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2015: Everyone around
2020: A few left
2025: Me, my vision & Bitcoin ₿
Quality over quantity.
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Bitcoin Rides New Year Surge Amid Liquidity Headwinds
Bitcoin has kicked off the year with intent, climbing 6.18% from the opening day and testing higher ground, briefly trading as high as $93,312 overnight on 4-5 Jan.
Recent geopolitical headlines in Venezuela have so far failed to materially disrupt the broader crypto market, with prices showing relative resilience.
However, the price is once again stalling just below the $94,000 resistance, a level that has repeatedly capped upside attempts since momentum broke down in mid-November.
Still, early signs of risk appetite are slowly returning. Last week saw $459m in net inflows, following a flat start to the week before a sharp $471.3mn print on 2 Jan, according to Farside data.
Notably, weekly inflows of this magnitude were last observed in late October, shortly before a prolonged drawdown period during which $4.56bn exited spot ETF vehicles across November and December.
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Crypto Fear & Greed Index
Current Index: 44 – Fear
Yesterday: 26 (Fear)
Last Week: 23 (Extreme Fear)
Last Month: 20 (Extreme Fear)
Market sentiment is recovering from Extreme Fear to Fear
Panic selling has reduced
Confidence is slowly returning, but traders are still cautious
Sentiment is improving, but the market is not greedy yet. Best zone for patient accumulation with proper risk management.
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Ledger Hit With Security Incident After Global-e Order Data Exposure
Crypto hardware wallet provider Ledger has warned customers that personal information linked to purchases on Ledger.com may have been compromised following a security incident at Global-e, a third-party merchant-of-record used for cross-border orders.
In a statement to Sandmark, Ledger confirmed the incident was confined to Global-e’s systems and did not impact the security of any Ledger hardware, firmware, or the Ledger Live platform.
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European stocks open higher as traders track Venezuela developments
One of the helicopters carrying Venezuela’s President Nicolas Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores arrives after they were captured overnight in Venezuela by U.S. forces, at the Westside Heliport in New York City, U.S. January 3, 2026.
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China decries U.S. action in Venezuela — even as it guards billions at stake
BEIJING — Even as China eyes new opportunities to build global influence in the wake of the U.S. attack on Venezuela, Beijing’s immediate priority is protecting its economic interests, analysts said.
China reacted swiftly to the military strike on Saturday night, expressing shock and condemnation. Beijing subsequently called on the U.S. to release the ousted Venezuelan president Nicolás Maduro and his wife, and urged Washington to resolve the crisis through dialogue.
China’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson Lin Jian said at a press briefing Monday that China maintains “positive communication and cooperation” with the Venezuelan government and that its willingness to deepen cooperation, including on oil exports, would not change regardless of how the situation evolves.
He added that Chinese interests in Venezuela would be protected under the law.
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Ethereum’s Validators Exit Pressure Is Unwinding
For the first time since September, Ethereum’s validators dynamics are beginning to normalize. After several months in which exit demand dominated, more ETH is now entering the staking activation queue than leaving the network, marking a shift away from persistent sell-side overhang and toward a more balanced flow regime.
The contraction in staking activity that began in September was triggered by a staking-provider shock involving Kiln, which led to precautionary validator exits following an exploit. Validators associated with the provider moved quickly to exit, pushing Ethereum’s exit queue sharply higher over a short period.
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Crypto Firms Retrench from Latin America as Focus Shifts to Regulatory Certainty
Several major crypto companies are scaling back operations in Latin America, signalling a broader reassessment of regional risk as the industry prepares for tighter capital discipline and regulatory scrutiny heading into 2026.
Bitcoin miner Bitfarms has exited a large-scale infrastructure project in Paraguay and redirected capital toward North America, while US exchange Coinbase has informed customers in Argentina that it will pause local services as it reviews its market strategy.
The moves point to a growing preference for jurisdictions with clearer regulatory frameworks and deeper institutional capital markets.
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Bitfinex Hacker Lichtenstein Walks Free Early, Credits Trump’s First Step Act
Ilya Lichtenstein, the self-confessed architect of the 2016 Bitfinex hack, has been released from federal prison after serving just 14 months of a five-year sentence. In a public statement posted to X on 2 Jan 2026, Lichtenstein explicitly credited the "First Step Act", a criminal justice reform bill signed by President Donald Trump during his first term, for his early release.
The development marks a surreal and abrupt conclusion to one of the largest financial thefts in history. Lichtenstein and his wife, Heather Morgan, were arrested in February 2022 for conspiring to launder 119,754 Bitcoin stolen from the Bitfinex exchange. Valued at billions of dollars at the time of their arrest, the hoard represented the single largest seizure of digital assets ever executed by the US Department of Justice.
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USDT Dominance (USDT.D)
USDT.D has broken below the rising trendline & short-term MAs, showing weakness in stablecoin dominance.
Current level: ~6.01%
5.6% – 5.8% (highlighted red zone)
This is a critical support. If it fails, downside may accelerate.
Downside Targets (if support breaks):
5.2%
4.8%
Major support near 4.3% – 4.4% (long-term trendline)
Falling USDT.D = money moving from stablecoins into crypto
Supports BTC & altcoin bullish continuation
Higher probability of altcoin momentum if the breakdown continues
USDT Dominance is bearish, favoring risk-on sentiment. As long as it stays below the broken trendline, bullish pressure on crypto remains intact.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USDT.D/evIA4BEP-USDT-Dominance-USDT-D/
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https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTC.D/UjeEy6Mp-BTC-Dominance-BTC-D-Chart-Update/
BTC Dominance (BTC.D) – Chart Update
BTC Dominance is moving inside a tight symmetrical triangle, indicating compression and a big move ahead.
