29 — Fear
🔸 Yesterday: 20 — Extreme Fear
🔸 Last Week: 32 — Fear
🔸 Last Month: 24 — Extreme Fear
⚠️ Stay patient. Emotions are low, opportunities quietly form.
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Zama ICO Raises $118mn Using FHE Technology
The successful conclusion of the first public cryptographic auction by Zama has highlighted a growing market appetite for advanced privacy technologies.
At a time when the broader cryptocurrency market is experiencing heightened volatility and regulatory scrutiny, the robust participation in this initial coin offering (ICO) suggests that sophisticated investors are prioritizing long-term structural infrastructure over short-term price action.
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