Crypto Banter

SpaceX Shadow Trading Hints at $2.4 TRILLION Valuation Shadow markets are pricing SpaceX shares well above the official $135 IPO price set for Nasdaq’s debut. Pre-IPO derivatives in Singapore and other venues point to a valuation north of $2.4 trillion, over 35% higher than the $1.77 trillion at IPO pricing. SpaceX is raising a record $75 billion by selling 555.6 million shares at the fixed $135 price. The company reported $18.7 billion in revenue last year, driven largely by Starlink, with a $4.2 billion operating loss. Trading begins today. The premium shows sky-high expectations. Delivering consistent profitability will be the real test in public markets.

CME Group to Expand 24/7 Trading for WTI Crude Oil and Gold CME Group announced plans to offer 24/7 trading for new, smaller-sized contracts in WTI Crude Oil and Gold, pending regulatory approval. Key details: - New 10-barrel WTI Crude Oil futures launching August 30 with 24/7 trading. - Existing 1-ounce Gold futures moving to 24/7 trading starting July 26. A step toward continuous, always-on commodity markets. It responds to global demand for better price discovery amid geopolitical events and weekend news flow.

Iran’s Defense Ministry has called for a regional ceasefire, stating that continued aggression, insecurity, and warmongering are unsustainable. It added that all parties will inevitably be compelled to accept a truce and halt hostile actions across all fronts. This comes amid the fragile April 2026 ceasefire, strained by recent missile exchanges with Israel in early June and ongoing tensions over Lebanon and the Strait of Hormuz.

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The CFTC is set to propose updated rules for prediction markets that would permit most sports-related contracts while explicitly reserving the right to block any markets deemed vulnerable to manipulation, according to WSJ reporting. This marks a significant step toward clearer federal oversight for platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket’s U.S. operations.

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Can We Trust This Bitcoin Bounce? History shows BTC typically bottoms in the second half of June. Now it’s trying to bounce… while stocks are cracking and markets look shaky. Will it hold or get crushed? LIVE in 1 HOUR: youtube.com/live/LUgKKvJdc…

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Glassnode data shows >10.5 million BTC, more than half of the circulating supply is now held at an unrealized loss for the first time this cycle. BTC traded as low as ~$61,300 when the metric flipped. This threshold has coincided with every major bear-market bottom in Bitcoin history, according to CoinDesk. Extreme on-chain pain like this often marks the final stages of capitulation, where weak hands exit and long-term conviction holders accumulate.