Current zone: ~59.3%, hovering near the triangle’s apex.
Resistance: Downward trendline near 59.8% – 60.0%
Support: Rising trendline around 58.8% – 59.0%
Breakdown below 58.8% → Possible altcoin rally / altseason phase.
⚠️BTC.D is at a decision point. A confirmed breakout or breakdown will likely define the next market rotation.
Trade patiently and wait for confirmation.
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ETH/USDT – 4H Chart Update
ETH is trading inside a rising wedge / ascending structure, holding higher lows.
Price is pushing toward the descending trendline resistance around $3,180–3,220.
Support: $3,000 – $2,950 (trendline + moving averages zone)
Major Support: $2,500 (long-term demand zone)
A clean breakout and hold above the trendline can trigger a strong upside move toward $3,400 → $3,700.
Rejection from resistance may lead to a short-term pullback, but the overall structure remains constructive above support.
⚠️ Trade with confirmation and proper risk management.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ETHUSDT/h7fCvLuD-ETH-USDT-4H-Chart-Update/
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Crypto Fear & Greed Index
Current Index: 26 → Fear
Yesterday: 25 (Extreme Fear)
Last Week: 24 (Extreme Fear)
Last Month: 23 (Extreme Fear)
Market sentiment is still fearful, but slowly improving. Such zones often favor smart accumulation rather than panic selling.
⚠️ Stay cautious, manage risk, and avoid emotional trades.
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https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT/ts3T3m6y-BTC-USDT-4H-Chart-Update/
BTC/USDT – 4H Chart Update
Bitcoin is trading inside a rising wedge / ascending structure and has just made a strong bullish push from the lower trendline.
Price holding above short-term MAs
Higher lows structure intact
Bullish momentum is building near the resistance
Current Price: ~92.5K
Immediate Resistance: 94.5K – 95K
Major Resistance: 96.8K
Support Zone: 89K – 90K
Trendline Support: ~88K
Above 90K: Bullish continuation possible
Break & hold above 95K: Momentum could accelerate toward 96.8K+
Rejection near resistance: Expect a healthy pullback to trendline support
A 4H close below 88K would weaken the bullish structure.
Bullish while above key support
Trade with discipline & proper risk management
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https://www.tradingview.com/chart/COLLECTUSDT.P/n5YjSqk6-COLLECT-USDT-2H-Chart-Update-Long-Trade-Setup/
COLLECT/USDT – 2H Chart Update & Long Trade Setup
COLLECT is trading inside a symmetrical triangle, showing compression and a potential breakout.
Trade Long
Entry Zone: 0.078 – 0.080
Stop Loss: 0.0755
Targets:
TP1: 0.085
TP2: 0.092
TP3: 0.098 – 0.100
Price holding higher lows
Support from the ascending trendline
MA acting as dynamic support
Triangle breakout favors upside if volume expands
⚠️ Invalidation:
A 2H close below 0.0755 will negate the bullish setup.
Manage risk properly & wait for confirmation.
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https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BNBUSDT/hDnxxxco-BNB-USDT-4H-Chart-Update/
BNB/USDT – 4H Chart Update
BNB is trading near the descending trendline resistance while maintaining higher lows from the demand zone.
🔹 Structure: Gradual recovery within a descending channel
🔹 Support Zone: 820 – 840 (strong demand holding well)
🔹 Immediate Resistance: 890 – 900
🔹 Major Resistance: 920 – 1,000
A strong 4H close above 900–920 can trigger a breakout and accelerate price toward 1,000+.
If the price gets rejected from the trendline, a pullback toward 860–840 is possible before the next move.
Market Bias: Neutral to bullish
Wait for confirmation at resistance for the next trade setup.
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https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ETHUSDT/4BOxaXHN-ETH-USDT-4H-Chart-Update/
ETH/USDT – 4H Chart Update
ETH is showing strength from the lower trendline and continuing its short-term recovery within the descending structure.
Trend: Still inside a descending channel
Current Move: Higher lows forming → bullish momentum building
Immediate Support: 3,000 – 3,050
Resistance: 3,250 – 3,350 (trendline + supply)
A sustained breakout above 3,300–3,350 can shift momentum toward 3,500+.
Rejection near resistance may cause a pullback toward the 3K support zone.
Bias: Short-term bullish, overall trend neutral until breakout confirmation.
Trade with confirmation and proper risk management.
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https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT/oMbtmCOA-BTCUSDT-4H-Chart-Update/
BTCUSDT – 4H Chart Update
BTC is showing strength after holding the $84.6K–$85.8K demand zone multiple times (strong buy interest visible).
Price is now moving higher with short-term bullish momentum.
🔹 Support: 85.8K / 84.6K
🔹 Resistance: 93.5K–94K zone
🔹 Bias: Bullish above support, pullbacks are buy-on-dips
As long as BTC holds above the marked support, upside continuation remains likely.
Risk management is key ⚠️
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📊 Fear & Greed Index Update
Market sentiment remains in Extreme Fear (25).
Fear zone often brings high volatility and selective opportunities — stay patient, manage risk, and avoid emotional trades.
#FearAndGreed #CryptoMarket #BTC
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